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558560 W Outer Dr Duplex
D Composite 42.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$305,000

558560 W Outer Dr · Oak Ridge, TN 37830
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,425 sqft · MultiFamily · 243 Days on market
Built 1943 Est $285k · 7% over ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic investment opportunity in Oak Ridge! This duplex features one spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath unit, and one 3-bedroom, 1-bath unit, each with new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring and washer/dryer hookups for added convenience. Both units currently occupied and under lease totaling $2,500 monthly income. The units offer functional layouts with plenty of natural light. The property includes a shared yard space, perfect for outdoor enjoyment or tenant gatherings. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and shopping, this property is ideal for investors or owner-occupants seeking rental income. Don't miss this chance to own a versatile duplex in a desirable area!

Key facts

  • Natural light
  • Washer dryer hookups
  • New lvp flooring

Tags

NEW LVP FLOORINGWASHER DRYER HOOKUPSSHARED YARD SPACENATURAL LIGHTLOCAL AMENITIESSCHOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax listed (amount not included per instructions)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity available
  • Home design: Residential income property (duplex); Attached property; Three or more levels
  • Construction: Frame and brick construction with vinyl siding; Other roof type
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 25,700 sq ft (about 0.59 acres)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One 3-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Other heating and cooling features listed
  • Interior features: Wood and vinyl flooring; Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $305k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $84/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $288k (5.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $268k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.4% in Oak Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#4 in TN, #2,605 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Oak Ridge (suburban): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #23 of 139 in TN (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Willow Brook Elementary (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #546 of 952 statewide, top 61%, 391 students, 0% FRL); Robertsville Middle School (math 32% / reading 31%, grade F, #89 of 333 statewide, top 28%, 702 students, 0% FRL); Oak Ridge High School (math 10% / reading 53%, grade F, #69 of 332 statewide, top 21%, 1,587 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 400 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (91 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,880/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 914% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $268,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.35%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$285,000
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
460 W Outer Dr 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,425 (0%) 9mo $340,000 $239 70
178180 Hillside Rd 0.74mi 5/— (+1) 1,425 (0%) 6mo $285,000 $200 55
178 & 180 Hillside Rd 0.75mi 5/— (+1) 1,425 (0%) 6mo $285,000 $200 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-38,398
Equity at exit
$45,476
10-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-18,217
Equity at exit
$26,371

Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37830

Home prices YoY
-33.2%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
18.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,880 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,599
Tax est. 1.5%
$381 /mo · $4,575/yr
Insurance
$127
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$605
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,668
Max offer price $305,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $378 -5% $273 +0% $167 +5% $62 +10% $-43
Rent -10% $-60 -5% $54 +0% $167 +5% $281 +10% $395
Rate -1.0pp $321 -0.5pp $245 base $167 +0.5pp $88 +1.0pp $8

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $1,368
1× unit 3 1 $1,512
Total (2 units) $2,880

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,250
Closing costs
$9,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
113 Wakeman Ln Oak Ridge, TN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 4d 1 0.20mi
102 Wainwright Rd Oak Ridge, TN 3.0 1.5 1250 $1,295 $1.04 4d 1 0.33mi
219 Highland Ave Unit 1 Oak Ridge, TN 3.0 1.0 950 $1,595 $1.68 4d 1 0.57mi
156 N Illinois Ave Oak Ridge, TN 3.0 2.0 1326 $1,695 $1.28 4d 1 0.66mi
289 Royce Cir Oak Ridge, TN 2.0–3.0 2.0 1063 $1,516 $1.43 4d 3 0.79mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $305,000 Active 243 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $305,000 Active 240 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $305,000 Active 239 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $305,000 Active 238 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $305,000 Active 237 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $305,000 Active 235 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $305,000 Active 232 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $305,000 Active 231 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $305,000 Active 230 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $305,000 Active 229 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $305,000 Active 225 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $305,000 Active 224 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $305,000 Active 223 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $305,000 Active 222 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $305,000 Active 221 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    price $305,000
  17. 2026-02-10
    price $310,000
  18. 2026-01-27
    price $315,000
  19. 2026-01-14
    price $320,000
  20. 2026-01-07
    price $323,000
  21. 2025-10-21
    listed $325,000 Active
  22. 2025-06-05
    historical 685-char remark
    Show marketing remark (685 chars)

    Fantastic investment opportunity in Oak Ridge! This duplex features one spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath unit, and one 3-bedroom, 1-bath unit, each with new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring and washer/dryer hookups for added convenience. Both units currently occupied and under lease totaling $2,500 monthly income. The units offer functional layouts with plenty of natural light. The property includes a shared yard space, perfect for outdoor enjoyment or tenant gatherings. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and shopping, this property is ideal for investors or owner-occupants seeking rental income. Don't miss this chance to own a versatile duplex in a desirable area!

  23. 2025-05-01
    listed $358,000 Active 685-char remark
    Show marketing remark (685 chars)

    Fantastic investment opportunity in Oak Ridge! This duplex features one spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath unit, and one 3-bedroom, 1-bath unit, each with new luxury vinyl plank (LVP) flooring and washer/dryer hookups for added convenience. Both units currently occupied and under lease totaling $2,500 monthly income. The units offer functional layouts with plenty of natural light. The property includes a shared yard space, perfect for outdoor enjoyment or tenant gatherings. Conveniently located near local amenities, schools, and shopping, this property is ideal for investors or owner-occupants seeking rental income. Don't miss this chance to own a versatile duplex in a desirable area!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,560
− Mortgage interest
−$17,085
− Property taxes
−$4,575
− Insurance
−$1,525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,765
− Management
−$2,765
− Depreciation
−$8,873
Taxable loss
−$3,027
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$726
After-tax cash flow
$2,735/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oak Ridge
NCES district ID
4703240
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,949
Composite
30.75/100
National rank
#6159
State rank
#23 of 139 in TN

Livability — Oak Ridge

Score
78/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#2605

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oak Ridge, TN
County
Anderson County · 33,038 people
City population
33,038
Metro
Knoxville, TN
Population (ZIP)
33,038
Household income
$72,269
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
914.0

Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,963 people
By 2030
77,226 · +0.3%
By 2040
76,905 · -0.1%
By 2050
75,405 · -2.0%
By 2075
70,858 · -7.9%
By 2100
60,585 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Anderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.5% · R 67.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.2pp · 2024: -35.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+34.3 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+26.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.89%
Current HPI
323.0396
Rent YoY
▲ 3.11%
Metro
Knoxville, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $305,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $310,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $315,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $320,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $323,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $325,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-05 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-01 Listed $358,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…