1500 Evelyn Ave · Albany, GA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity. Add this income producing property to your portfolio today. Contact your Realtor for more information.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1961
- Listed 74 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.99%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-441
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $37,083
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31705
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,010 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $911/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $161
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1967 S Riverview Cir Albany, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $950 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1508 E Society Ave Unit B Albany, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $550 | $0.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-04-09status Active
-
2026-03-27status Pending
-
2024-02-19$99,000 Active
-
2021-12-06historical
-
2021-11-20status Active
-
2021-11-17historical
-
2021-11-11status Under Contract
-
2021-10-19$55,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,118
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$911
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$969
- − Management
- −$969
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $347
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$83
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,853/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dougherty County
- NCES district ID
- 1301830
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,105
- Composite
- 11.31/100
- National rank
- #9716
- State rank
- #163 of 174 in GA
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #371
- US rank
- #18903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, GA
- County
- Dougherty County · 89,040 people
- City population
- 89,040
- Metro
- Albany, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,791
- Household income
- $42,972
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1933.0
Population outlook (Dougherty County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,551 people
- By 2030
- 80,637 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 72,090 · -14.7%
- By 2050
- 64,056 · -24.2%
- By 2075
- 46,332 · -45.2%
- By 2100
- 33,127 · -60.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dougherty
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.1) · D 70.4% · R 29.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.2pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 41.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.1 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+39.0 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.46%
- Current HPI
- 152.4574
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.10%
- Metro
- Albany, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+80.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — SWGABOR
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — SWGABOR
- 2026-03-27 Pending — SWGABOR
- 2024-02-19 Listed $99,000 SWGABOR
- 2021-12-06 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2021-11-20 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2021-11-17 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2021-11-11 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-10-19 Listed $55,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $911 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…