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1712 Catalpa Dr
B- Composite 67.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

1712 Catalpa Dr · Dayton, OH 45406
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,348 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1923 6,530 sqft lot $36/sqft · 59% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Classic 1920s brick two-story in the Dayton View Triangle featuring 4 bedrooms and over 2,300 sq. ft. of above-grade living space. The interior boasts large room sizes, original hardwood floors, and a formal dining room. This home includes a full unfinished basement ideal for storage and a detached 2-car garage. Situated on a 0.15-acre lot, it offers high ceilings and traditional architectural character.

Key facts

  • Brick two story
  • Formal dining room
  • High ceilings

Tags

BRICK TWO STORYORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSFORMAL DINING ROOMFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTDETACHED 2 CAR GARAGEHIGH CEILINGS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Below-grade unfinished area present
  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached two-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water and sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Residential lot approximately 0.15 acres (51 x 128)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Main-level bedroom; Third-level bedroom; Second-level bedrooms (multiple)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,353 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
13.67%
Cash-on-cash
26.34%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$208,601
List price
$84,900
Delta
-54.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1728 Salem Ave 0.15mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,191 (-7%) 3mo $188,000 $86 72
1614 Catalpa Dr 0.11mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,178 (-7%) 4mo $113,000 $52 70
1642 Harvard Blvd 0.06mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,136 (-9%) 9mo $170,000 $80 67
1215 Cumberland Ave 0.16mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,108 (-10%) 0mo $215,000 $102 64
1739 Burroughs Dr 0.33mi 4/2.5 2,548 (+8%) 0mo $255,000 $100 64
1935 Philadelphia Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,378 (+1%) 1mo $185,000 $78 61
1643 Earlham Dr 0.49mi 4/2.0 2,216 (-6%) 4mo $180,000 $81 60
1727 Harvard Blvd 0.07mi 4/3.5 2,672 (+14%) 6mo $275,000 $103 59
1676 Tennyson Ave 0.68mi 4/3.0 2,330 (-1%) 5mo $250,000 $107 55
104 W Norman Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,184 (-7%) 8mo $53,000 $24 40
414 W Hudson Ave 0.36mi 3/4.0 (-1) 2,700 (+15%) 3mo $215,000 $80 39
2812 Otterbein Ave 0.59mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,082 (-11%) 9mo $250,000 $120 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$19,503
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$59,895
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45406

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,339 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $665/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $678
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $570 -5% $546 +0% $522 +5% $498 +10% $474
Rent -10% $416 -5% $469 +0% $522 +5% $575 +10% $628
Rate -1.0pp $565 -0.5pp $543 base $522 +0.5pp $500 +1.0pp $477

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1743 Radcliffe Rd Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1729 $1,200 $0.69 44d 1 0.03mi
101 W Norman Ave Unit 101 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1600 $945 $0.59 44d 1 0.69mi
2141 Philadelphia Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1736 $1,395 $0.80 44d 1 0.70mi
942 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1596 $1,200 $0.75 3d 1 0.82mi
932 Harvard Blvd Dayton, OH 5.0 2.0 1986 $1,500 $0.76 44d 1 0.83mi
1011 N Broadway St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1700 $950 $0.56 44d 1 1.01mi
132 Wroe Ave Unit 132 Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 1934 $1,297 $0.67 44d 1 1.03mi
1501 Viola Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1952 $1,175 $0.60 14d 1 1.06mi
253 E Hillcrest Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.5 2569 $1,800 $0.70 3d 1 1.25mi
534 Geyer St Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 1640 $1,530 $0.93 24d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $84,900 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,900 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,900 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,900 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 30 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $94,900 Active 407-char remark
  18. 2026-03-31
    historical
  19. 2026-03-23
    price $99,900
  20. 2026-01-27
    price $109,900
  21. 2026-01-09
    price $121,500
  22. 2025-12-15
    price $124,900
  23. 2025-10-18
    price $134,900
  24. 2025-09-24
    listed $144,900 Active
  25. 2018-11-20
    historical
  26. 2018-09-18
    listed $26,900 Active
  27. 2004-11-01
    soldstatus $170,000
  28. 1997-07-18
    soldstatus $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$665 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$995 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$330/yr (+$27/mo · 49.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,067
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$665
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,285
− Management
−$1,285
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$5,182
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,244
After-tax cash flow
$5,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,991
Household income
$41,796
Rent vs Own
52.9% rent · 47.1% own
Severe rent burden
1504.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.75%
Current HPI
197.1302
Rent YoY
▲ 3.03%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+135.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Price Changed $84,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $94,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $99,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $109,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $121,500 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $124,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-10-18 Price Changed $134,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-09-24 Listed $144,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2018-11-20 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2018-09-18 Listed $26,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2004-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 1997-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-13.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $665 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…