1712 Catalpa Dr · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Classic 1920s brick two-story in the Dayton View Triangle featuring 4 bedrooms and over 2,300 sq. ft. of above-grade living space. The interior boasts large room sizes, original hardwood floors, and a formal dining room. This home includes a full unfinished basement ideal for storage and a detached 2-car garage. Situated on a 0.15-acre lot, it offers high ceilings and traditional architectural character.
Key facts
- Brick two story
- Formal dining room
- High ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Below-grade unfinished area present
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached two-car garage
- Utilities: Public water and sewer
- Home design: Two-story home
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Residential lot approximately 0.15 acres (51 x 128)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Main-level bedroom; Third-level bedroom; Second-level bedrooms (multiple)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.34%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,601
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -54.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1728 Salem Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,191 (-7%) | 3mo | $188,000 | $86 | 72 |
| 1614 Catalpa Dr | 0.11mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,178 (-7%) | 4mo | $113,000 | $52 | 70 |
| 1642 Harvard Blvd | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,136 (-9%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $80 | 67 |
| 1215 Cumberland Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,108 (-10%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $102 | 64 |
| 1739 Burroughs Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,548 (+8%) | 0mo | $255,000 | $100 | 64 |
| 1935 Philadelphia Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,378 (+1%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $78 | 61 |
| 1643 Earlham Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 2,216 (-6%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $81 | 60 |
| 1727 Harvard Blvd | 0.07mi | 4/3.5 | 2,672 (+14%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $103 | 59 |
| 1676 Tennyson Ave | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 | 2,330 (-1%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $107 | 55 |
| 104 W Norman Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,184 (-7%) | 8mo | $53,000 | $24 | 40 |
| 414 W Hudson Ave | 0.36mi | 3/4.0 (-1) | 2,700 (+15%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $80 | 39 |
| 2812 Otterbein Ave | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,082 (-11%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $120 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $19,503
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $59,895
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45406
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,339 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $665/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $522
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $570 | -5% $546 | +0% $522 | +5% $498 | +10% $474 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $416 | -5% $469 | +0% $522 | +5% $575 | +10% $628 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $565 | -0.5pp $543 | base $522 | +0.5pp $500 | +1.0pp $477 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1743 Radcliffe Rd Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1729 | $1,200 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 101 W Norman Ave Unit 101 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $945 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2141 Philadelphia Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1736 | $1,395 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 942 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 932 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1986 | $1,500 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1011 N Broadway St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $950 | $0.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 132 Wroe Ave Unit 132 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1934 | $1,297 | $0.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1501 Viola Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1952 | $1,175 | $0.60 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 253 E Hillcrest Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2569 | $1,800 | $0.70 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 534 Geyer St Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1640 | $1,530 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18price $84,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $94,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $94,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$94,900 Active 407-char remark
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2026-03-23price $99,900
-
2026-01-27price $109,900
-
2026-01-09price $121,500
-
2025-12-15price $124,900
-
2025-10-18price $134,900
-
2025-09-24$144,900 Active
-
2018-11-20historical
-
2018-09-18$26,900 Active
-
2004-11-01soldstatus $170,000
-
1997-07-18soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $665 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $995 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$330/yr (+$27/mo · 49.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,067
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$665
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,285
- − Management
- −$1,285
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $5,182
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,244
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,017/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,991
- Household income
- $41,796
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1504.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.75%
- Current HPI
- 197.1302
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.03%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+135.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $84,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $94,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $99,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $109,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $121,500 Dayton MLS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $124,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-10-18 Price Changed $134,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-09-24 Listed $144,900 Dayton MLS
- 2018-11-20 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2018-09-18 Listed $26,900 Dayton MLS
- 2004-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 1997-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-13.1%/yrLatest (2025): $665 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…