1515 Westward Dr · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
West Elemenary School (K-5) grades and Gulfport Central Middle School (6-8) grades are within walking distance to the subject property. Subject property has a ramp and wide door openings for wheelchair access. This home is within minutes from downtown Gulfport, the beach, shopping, restaurants, entertainment, the Naval Construction Battalion of Gulfport, Memorial Hospital, Island View Casino and employment centers. There is a detached garage with a storage area. Fenced back yard with a deck. It is ready to move in!
Key facts
- Spacious back deck
- Fenced backyard
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Driveway with concrete surface; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One level; Assessor-provided living area; Move-in ready condition
- Construction: Siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Shingle roof; Built (year from assessor)
- Exterior features: Private yard; Deck; Front yard fencing; Fenced lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Move-in ready
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $186 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: West Elementary School (math 24% / reading 33%, grade F, #195 of 375 statewide, top 52%, 523 students, 100% FRL); Gulfport High School (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #54 of 197 statewide, top 28%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $120k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.63%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,399
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1426 33rd Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,105 (-1%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $204 | 75 |
| 3511 Park Blvd | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,006 (-10%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $75 | 74 |
| 3307 20th St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,052 (-6%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $33 | 69 |
| 1408 36th Ave | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,220 (+9%) | 10mo | $162,000 | $133 | 66 |
| 1310 36th Ave | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,286 (+15%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $136 | 60 |
| 1220 33rd Ave | 0.40mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $150 | 56 |
| 3617 22nd St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,051 (-6%) | 10mo | $74,900 | $71 | 55 |
| 1816 43rd Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 996 (-11%) | 2mo | $69,900 | $70 | 55 |
| 1221 42nd Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 7mo | $89,000 | $89 | 54 |
| 1873 43rd Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+7%) | 8mo | $104,900 | $87 | 54 |
| 1108 37th Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,267 (+13%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $174 | 50 |
| 2007 46th Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,150 (+3%) | 7mo | $139,500 | $121 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,175
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $43,549
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39501
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,222 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,207/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $186
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $254 | -5% $220 | +0% $186 | +5% $152 | +10% $118 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $89 | -5% $137 | +0% $186 | +5% $234 | +10% $282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $246 | -0.5pp $216 | base $186 | +0.5pp $155 | +1.0pp $123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3633 Southward Dr Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1513 34th Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 884 | $1,250 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1221 42nd Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3305 12th St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1106 32nd Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2414 34th Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,125 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4319 Lewis St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,649 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4409 Ford St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2068 W Beach Blvd Biloxi, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1412 Jo Ellen Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1275 | $1,050 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1206 Beach Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2125 22nd Ave Unit A & B A Gulfport, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $800 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1822 15th St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3008 50th Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2317 30th St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $2,150 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-05$99,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,207 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,207 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,666
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,207
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,173
- − Management
- −$1,173
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $300
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$72
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,156/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,565
- Household income
- $34,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.16%
- Current HPI
- 208.998
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.49%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+66.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $99,900 MLSU
- 2026-06-04 Listed $120,000 MLSU
- 2019-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-31 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2019-04-08 Listed $72,000 MLSU
- 2015-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2012-07-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-07-26 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2012-04-02 Listed $59,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,207 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…