1036 Beaver Hill Dr · Charlottesville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Bedrooms 1 bath Manufactured Home built in August 2024, setup in February 2025. All Appliances brand New Stove, Dishwasher, LG Refrigerator , LG Washer and Dryer. New Deck with Ramp it needs to be panted again because the weather messed it up , Walkway. Garden Lights, wall Cabinet in the bathroom for extra storage. Central Air & Heat on the Ecobee system. You can use the App to setup the heat or Air from anywhere. The Front Door/ Storm Door was replaced with a beautiful new door. Located in a quiet neighborhood that very well run in Crozet, VA. Beaver Hill Village has a nice pond for fishing. The neighbors are great. 29 Minutes from Charlottesville or Waynesboro.
Key facts
- Brand new appliances
- Garden lights
- New deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 2.9% in Charlottesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#27 in VA, #707 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime D-.
- Albemarle County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #14 of 131 in VA (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Crozet Elementary (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 514 students, 18% FRL); Joseph T. Henley Middle (math 82% / reading 89%, grade A+, #10 of 342 statewide, top 3%, 808 students, 13% FRL); Western Albemarle High (math 72% / reading 92%, grade A, #40 of 319 statewide, top 15%, 1,158 students, 13% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 458 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 810 units permitted in Albemarle County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albemarle County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.26%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $327,591
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -66.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1026 Highlands Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,116 (+16%) | 2mo | $337,500 | $302 | 45 |
| 4506 Old Three Notched Rd | 0.62mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 750 (-22%) | 0mo | $295,000 | $393 | 41 |
| 5602 Three Notch'd Rd | 1.41mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,034 (+8%) | 33mo | $230,000 | $222 | 27 |
| 5174 Three Notch'd Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,182 (+23%) | 32mo | $322,500 | $273 | 26 |
| 4506 Old Three Notched Rd | 0.62mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 750 (-22%) | 32mo | $265,000 | $353 | 21 |
| 5546 Three Notch Rd | 1.31mi | 2/1.0 | 1,152 (+20%) | 25mo | $112,000 | $97 | 20 |
| 5480 Jamestown Ct | 1.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+17%) | 15mo | $407,000 | $363 | 18 |
| 5500 Brookwood Rd | 1.45mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,160 (+21%) | 20mo | $315,000 | $272 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $19,914
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $65,138
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $299,000 ($399/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 10 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -14.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 22901
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 458
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,718 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $597
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $673 | -5% $635 | +0% $597 | +5% $559 | +10% $521 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $461 | -5% $529 | +0% $597 | +5% $665 | +10% $733 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $652 | -0.5pp $625 | base $597 | +0.5pp $568 | +1.0pp $540 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $110,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $110,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $110,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $110,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $110,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $110,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $110,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $110,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $110,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $110,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $110,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $110,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $110,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 695-char remark
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2026-06-07$110,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,616
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,649
- − Management
- −$1,649
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $5,755
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,381
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,783/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible signs of damage or wear. The home is move-in ready and has a clean and well-maintained interior and exterior. The home is located in a quiet neighborhood with a nice pond for fishing and great neighbors.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior fencing — Painting the fencing will enhance the curb appeal and make the home look more inviting to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental Add a small garden bed near the front door — Adding a small garden bed near the front door can enhance the curb appeal and make the home more attractive to potential renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albemarle County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100090
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,851
- Composite
- 62.28/100
- National rank
- #698
- State rank
- #14 of 131 in VA
Livability — Charlottesville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #707
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Albemarle County · 119,403 people
- City population
- 120,202
- Metro
- Charlottesville, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,237
- Household income
- $92,145
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Albemarle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 119,403 people
- By 2030
- 125,829 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 137,705 · +15.3%
- By 2050
- 148,058 · +24.0%
- By 2075
- 172,223 · +44.2%
- By 2100
- 185,628 · +55.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Albemarle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.1) · D 66.3% · R 32.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.1pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 34.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.1 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -341.65%
- Current HPI
- 279.3342
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.82%
- Metro
- Charlottesville, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $110,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…