18104 Runyon St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful ranch house available! Walk into a spacious home, well maintained, ready to move in! It's a great house with 3be/1 bath. Don't miss the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1963
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 36 x 120 (0.1 acre)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Total of 6 rooms; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $576 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,330/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2372% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $418 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.83%
- DSCR
- 2.82
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $60,442
- List price
- $60,500
- Delta
- 0.10%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18104 Runyon St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (0%) | 0mo | $58,000 | $54 | 100 |
| 17665 Runyon St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,096 (+2%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $46 | 80 |
| 17650 Beland St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,094 (+2%) | 2mo | $67,000 | $61 | 79 |
| 17892 Runyon St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 995 (-8%) | 2mo | $56,000 | $56 | 77 |
| 18696 Blackmoor St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (-6%) | 0mo | $77,500 | $77 | 71 |
| 18431 Teppert St | 0.12mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+11%) | 2mo | $67,500 | $56 | 69 |
| 8245 E Hildale St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (-5%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $44 | 57 |
| 12802 Dresden St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+7%) | 5mo | $25,000 | $22 | 50 |
| 18982 Hamburg St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (-12%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $47 | 50 |
| 19161 Hamburg St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-11%) | 2mo | $116,000 | $121 | 49 |
| 11455 Kenmoor St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 955 (-11%) | 4mo | $119,000 | $125 | 41 |
| 18652 Goulburn St | 0.71mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+11%) | 2mo | $23,000 | $19 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $32,124
- Equity at exit
- $9,021
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.81×
- Total profit
- $98,337
- Equity at exit
- $5,231
Cash invested: $16,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,330 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$317
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,579/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $576
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,125
- Closing costs
- $1,815
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 18431 Teppert St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 18119 Joann St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 19207 Westphalia St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1179 | $1,800 | $1.53 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,225 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 19419 Westphalia St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1293 | $1,325 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 19170 Joann St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 19610 Westphalia St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7533 Quinn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 20290 Annott St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 17d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,374 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7600 Dobel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1234 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $1,300 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,349 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,300 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 19691 Cliff St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $3,102 | $3.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-07status $60,500 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $60,500 Active 28 DOM
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
Beautiful ranch house available! Walk into a spacious home, well maintained, ready to move in! It's a great house with 3be/1 bath. Don't miss the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-07$60,500 Active 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
Beautiful ranch house available! Walk into a spacious home, well maintained, ready to move in! It's a great house with 3be/1 bath. Don't miss the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.
-
2026-05-07$60,500 Active 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
Beautiful ranch house available! Walk into a spacious home, well maintained, ready to move in! It's a great house with 3be/1 bath. Don't miss the opportunity to call this place home! Schedule your visit through showing time.
-
2018-08-20soldstatus $60,495
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great curb appeal--well taken care of home--close to I-94--shopping--schools. Updated kitchen, freshly painted.
-
2018-08-20soldstatus $60,495
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great curb appeal--well taken care of home--close to I-94--shopping--schools. Updated kitchen, freshly painted.
-
2018-08-16soldstatus $61,750
-
2018-07-18$64,750
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great curb appeal--well taken care of home--close to I-94--shopping--schools. Updated kitchen, freshly painted.
-
2018-07-18$64,750
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great curb appeal--well taken care of home--close to I-94--shopping--schools. Updated kitchen, freshly painted.
-
1995-08-09soldstatus $42,500
-
1995-04-29$42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,579 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,579 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,956
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,389
- − Property taxes
- −$1,579
- − Insurance
- −$302
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,276
- − Management
- −$1,276
- − Depreciation
- −$1,760
- Taxable income
- $6,373
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,529
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+38.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $58,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $58,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Listed $60,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Listed $60,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-20 Sold (MLS) $60,495 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-08-20 Sold (MLS) $60,495 REALCOMP
- 2018-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $61,750 Public Records
- 2018-07-18 Listed $64,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-18 Listed $64,750 REALCOMP
- 1995-08-09 Sold (MLS) $42,500 REALCOMP
- 1995-04-29 Listed $42,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,579 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…