4028 Sealy St · Galveston, TX
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor dream. The home has lots of potential.
Key facts
- 3,611 sq ft lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 42 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story (all primary rooms listed on the first floor); Built in 1955
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Block foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Two additional bedrooms on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: 3 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($928/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 0.1% in Galveston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#108 in TX, #3,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D, crime F.
- Galveston ISD (town): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #514 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 622 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,966/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2193% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.81%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $219,374
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -50.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4318 Avenue K | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (-7%) | 5mo | $199,000 | $130 | 73 |
| 4701 Alamo Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (-7%) | 1mo | $349,000 | $228 | 65 |
| 4017 Avenue L | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-14%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $203 | 64 |
| 3905 Avenue L | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,408 (-14%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $153 | 60 |
| 4509 N Live Oak Cir | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,472 (-10%) | 3mo | $335,000 | $228 | 60 |
| 1102 36th St | 0.40mi | 3/3.5 | 1,859 (+13%) | 1mo | $580,000 | $312 | 52 |
| 3535 Avenue M | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-13%) | 0mo | $355,000 | $250 | 52 |
| 3533 Avenue M | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-13%) | 5mo | $359,500 | $253 | 48 |
| 4701 Avenue N 1/2 | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,832 (+12%) | 6mo | $299,000 | $163 | 43 |
| 4901 Wharton Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,424 (-13%) | 0mo | $252,000 | $177 | 43 |
| 4626 Avenue O 1/2 | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,830 (+12%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $74 | 42 |
| 3609 Avenue O | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,394 (-15%) | 6mo | $325,000 | $233 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-18,023
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- -29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-29,688
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77550
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 622
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,966 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$432 /mo · $5,184/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3808 Avenue L Unit L Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4025 Avenue M Unit M Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1628 | $2,490 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3523 Avenue L Unit L Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4406 Avenue N Galveston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,230 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4309 Ursuline Ave Unit 1flr Galveston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3002 Avenue K Galveston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $3,175 | $2.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2915 Avenue H Galveston, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.0 | 1118 | $2,100 | $1.88 | 1d | 15 | 0.81mi |
| 3602 Avenue Q 1/2 Galveston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $2,500 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5006 Bernardo De Galvez Ave Unit RL14 Galveston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,350 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2221 35th St Galveston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,300 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2221 35th St Unit UP Galveston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,300 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4824 Avenue R Galveston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2814 Avenue O 1/2 Galveston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4818 Avenue R 1/2 Galveston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1264 | $1,875 | $1.48 | 1d | 2 | 1.10mi |
| 3828 S Avenue 1/2 Galveston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1770 | $1,600 | $0.90 | 20d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2427 35th St Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,500 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2001 29th St Galveston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1109 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4420 Avenue T Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,100 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1801 Rosenberg St Unit HOUSE Galveston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1288 | $2,700 | $2.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-07$109,000 Active 47-char remark
-
2001-03-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,184 · $432/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,184 · $432/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$5,184
- − Insurance
- −$5,664
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,887
- − Management
- −$1,887
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$310
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$74
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,003/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galveston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820280
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,162
- Composite
- 30.22/100
- National rank
- #6299
- State rank
- #514 of 826 in TX
Livability — Galveston
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #3559
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Galveston, TX
- County
- Galveston County · 357,330 people
- City population
- 55,599
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,489
- Household income
- $45,047
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2193.0
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 19% Black 19% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.96%
- Current HPI
- 324.2159
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.12%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $109,000 HARMLS
- 2001-03-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+18.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,184 · +251.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…