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1230 Airport Rd
C Composite 56.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1230 Airport Rd · Alma, AR 72921
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 153 Days on market
Built 1955 0.42 ac lot $120/sqft · 24% above area Est $77k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath home conveniently located close to downtown Alma. New roof is 1 year old, new siding material within the last year. Heat source is thermostatically controlled. Washer/Dryer & fridge convey with acceptable offer. Home is in the Rural Development eligible area. All of this on a large, deep lot, perfect for endless possibilities.

Key facts

  • Large deep lot
  • New siding
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW SIDINGLARGE DEEP LOTCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.1% in Alma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#223 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Alma School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #111 of 238 in AR (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crawford County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $76k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
10.37%
Cash-on-cash
14.55%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,681
List price
$95,000
Delta
23.89%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1230 Airport Rd 0.00mi 2/1.0 792 (0%) 14mo $76,000 $96 88
523 London St 0.07mi 2/1.0 864 (+9%) 11mo $38,500 $45 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$5,114
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$30,749
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72921

Home prices YoY
-5.6%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,122 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $310/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$323

Break-even live

Break-even rent $713
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $376 -5% $350 +0% $323 +5% $296 +10% $269
Rent -10% $234 -5% $278 +0% $323 +5% $367 +10% $411
Rate -1.0pp $370 -0.5pp $347 base $323 +0.5pp $298 +1.0pp $273

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 153 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 151 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 149 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 148 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 146 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 145 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 143 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 138 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 137 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 136 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 135 DOM
  15. 2026-03-24
    status Active 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath home conveniently located close to downtown Alma. New roof is 1 year old, new siding material within the last year. Heat source is thermostatically controlled. Washer/Dryer & fridge convey with acceptable offer. Home is in the Rural Development eligible area. All of this on a large, deep lot, perfect for endless possibilities.

  16. 2026-03-18
    status Pending 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath home conveniently located close to downtown Alma. New roof is 1 year old, new siding material within the last year. Heat source is thermostatically controlled. Washer/Dryer & fridge convey with acceptable offer. Home is in the Rural Development eligible area. All of this on a large, deep lot, perfect for endless possibilities.

  17. 2026-02-17
    price $95,000 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath home conveniently located close to downtown Alma. New roof is 1 year old, new siding material within the last year. Heat source is thermostatically controlled. Washer/Dryer & fridge convey with acceptable offer. Home is in the Rural Development eligible area. All of this on a large, deep lot, perfect for endless possibilities.

  18. 2026-01-09
    listed $100,000 Active 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath home conveniently located close to downtown Alma. New roof is 1 year old, new siding material within the last year. Heat source is thermostatically controlled. Washer/Dryer & fridge convey with acceptable offer. Home is in the Rural Development eligible area. All of this on a large, deep lot, perfect for endless possibilities.

  19. 2025-04-07
    soldstatus $76,000 Closed 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home in Alma sitting on just under a half acre in a quiet neighborhood. New roof with architectural shingles and new decking. New lighting throughout, new electric range and new bathroom vanity. Spacious front porch and expansive backyard with mature trees. Close to Award-winning Alma Schools, great Restaurants, Shopping , Lake Alma, Hiking trails , Golf and Frisbee Golf. 45 miles to Fayetteville and 15 miles to Fort Smith

  20. 2025-03-20
    status Pending 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home in Alma sitting on just under a half acre in a quiet neighborhood. New roof with architectural shingles and new decking. New lighting throughout, new electric range and new bathroom vanity. Spacious front porch and expansive backyard with mature trees. Close to Award-winning Alma Schools, great Restaurants, Shopping , Lake Alma, Hiking trails , Golf and Frisbee Golf. 45 miles to Fayetteville and 15 miles to Fort Smith

  21. 2025-03-13
    price $80,000 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home in Alma sitting on just under a half acre in a quiet neighborhood. New roof with architectural shingles and new decking. New lighting throughout, new electric range and new bathroom vanity. Spacious front porch and expansive backyard with mature trees. Close to Award-winning Alma Schools, great Restaurants, Shopping , Lake Alma, Hiking trails , Golf and Frisbee Golf. 45 miles to Fayetteville and 15 miles to Fort Smith

  22. 2025-03-08
    status Active 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home in Alma sitting on just under a half acre in a quiet neighborhood. New roof with architectural shingles and new decking. New lighting throughout, new electric range and new bathroom vanity. Spacious front porch and expansive backyard with mature trees. Close to Award-winning Alma Schools, great Restaurants, Shopping , Lake Alma, Hiking trails , Golf and Frisbee Golf. 45 miles to Fayetteville and 15 miles to Fort Smith

  23. 2025-02-19
    status Pending 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home in Alma sitting on just under a half acre in a quiet neighborhood. New roof with architectural shingles and new decking. New lighting throughout, new electric range and new bathroom vanity. Spacious front porch and expansive backyard with mature trees. Close to Award-winning Alma Schools, great Restaurants, Shopping , Lake Alma, Hiking trails , Golf and Frisbee Golf. 45 miles to Fayetteville and 15 miles to Fort Smith

  24. 2025-02-19
    price $82,000 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home in Alma sitting on just under a half acre in a quiet neighborhood. New roof with architectural shingles and new decking. New lighting throughout, new electric range and new bathroom vanity. Spacious front porch and expansive backyard with mature trees. Close to Award-winning Alma Schools, great Restaurants, Shopping , Lake Alma, Hiking trails , Golf and Frisbee Golf. 45 miles to Fayetteville and 15 miles to Fort Smith

  25. 2025-01-25
    price $69,900 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home in Alma sitting on just under a half acre in a quiet neighborhood. New roof with architectural shingles and new decking. New lighting throughout, new electric range and new bathroom vanity. Spacious front porch and expansive backyard with mature trees. Close to Award-winning Alma Schools, great Restaurants, Shopping , Lake Alma, Hiking trails , Golf and Frisbee Golf. 45 miles to Fayetteville and 15 miles to Fort Smith

  26. 2024-12-14
    listed $79,900 Active 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    2 bedroom 1 bath home in Alma sitting on just under a half acre in a quiet neighborhood. New roof with architectural shingles and new decking. New lighting throughout, new electric range and new bathroom vanity. Spacious front porch and expansive backyard with mature trees. Close to Award-winning Alma Schools, great Restaurants, Shopping , Lake Alma, Hiking trails , Golf and Frisbee Golf. 45 miles to Fayetteville and 15 miles to Fort Smith

  27. 2024-11-25
    soldstatus $33,000 Closed
  28. 2024-10-25
    status Pending
  29. 2024-10-25
    price $33,000
  30. 2024-10-01
    listed $1 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$310 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$608 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$298/yr (+$25/mo · 96.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,461
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$310
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,077
− Management
−$1,077
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$2,438
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$585
After-tax cash flow
$3,286/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alma School District
NCES district ID
0502250
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,566
Composite
30.34/100
National rank
#6264
State rank
#111 of 238 in AR

Livability — Alma

Score
62/100
State rank
#223
US rank
#17089

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Alma, AR
Population (ZIP)
12,827

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,108 people
By 2030
61,519 · -0.9%
By 2040
59,735 · -3.8%
By 2050
57,521 · -7.4%
By 2075
53,143 · -14.4%
By 2100
49,596 · -20.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.2) · D 19.9% · R 78.1% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -58.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.2 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+55.0 2012: R+49.9 2008: R+46.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -14.80%
Current HPI
249.3307
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+187.9% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Relisted WRVBOR
  • 2026-03-18 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $95,000 WRVBOR
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $100,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-04-07 Sold (MLS) $76,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-03-20 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2025-03-13 Price Changed $80,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-03-08 Relisted WRVBOR
  • 2025-02-19 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2025-02-19 Price Changed $82,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-01-25 Price Changed $69,900 WRVBOR
  • 2024-12-14 Listed $79,900 WRVBOR
  • 2024-11-25 Sold (MLS) $33,000 WRVBOR
  • 2024-10-25 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2024-10-25 Price Changed $33,000 WRVBOR
  • 2024-10-01 Listed $1 WRVBOR

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $310 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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