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105 Randall Ave
B+ Composite 75.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

105 Randall Ave · Syracuse, NY 13207
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1930 4,356 sqft lot $57/sqft · 33% below area Est $104k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property for an experienced or 1st time.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 31 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story residence; Existing property condition
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular residential lot (approximately 0.1 acres, 33 x 132); City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7 (includes living, family, laundry areas)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Main level bathroom present
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $870 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $70k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $67,803 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.42%
Cap rate
21.22%
Cash-on-cash
53.31%
DSCR
3.37
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$104,037
List price
$69,900
Delta
-32.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
609 W Colvin St 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,236 (+2%) 2mo $100,000 $81 86
141 Charmouth Dr 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,248 (+3%) 4mo $65,000 $52 74
172 Parkway Dr 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,296 (+7%) 2mo $165,000 $127 73
119 Clyde Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,296 (+7%) 5mo $78,000 $60 71
122 Charmouth Dr 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,286 (+6%) 1mo $187,500 $146 70
358 W Newell St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,197 (-2%) 4mo $19,900 $17 70
309 W Kennedy St 0.46mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,196 (-2%) 2mo $101,000 $84 69
160 Berger Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,162 (-4%) 0mo $35,000 $30 64
1606 W Colvin St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,344 (+10%) 3mo $57,000 $42 63
347 Palmer Ave 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,144 (-6%) 4mo $70,000 $61 59
160 Baldwin Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (-9%) 4mo $75,000 $68 49
604 W Ostrander Ave 0.62mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,320 (+9%) 1mo $201,000 $152 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.4%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$44,070
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
56.7%
Equity multiple
6.61×
Total profit
$109,748
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13207

Home prices YoY
-23.0%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,690 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $838/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$355
Net cashflow
$870

Break-even live

Break-even rent $589
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $909 -5% $889 +0% $870 +5% $850 +10% $830
Rent -10% $736 -5% $803 +0% $870 +5% $936 +10% $1,003
Rate -1.0pp $905 -0.5pp $887 base $870 +0.5pp $851 +1.0pp $833

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
508-10 W Brighton Ave Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 735 $1,350 $1.84 14d 13 0.26mi
158 Parkway Dr Syracuse, NY 4.0 3.0 1029 $2,250 $2.19 21d 1 0.27mi
213 Fletcher Ave Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 14d 1 0.70mi
2859 S Salina St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.77mi
409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 849 $1,575 $1.86 14d 5 0.85mi
122 Putnam St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1064 $2,050 $1.93 21d 1 1.02mi
1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1449 $1,500 $1.04 44d 1 1.08mi
147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.5 1421 $2,000 $1.41 21d 1 1.09mi
315 Grant Ave #17 Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.0 1477 $1,275 $0.86 14d 1 1.14mi
300 Mains Ave Unit Bradford-7 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 14d 1 1.17mi
260 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1200 $2,097 $1.75 44d 1 1.30mi
259 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1350 $699 $0.52 44d 1 1.33mi
102 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 14d 1 1.33mi
116 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,295 $1.57 14d 7 1.42mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $69,900 Pending 31 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-04-30
    listed $69,900 Active 350-char remark
  5. 2021-02-09
    soldstatus $35,000
  6. 2021-02-08
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed Sale or Rented 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Great investment property for an experienced or 1st time.

  7. 2020-11-25
    status Pending Sale 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Great investment property for an experienced or 1st time.

  8. 2020-09-25
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Great investment property for an experienced or 1st time.

  9. 2020-09-24
    listed $35,000 Active 57-char remark
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Great investment property for an experienced or 1st time.

  10. 2011-12-08
    historical
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    Solid single family home. Currently rented. Some updating needed but well worth the investment. Offered at a great price.

  11. 2011-12-01
    soldstatus $12,500
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    Solid single family home. Currently rented. Some updating needed but well worth the investment. Offered at a great price.

  12. 2011-11-22
    soldstatus $12,500
  13. 2011-06-21
    listed $14,900
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    Solid single family home. Currently rented. Some updating needed but well worth the investment. Offered at a great price.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$838 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,010 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$172/yr (+$14/mo · 20.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,280
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$838
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,622
− Management
−$1,622
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$9,898
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,376
After-tax cash flow
$8,059/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
City population
152,627
Population (ZIP)
12,383

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 13% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.17%
Current HPI
318.9257
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+369.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $69,900 CNYIS
  • 2021-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2021-02-08 Sold (MLS) $35,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-11-25 Pending CNYIS
  • 2020-09-25 Pending CNYIS
  • 2020-09-24 Listed $35,000 CNYIS
  • 2011-12-08 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2011-12-01 Sold (MLS) $12,500 CNYIS
  • 2011-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
  • 2011-06-21 Listed $14,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $838 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…