717 Pat Farley Rd · Gilbertsville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$62,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3-4 bedroom farm house nestled on 4.12 Acres. Small pond. Home needs some TLC has great potential.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Large eat in kitchen
- Newer roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: 2-story home; Existing construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular, rural lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free‑standing range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#892 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime D-.
- Unadilla Valley Central School District (rural): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #571 of 590 in NY (top 97%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 151 units permitted in Chenango County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($432 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
- Chenango County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.52%
- DSCR
- 2.71
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,960
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 563 Pat Farley Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,960 (-12%) | 20mo | $118,450 | $60 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.29% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.82×
- Total profit
- $66,873
- Equity at exit
- $53,084
- IRR
- 47.2%
- Equity multiple
- 10.62×
- Total profit
- $168,277
- Equity at exit
- $111,215
Cash invested: $17,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13843
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,385 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$328
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,144/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $562
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,625
- Closing costs
- $1,875
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $62,500 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $62,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $62,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $62,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $62,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$62,500 Active
-
2023-08-31historical
-
2023-08-18price $129,000
-
2023-06-03price $155,000
-
2023-05-18$174,900 Active
-
2019-07-09soldstatus $55,000
-
2019-07-01soldstatus $55,000 98-char remark
Show marketing remark (98 chars)
3-4 bedroom farm house nestled on 4.12 Acres. Small pond. Home needs some TLC has great potential.
-
2018-10-11$57,500 98-char remark
Show marketing remark (98 chars)
3-4 bedroom farm house nestled on 4.12 Acres. Small pond. Home needs some TLC has great potential.
-
1997-01-21soldstatus $43,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,144 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,144 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,621
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,501
- − Property taxes
- −$2,144
- − Insurance
- −$312
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,330
- − Management
- −$1,330
- − Depreciation
- −$1,818
- Taxable income
- $6,186
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,485
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,256/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Unadilla Valley Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3600019
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,176
- Composite
- 27.35/100
- National rank
- #6985
- State rank
- #571 of 590 in NY
Livability — Gilbertsville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #892
- US rank
- #17305
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,014
Population outlook (Chenango County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,669 people
- By 2030
- 43,484 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 38,774 · -15.1%
- By 2050
- 34,000 · -25.6%
- By 2075
- 24,637 · -46.1%
- By 2100
- 16,452 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chenango
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.2) · D 36.4% · R 63.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -27.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.2 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+28.1 2012: R+3.4 2008: R+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.29%
- Current HPI
- 295.6361
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+42.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $62,500 UNYREIS
- 2023-08-31 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2023-08-18 Price Changed $129,000 CNYIS
- 2023-06-03 Price Changed $155,000 CNYIS
- 2023-05-18 Listed $174,900 CNYIS
- 2019-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2019-07-01 Sold (MLS) $55,000 UNYREIS
- 2018-10-11 Listed $57,500 UNYREIS
- 1997-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $43,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,144 · +33.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…