2152 Thornbury Ln · Akron, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.1/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$328,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious Colonial in Coventry Crossings is move-in ready. Inviting front porch, 2 story great room with fireplace. Kitchen with ceramic tile floor and newer GE Slate appliances. Eating area with sliding glass door to the private back yard with view of the woods. First floor master bedroom with walk-in closet and master bath. First floor laundry. Two nice size bedrooms on the second floor, plus bonus loft area that overlooks the 2 story great room. Neutral decor`. Community park with playground, gazebo and splash pad for summer fun. Call for your private showing today!
Key facts
- Private deck
- Private owners suite
- First floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $329k).
- Recommended offer: $324k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 6.6% in Akron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#104 in OH, #1,591 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Coventry Local (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #315 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,114 units permitted in Summit County in 2024 (397 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,253/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Summit County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $92k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($324k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $174k; list at $329k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.54%
- DSCR
- 2.54
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $293,929
- List price
- $328,900
- Delta
- 11.90%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2162 Canterbury Cir | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 | 2,078 (+1%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $144 | 86 |
| 2165 Stonehenge Cir | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,948 (-6%) | 1mo | $302,000 | $155 | 80 |
| 577 Colchester Ct | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,016 (-2%) | 0mo | $337,500 | $167 | 80 |
| 580 Colchester Ct | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,054 (-0%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $153 | 79 |
| 2300 Canterbury Cir | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 2,166 (+5%) | 12mo | $295,000 | $136 | 71 |
| 525 Seaton Ct | 0.06mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,931 (-6%) | 16mo | $285,000 | $148 | 68 |
| 567 Westminster Cir | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,782 (-14%) | 10mo | $310,500 | $174 | 60 |
| 2244 Canterbury Cir | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,767 (-14%) | 12mo | $303,000 | $171 | 48 |
| 1810 Carter Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,762 (-15%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $122 | 41 |
| 1764 Glenmount Ave | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,135 (+3%) | 22mo | $159,900 | $75 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $115,642
- Equity at exit
- $49,040
- IRR
- 37.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.46×
- Total profit
- $318,523
- Equity at exit
- $28,437
Cash invested: $92,092 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44319
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,253 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax from tax record
- −$406 /mo · $4,874/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,313
- Net cashflow
- $2,651
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,225
- Closing costs
- $9,867
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 432 N Firestone Blvd Unit 1496097P Akron, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1926 | $6,253 | $3.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-14price $328,900 1684-char remark
-
2026-05-06status Active 1684-char remark
-
2026-05-04status Pending 1684-char remark
-
2026-04-30$329,900 Active 1684-char remark
-
2016-09-28soldstatus $174,500 Sold 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
This spacious Colonial in Coventry Crossings is move-in ready. Inviting front porch, 2 story great room with fireplace. Kitchen with ceramic tile floor and newer GE Slate appliances. Eating area with sliding glass door to the private back yard with view of the woods. First floor master bedroom with walk-in closet and master bath. First floor laundry. Two nice size bedrooms on the second floor, plus bonus loft area that overlooks the 2 story great room. Neutral decor`. Community park with playground, gazebo and splash pad for summer fun. Call for your private showing today!
-
2016-09-26soldstatus $174,500
-
2016-08-30historical Contingent 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
This spacious Colonial in Coventry Crossings is move-in ready. Inviting front porch, 2 story great room with fireplace. Kitchen with ceramic tile floor and newer GE Slate appliances. Eating area with sliding glass door to the private back yard with view of the woods. First floor master bedroom with walk-in closet and master bath. First floor laundry. Two nice size bedrooms on the second floor, plus bonus loft area that overlooks the 2 story great room. Neutral decor`. Community park with playground, gazebo and splash pad for summer fun. Call for your private showing today!
-
2016-08-29status Pending 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
This spacious Colonial in Coventry Crossings is move-in ready. Inviting front porch, 2 story great room with fireplace. Kitchen with ceramic tile floor and newer GE Slate appliances. Eating area with sliding glass door to the private back yard with view of the woods. First floor master bedroom with walk-in closet and master bath. First floor laundry. Two nice size bedrooms on the second floor, plus bonus loft area that overlooks the 2 story great room. Neutral decor`. Community park with playground, gazebo and splash pad for summer fun. Call for your private showing today!
-
2016-08-25$179,900 Active 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
This spacious Colonial in Coventry Crossings is move-in ready. Inviting front porch, 2 story great room with fireplace. Kitchen with ceramic tile floor and newer GE Slate appliances. Eating area with sliding glass door to the private back yard with view of the woods. First floor master bedroom with walk-in closet and master bath. First floor laundry. Two nice size bedrooms on the second floor, plus bonus loft area that overlooks the 2 story great room. Neutral decor`. Community park with playground, gazebo and splash pad for summer fun. Call for your private showing today!
-
2011-10-06soldstatus $129,000
Show marketing remark (1167 chars)
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Spacious home located in the Coventry Crosssing Development * This home built in 2004 offers a luxurious great room with vaulted ceilings and a warm and inviting gas fireplace. * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * The first floor master suite has a large walk-in closet. The spacious kitchen has generous storage and plenty of room for entertaining and furnished with quality oak kitchen and bath cabinets. Comes with a first floor laundry. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * This home is similar to a brand new home! Vaulted ceilings and easement in the back yard at edge of property with tree's and pond. No one can ever build behind you!!! * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * ZERO Clearance fireplace, just flip the switch!!! The house still smells NEW!!!! Owner Wants Offer!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
-
2011-10-06soldstatus $129,000
Show marketing remark (1167 chars)
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Spacious home located in the Coventry Crosssing Development * This home built in 2004 offers a luxurious great room with vaulted ceilings and a warm and inviting gas fireplace. * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * The first floor master suite has a large walk-in closet. The spacious kitchen has generous storage and plenty of room for entertaining and furnished with quality oak kitchen and bath cabinets. Comes with a first floor laundry. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * This home is similar to a brand new home! Vaulted ceilings and easement in the back yard at edge of property with tree's and pond. No one can ever build behind you!!! * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * ZERO Clearance fireplace, just flip the switch!!! The house still smells NEW!!!! Owner Wants Offer!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
-
2011-07-07$129,000
Show marketing remark (1167 chars)
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Spacious home located in the Coventry Crosssing Development * This home built in 2004 offers a luxurious great room with vaulted ceilings and a warm and inviting gas fireplace. * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * The first floor master suite has a large walk-in closet. The spacious kitchen has generous storage and plenty of room for entertaining and furnished with quality oak kitchen and bath cabinets. Comes with a first floor laundry. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * This home is similar to a brand new home! Vaulted ceilings and easement in the back yard at edge of property with tree's and pond. No one can ever build behind you!!! * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Short Sale * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * ZERO Clearance fireplace, just flip the switch!!! The house still smells NEW!!!! Owner Wants Offer!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,874 · $406/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,003 · $417/mo
- Expected delta
- +$128/yr (+$11/mo · 2.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $75,036
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,424
- − Property taxes
- −$4,874
- − Insurance
- −$1,644
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,003
- − Management
- −$6,003
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$9,568
- Taxable income
- $28,268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,784
- After-tax cash flow
- $25,026/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coventry Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904999
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,981
- Composite
- 49.66/100
- National rank
- #1976
- State rank
- #315 of 656 in OH
Livability — Akron
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1591
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Akron, OH
- County
- Summit · 539,389 people
- City population
- 174,375
- Metro
- Akron, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,469
- Household income
- $74,781
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12.4
Population outlook (Summit County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,583 people
- By 2030
- 544,028 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 531,363 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 514,923 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 481,765 · -11.9%
- By 2100
- 432,265 · -20.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Summit
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 53.0% · R 46.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.6pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+9.6 2016: D+8.2 2012: D+14.8 2008: D+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -236.58%
- Current HPI
- 213.2267
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+155.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $328,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-30 Listed $329,900 MLSNOW
- 2016-09-28 Sold (MLS) $174,500 MLSNOW
- 2016-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $174,500 Public Records
- 2016-08-30 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2016-08-29 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2016-08-25 Listed $179,900 MLSNOW
- 2011-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
- 2011-10-06 Sold (MLS) $129,000 MLSNOW
- 2011-07-07 Listed $129,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,874 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…