CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5055 NE ELLIOTT CIR #178 Plan
C Composite 59.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

5055 NE ELLIOTT CIR #178 Plan · Corvallis, OR 97330
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · Manufactured · 317 Days on market
Good condition $160/sqft · 84% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brand new manufactured home under construction in Knoll Terrace at lot #217. Complete package includes set-up & delivery, covered carport w/ concrete driveway, walkway, skirting, steps & wood rails, rain gutters, front landscaping and Tuff shed. New kitchen appliances. Pet friendly, no weight or breed restrictions. Premier manufactured home community located in the heart of the Willamette Valley. Accepted offer w/ contingencies #178. Currently under construction is #217. Monthly space rent incentives and financing available on approval. Call for more info.

Key facts

  • Covered carport
  • Pet friendly
  • Concrete driveway

Tags

COVERED CARPORTCONCRETE DRIVEWAYNEW KITCHEN APPLIANCESPET FRIENDLY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.6% in Corvallis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#45 in OR, #1,113 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Corvallis SD 509J (urban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #15 of 183 in OR (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 317 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $197,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 317 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.26%
Cash-on-cash
7.03%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,550
List price
$224,900
Delta
83.52%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5055 NE Elliott Cir #51 0.02mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (0%) 9mo $160,000 $114 86
5055 NE Elliott Cir #35 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+8%) 6mo $125,000 $83 81
5055 NE Elliott Cir #8 0.02mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-4%) 10mo $100,000 $74 78
5055 NE Elliott Cir #30 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+8%) 19mo $173,750 $115 70
5055 NE Elliott Cir #20 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,224 (-13%) 23mo $174,900 $143 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-6,006
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$55,119
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97330

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
229
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,435 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax est. 1.5%
$281 /mo · $3,374/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$511
Net cashflow
$369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,967
Max offer price $224,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $524 -5% $447 +0% $369 +5% $291 +10% $214
Rent -10% $177 -5% $273 +0% $369 +5% $465 +10% $561
Rate -1.0pp $482 -0.5pp $426 base $369 +0.5pp $311 +1.0pp $251

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $224,900 Active 317 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $224,900 Active 316 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $224,900 Active 315 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $224,900 Active 314 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,900 Active 313 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $224,900 Active 311 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $224,900 Active 308 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $224,900 Active 307 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,900 Active 306 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,900 Active 305 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $224,900 Active 302 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,900 Active 301 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,900 Active 300 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active 299 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 298 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $224,900 Active 297 DOM
  17. 2026-03-11
    price $224,900 574-char remark
    Show marketing remark (574 chars)

    Brand new manufactured home under construction in Knoll Terrace at lot #217. Complete package includes set-up & delivery, covered carport w/ concrete driveway, walkway, skirting, steps & wood rails, rain gutters, front landscaping and Tuff shed. New kitchen appliances. Pet friendly, no weight or breed restrictions. Premier manufactured home community located in the heart of the Willamette Valley. Accepted offer w/ contingencies #178. Currently under construction is #217. Monthly space rent incentives and financing available on approval. Call for more info.

  18. 2025-08-06
    listed $224,500 Active 574-char remark
    Show marketing remark (574 chars)

    Brand new manufactured home under construction in Knoll Terrace at lot #217. Complete package includes set-up & delivery, covered carport w/ concrete driveway, walkway, skirting, steps & wood rails, rain gutters, front landscaping and Tuff shed. New kitchen appliances. Pet friendly, no weight or breed restrictions. Premier manufactured home community located in the heart of the Willamette Valley. Accepted offer w/ contingencies #178. Currently under construction is #217. Monthly space rent incentives and financing available on approval. Call for more info.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,215
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$3,374
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,337
− Management
−$2,337
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable income
$902
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$216
After-tax cash flow
$4,212/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 85/100 None rehab

This brand new manufactured home is under construction and will be move-in ready upon completion. It features new appliances, flooring, and windows, with a good curb appeal and landscaping. The property is located in a premier manufactured home community in the Willamette Valley.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances both resale and rental value.
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Improves both resale and rental value.
  • Both New flooring — Improves both resale and rental value.
  • Both New windows — Improves both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances both resale and rental value.
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Improves both resale and rental value.
  • Both New flooring — Improves both resale and rental value.
  • Both New windows — Improves both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corvallis SD 509J
NCES district ID
4103480
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,820
Composite
48.62/100
National rank
#4584
State rank
#15 of 183 in OR

Livability — Corvallis

Score
82/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#1113

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment C Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Benton County · 98,484 people
City population
67,812
Metro
Corvallis, OR
Population (ZIP)
43,878
Household income
$70,742
Rent vs Own
48.4% rent · 51.6% own
Severe rent burden
3416.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
96,963 people
By 2030
101,658 · +4.8%
By 2040
110,157 · +13.6%
By 2050
119,275 · +23.0%
By 2075
145,172 · +49.7%
By 2100
165,349 · +70.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 3% Korean 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.6) · D 68.1% · R 28.5% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+8.1pp toward D · 2008: 31.5pp · 2024: 39.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.6 2020: D+39.7 2016: D+33.8 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+31.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -420.12%
Current HPI
298.7746
Rent YoY
▲ 5.74%
Metro
Corvallis, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $224,900 Zillow
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $224,500 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…