105 Randall Ave · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property for an experienced or 1st time.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 31 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story residence; Existing property condition
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular residential lot (approximately 0.1 acres, 33 x 132); City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7 (includes living, family, laundry areas)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Main level bathroom present
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $870 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $70k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.31%
- DSCR
- 3.37
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,037
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -32.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 W Colvin St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,236 (+2%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $81 | 86 |
| 141 Charmouth Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (+3%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $52 | 74 |
| 172 Parkway Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,296 (+7%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $127 | 73 |
| 119 Clyde Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 5mo | $78,000 | $60 | 71 |
| 122 Charmouth Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,286 (+6%) | 1mo | $187,500 | $146 | 70 |
| 358 W Newell St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,197 (-2%) | 4mo | $19,900 | $17 | 70 |
| 309 W Kennedy St | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,196 (-2%) | 2mo | $101,000 | $84 | 69 |
| 160 Berger Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,162 (-4%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $30 | 64 |
| 1606 W Colvin St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 3mo | $57,000 | $42 | 63 |
| 347 Palmer Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,144 (-6%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $61 | 59 |
| 160 Baldwin Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (-9%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $68 | 49 |
| 604 W Ostrander Ave | 0.62mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,320 (+9%) | 1mo | $201,000 | $152 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $44,070
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 56.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.61×
- Total profit
- $109,748
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13207
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,690 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $838/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $870
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $909 | -5% $889 | +0% $870 | +5% $850 | +10% $830 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $736 | -5% $803 | +0% $870 | +5% $936 | +10% $1,003 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $905 | -0.5pp $887 | base $870 | +0.5pp $851 | +1.0pp $833 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508-10 W Brighton Ave Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,350 | $1.84 | 14d | 13 | 0.26mi |
| 158 Parkway Dr Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1029 | $2,250 | $2.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 213 Fletcher Ave Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2859 S Salina St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 409 Stolp Ave Syracuse, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,575 | $1.86 | 14d | 5 | 0.85mi |
| 122 Putnam St Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,050 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 315 Grant Ave #17 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,275 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 300 Mains Ave Unit Bradford-7 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 260 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,097 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 259 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $699 | $0.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 102 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 116 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,295 | $1.57 | 14d | 7 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-01status $69,900 Pending 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-30$69,900 Active 350-char remark
-
2021-02-09soldstatus $35,000
-
2021-02-08soldstatus $35,000 Closed Sale or Rented 57-char remark
Show marketing remark (57 chars)
Great investment property for an experienced or 1st time.
-
2020-11-25status Pending Sale 57-char remark
Show marketing remark (57 chars)
Great investment property for an experienced or 1st time.
-
2020-09-25status Under Contract- Do Not Show 57-char remark
Show marketing remark (57 chars)
Great investment property for an experienced or 1st time.
-
2020-09-24$35,000 Active 57-char remark
Show marketing remark (57 chars)
Great investment property for an experienced or 1st time.
-
2011-12-08historical
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Solid single family home. Currently rented. Some updating needed but well worth the investment. Offered at a great price.
-
2011-12-01soldstatus $12,500
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Solid single family home. Currently rented. Some updating needed but well worth the investment. Offered at a great price.
-
2011-11-22soldstatus $12,500
-
2011-06-21$14,900
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Solid single family home. Currently rented. Some updating needed but well worth the investment. Offered at a great price.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $838 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,010 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$172/yr (+$14/mo · 20.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$838
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,622
- − Management
- −$1,622
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $9,898
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,376
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,059/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- City population
- 152,627
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,383
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 13% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.17%
- Current HPI
- 318.9257
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+369.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $69,900 CNYIS
- 2021-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-08 Sold (MLS) $35,000 CNYIS
- 2020-11-25 Pending — CNYIS
- 2020-09-25 Pending — CNYIS
- 2020-09-24 Listed $35,000 CNYIS
- 2011-12-08 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2011-12-01 Sold (MLS) $12,500 CNYIS
- 2011-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
- 2011-06-21 Listed $14,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $838 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…