116034 Glen Mar Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
No showing without accept offer. Tenants occupied, lease end April 2026. This property in Houston's established Wingate community offers great advantages: a low $21/month HOA fee for manageable living costs; a single-story, stair-free layout ideal for seniors, children and diverse families; 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1,705 sq ft of interior space and a 5,560 sq ft fully fenced lot—delivering high space utilization and ample activity room. It includes an attached garage with automatic opener for safe, convenient parking, plus central electric heating/cooling for efficient temperature control. The wood-burning fireplace and separate breakfast nook add warmth and functionality, while publ
Key facts
- Single-story layout
- Fully fenced lot
- $12 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Wingate Homeowners Association with a $12 monthly fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story residential home; Built in 1978; Slab foundation
- Construction: Construction materials: Unknown
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 15 x 15); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 13 x 10); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 10 x 10); Breakfast room/nook on the first floor (approx. 12 x 12)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Combined living and dining area; Breakfast nook
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-801/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (4.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (16.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $168k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Alief ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #717 of 826 in TX (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Rees El (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 563 students, 81% FRL); Albright Middle (math 32% / reading 35%, grade F, #911 of 1,662 statewide, top 56%, 1,058 students, 81% FRL); Alief Isd J J A E P (13 students, 77% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.43%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.21% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-34,814
- Equity at exit
- $36,954
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-48,749
- Equity at exit
- $29,816
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77082
- Home prices YoY
- -0.9%
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,679 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$12
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $-67
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $71 | -5% $2 | +0% $-67 | +5% $-136 | +10% $-205 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-199 | -5% $-133 | +0% $-67 | +5% $0 | +10% $66 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $34 | -0.5pp $-16 | base $-67 | +0.5pp $-119 | +1.0pp $-171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15706 Tammany Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $1,816 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3707 Addicks Clodine Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,375 | $1.26 | 26d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3206 Diamond Star Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2122 | $2,279 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 15250 Gray Ridge Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1063 | $1,501 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 15035 Westpark Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 977 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 15035 Westpark Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 977 | $1,569 | $1.61 | 3d | 13 | 0.70mi |
| 3530 Green Crest Dr Unit 3563 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,522 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3530 Green Crest Dr Houston, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,543 | $1.38 | 24d | 6 | 0.83mi |
| 16717 Westpark Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1042 | $2,335 | $2.24 | 4d | 38 | 0.99mi |
| 15155 S Richmond Ave Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,375 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 15155 S Richmond Ave Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,375 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 16311 Paso Hondo Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1449 | $1,683 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 15155 Richmond Ave Unit 3047 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $1,874 | $1.22 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 14906 Westpark Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1174 | $1,628 | $1.39 | 1d | 43 | 1.16mi |
| 14723 W Oaks Plaza Dr Unit 14756 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,896 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 6514 Winkleman Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2225 | $2,095 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 6822 Santa Rita Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,510 | $1.16 | 26d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 14913 Richmond Ave Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $1,496 | $1.60 | 22d | 24 | 1.21mi |
| 15155 Richmond Ave Unit 15188 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $1,863 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 15155 Richmond Ave Unit 15212 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $1,358 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3616 S Richmond Ave Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1149 | $2,217 | $1.93 | 1d | 22 | 1.23mi |
| 15161 Richmond Ave Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,505 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 15155 Richmond Ave Unit 424 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,399 | $1.19 | 7d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 15155 Richmond Ave Unit 525 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $1,823 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 15155 Richmond Ave Unit 15192 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,423 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 15155 Richmond Ave Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,399 | $1.19 | 9d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 15155 Richmond Ave Unit 2112 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,383 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 14723 W Oaks Plaza Dr Unit 3165 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,856 | $1.36 | 1d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 16707 Great Oaks Glen Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2149 | $2,110 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 15770 Bellaire Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $1,680 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $12 · $144/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-17$199,900 Active 30 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,998
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,612
- − Management
- −$1,612
- − HOA
- −$144
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$4,227
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,014
- After-tax cash flow
- $213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alief ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807830
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,775
- Composite
- 21.29/100
- National rank
- #8391
- State rank
- #717 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,412
- Household income
- $62,455
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3722.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 27% White 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Armenian 2% Arab 1% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 4% Arabic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.21%
- Current HPI
- 237.2183
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.62%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $199,900 HARMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $199,900 HARMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $199,900 HARMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $199,900 HARMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $199,900 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…