413 Moorehead St · Franklin, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the desirable Franklin ISD, this charming home with beautiful mature trees has tons of potential. Rarely available, this hard-to-find, exceptional, budget friendly home could really shine with a little cleaning, fresh paint, and cosmetic updating. The original owner put a travel trailer in sideways on the lot and added on slab a living room, bathroom and bedroom with a large walk in closet. Conveniently located within walking distance to the elementary school, City Park, library and Dairy Queen, this is a great opportunity for a buyer looking to add their own personal touch. Owner financing available.
Key facts
- Large walk in closet
- Mature trees
- 5,500 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Pillar/post/pier and slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $614 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 0.9% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#58 in TX, #2,227 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Franklin ISD (rural): math 69% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #35 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 130 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Robertson County in 2023 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.65%
- DSCR
- 2.68
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $174,000
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 E Morgan St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 1,004 (+0%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $174 | 77 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $27,803
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 40.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.81×
- Total profit
- $74,655
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77856
- Home prices YoY
- -20.3%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,389 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $614
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $662 | -5% $638 | +0% $614 | +5% $590 | +10% $566 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $504 | -5% $559 | +0% $614 | +5% $669 | +10% $724 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $649 | -0.5pp $632 | base $614 | +0.5pp $596 | +1.0pp $578 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 619-char remark
-
2026-06-09$69,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,665
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,333
- − Management
- −$1,333
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $6,652
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,596
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,772/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This home requires moderate renovations, focusing on the roof and exterior, to significantly improve its value and curb appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Major Metal roof — Significant rust and wear
- Major Exterior siding — Peeling paint
- Minor Interior paint — Some wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace roof — Critical structural component, improves value
- Both Update bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value
- Both Replace flooring — Freshens up the interior and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Metal roof · Significant rust and wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · Peeling paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior paint · Some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $30,500–103,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace roof — Critical structural component, improves value ↑
- Both Update bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value ↑
- Both Replace flooring — Freshens up the interior and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819740
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,660
- Composite
- 55.61/100
- National rank
- #1234
- State rank
- #35 of 826 in TX
Livability — Franklin
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #2227
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Franklin, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,832
Population outlook (Robertson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,926 people
- By 2030
- 17,039 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 17,217 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 17,301 · +2.2%
- By 2075
- 17,849 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 17,642 · +4.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 11% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Robertson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.1) · D 23.6% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.4pp · 2024: -52.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.1 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+35.1 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+19.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.35%
- Current HPI
- 193.4211
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $69,900 BCSRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…