1006 Morning Sun Dr #1006 · Meadowbrook, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cute and clean main level condo recently updated. New paint, new tub and shower liner, new appliances to remain and washer/dryer to remain. Living room with wood burning fireplace. Dining room just off kitchen. Clubhouse, tennis courts and a sparkling pool. Easy access to Hwy 280, shopping and restaurants. Check out the pictures. You won't be disappointed
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Tennis courts
- Main level condo
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Horizon Condominiums
- Financial info: Yearly fire fee ($600) and yearly library fee ($10)
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $217 covering building insurance, sewage service, garbage collection, common grounds maintenance, pest control, reserves for improvements, and utilities for common areas
Exterior
- Parking: Parking at main level
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Underground utilities; Internet service available
- Home design: Condominium (unit 1006); Existing construction
- Construction: 4-side brick and vinyl siding exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Covered and open decks; Covered patio/porch; Lighting system; Community in-ground pool with cleaning system and perimeter fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Breakfast bar; Electric cooktop, electric oven, electric stove; Built-in dishwasher; Refrigerator; Some stainless appliances
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo; Linen closet
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating (forced air); Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Cathedral/vaulted and smooth ceilings; Brick fireplace in the living room (woodburning)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level in a closet; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $145k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-72 ($-860/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (7.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (18.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $118k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Meadowbrook — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#172 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Shelby County (suburban): math 30% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #16 of 129 in AL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Inverness Elementary School (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B-, #63 of 627 statewide, top 10%, 582 students, 29% FRL); Oak Mountain High School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade D+, #11 of 305 statewide, top 4%, 1,561 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 26% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 399 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 987 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 12% of the median local income ($117k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shelby County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.12%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,865
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -8.73%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-30,583
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-42,411
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35242
- Home prices YoY
- -32.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 399
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,178 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $-72
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $29 | -5% $-22 | +0% $-72 | +5% $-122 | +10% $-172 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-165 | -5% $-118 | +0% $-72 | +5% $-25 | +10% $21 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1 | -0.5pp $-35 | base $-72 | +0.5pp $-109 | +1.0pp $-147 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 817 Morning Sun Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,300 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3 Greenhill Pkwy Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 650 | $1,062 | $1.63 | 4d | 8 | 0.68mi |
| 100 Inverness Ln Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $965 | $0.82 | 2d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1 Eagle Ridge Dr Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 914 | $953 | $1.04 | 2d | 17 | 0.89mi |
| 1 Brook Highland Ln Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1153 | $999 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3100 Heatherbrooke Rd Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $816 | $0.82 | 2d | 50 | 0.97mi |
| 1 Meadow Dr Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1153 | $999 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1 Lake Heather Reserve Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1119 | $1,195 | $1.07 | 2d | 16 | 1.10mi |
| 850 Shoal Run Trl Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $949 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 801 Cahaba Forest Cv Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1054 | $1,009 | $0.96 | 4d | 24 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $145,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $159,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$169,900 Active 357-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,132
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,131
- − Management
- −$1,131
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$3,369
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$809
- After-tax cash flow
- $-52/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
A well-maintained townhouse with fresh paint and good curb appeal, ready for a new owner or renter.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value
- Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can attract more potential buyers or renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can attract more potential buyers or renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shelby County
- NCES district ID
- 0103030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,672
- Composite
- 39.29/100
- National rank
- #3995
- State rank
- #16 of 129 in AL
Livability — Meadowbrook
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #14884
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Meadowbrook, AL
- County
- Shelby County · 188,970 people
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,374
- Household income
- $117,047
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1518.0
Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 237,024 people
- By 2030
- 249,868 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 272,778 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +22.8%
- By 2075
- 326,049 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 335,870 · +41.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 10% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shelby
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.0% · R 69.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +12.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.14%
- Current HPI
- 208.0564
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-14.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $145,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $159,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $169,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…