106 S Forest St · Carbondale, IL 62901

$79,900

None bd · 6.0 ba · — sqft · Other · 165 Days on market

5,550 sqft lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.4/10.0
• 1% rule +4.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

OWNER RETIRING AND LIQUIDATING! This property has been a good money maker and can be again. Currently it is vacant so you can choose your own renters. There is a duplex, each unit with 3 bd/1 bath; and a detached one bedroom unit. The property is being sold AS IS with no warranties. It has been vacant and shows no expenses.

Key facts

• 5,550 sq ft lot
• Listed 165 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: 3 total units in the building; Possession at closing
• Financial info: No special service area

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Two- to four-unit property; Fee simple ownership; Converted property
• Construction: More than 100 years old; Block foundation; Vinyl siding; Built before 1978
• Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 111

Interior

• Bedrooms: Up to 7 possible bedrooms; One 3-bedroom unit in the building
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
• Interior features: 13 total rooms; Partial basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a ?-bed/6.0-bath other listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($190/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $72k (10.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D+, crime F.
• Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.90% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.53%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.85%
• DSCR: 1.04
• GRM: 9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -13.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.52×
• Total profit: $-10,820
• Equity at exit: $11,913

10-year hold

• IRR: -2.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.85×
• Total profit: $-3,389
• Equity at exit: $6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 62901

• Rents YoY: 4.5%
• Active inventory: 202
• Price-to-rent: 9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $719 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$151
• Net cashflow: $16

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $71	-5% $43	+0% $16	+5% $-12	+10% $-39
Rent	-10% $-41	-5% $-13	+0% $16	+5% $44	+10% $73
Rate	-1.0pp $56	-0.5pp $36	base $16	+0.5pp $-5	+1.0pp $-26

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
516 S Rawlings St Carbondale, IL	1.0	1.0	450	$625	$1.39	44d	5	0.32mi
600 W Mill St Carbondale, IL	1.0	1.0	615	$750	$1.22	44d	2	0.50mi
405 E College St Carbondale, IL	1.0	1.0	351	$690	$1.96	44d	10	0.88mi
250 S Lewis Ln Carbondale, IL	3.0	1.0	622	$650	$1.04	44d	1	1.43mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-07
   statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 165 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $79,900 Active 164 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $79,900 Active 163 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $79,900 Active 162 DOM
5. 2026-05-30
   days on market $79,900 Active 161 DOM
6. 2026-01-08
   status Active
7. 2026-01-05
   historical
8. 2025-12-17
   listed $79,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $8,628
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$1,198
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$690
• − Management: −$690
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable loss: −$1,151
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$276
• After-tax cash flow: $466/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Carbondale Chsd 165
• NCES district ID: 1708370
• Math proficiency: 26% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $22,075
• Composite: 23.92/100
• National rank: #7787
• State rank: #279 of 620 in IL

Livability — Carbondale

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #375
• US rank: #7806

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Carbondale, IL
• County: Jackson County · 22,946 people
• City population: 22,946
• Metro: Carbondale-Marion, IL
• Population (ZIP): 22,946
• Household income: $35,089
• Rent vs Own: 70.0% rent · 30.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 2038.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 59,093 people
• By 2030: 59,628 · +0.9%
• By 2040: 59,495 · +0.7%
• By 2050: 58,811 · -0.5%
• By 2075: 57,683 · -2.4%
• By 2100: 55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -75.62%
• Current HPI: 88.7209
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• Metro: Carbondale-Marion, IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-08 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-17 Listed $79,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,497 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.