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70 Holly St
A- Composite 82.13
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$89,000

70 Holly St · Great Falls, SC 29055
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 298 Days on market
Built 1940 Fair condition 8,058 sqft lot $77/sqft · 35% below area Est $138k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

RECENTLY REMODELED BATHROOM GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY

Key facts

  • 8,058 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 297 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $679 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 7.0% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#244 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Chester 01 (rural): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #59 of 80 in SC (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Great Falls Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #369 of 597 statewide, top 64%, 348 students, 100% FRL); Great Falls High (math 21% / reading 40%, grade F, #189 of 196 statewide, top 97%, 386 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 64% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 269 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Chester County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.45%
Cash-on-cash
32.71%
DSCR
2.46
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,761
List price
$89,000
Delta
-35.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
66 Holly St 0.03mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,152 (0%) 10mo $70,000 $61 86
38 Holly St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,224 (+6%) 12mo $60,000 $49 68
36 Holly St 0.25mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,288 (+12%) 0mo $120,000 $93 62
10 Wilson Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,130 (-2%) 1mo $40,000 $35 60
99 Locust St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,211 (+5%) 20mo $195,000 $161 57
45 Oak St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,318 (+14%) 14mo $185,000 $140 56
3 Underwood Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,320 (+15%) 6mo $181,000 $137 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.8%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$52,050
Equity at exit
$37,982
10-year hold
IRR
38.2%
Equity multiple
6.10×
Total profit
$127,071
Equity at exit
$56,997

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
5 active · 4 under contract
Months of supply
15.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$65,000 ($55/sqft)
Median days on market
244 d
This list price
80% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+116.3% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 29055

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,551 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $508/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$679

Break-even live

Break-even rent $691
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $730 -5% $704 +0% $679 +5% $654 +10% $629
Rent -10% $557 -5% $618 +0% $679 +5% $741 +10% $802
Rate -1.0pp $724 -0.5pp $702 base $679 +0.5pp $656 +1.0pp $633

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
No HOA

Exterior

Parking
Driveway
Utilities
City waterPublic sewerCable availableElectricity connected
Home design
Single-family residence (residential)One level
Construction
Site-built constructionAluminum exteriorCrawl space foundationBuilt as a one-story home
Exterior features
Dirt and paved road accessPublicly maintained road

Interior

Kitchen
No appliances listed
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms on the main level
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom on the main level
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
3 rooms totalNo appliances included
Laundry & utility
Laundry area located in the kitchen

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-30
    days on market $89,000 Active 298 DOM
  2. 2026-08-29
    days on market $89,000 Active 297 DOM
  3. 2026-08-28
    days on market $89,000 Active 296 DOM
  4. 2026-08-27
    days on market $89,000 Active 295 DOM
  5. 2026-08-26
    days on market $89,000 Active 294 DOM
  6. 2026-08-25
    days on market $89,000 Active 293 DOM
  7. 2026-08-24
    days on market $89,000 Active 292 DOM
  8. 2026-08-23
    days on market $89,000 Active 291 DOM
  9. 2026-08-22
    days on market $89,000 Active 290 DOM
  10. 2026-08-21
    days on market $89,000 Active 289 DOM
  11. 2026-08-20
    days on market $89,000 Active 288 DOM
  12. 2026-08-19
    days on market $89,000 Active 287 DOM
  13. 2026-08-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 286 DOM
  14. 2026-08-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 285 DOM
  15. 2026-08-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 284 DOM
  16. 2026-08-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 283 DOM
  17. 2026-08-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 282 DOM
  18. 2026-08-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 281 DOM
  19. 2026-08-12
    days on market $89,000 Active 280 DOM
  20. 2026-08-11
    days on market $89,000 Active 279 DOM
  21. 2026-08-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 278 DOM
  22. 2026-08-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 277 DOM
  23. 2026-08-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 276 DOM
  24. 2026-08-06
    days on market $89,000 Active 274 DOM
  25. 2026-08-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 273 DOM
  26. 2026-08-04
    days on market $89,000 Active 272 DOM
  27. 2026-08-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 271 DOM
  28. 2026-07-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 268 DOM
  29. 2026-07-30
    days on market $89,000 Active 266 DOM
  30. 2026-07-28
    days on market $89,000 Active 265 DOM
  31. 2026-07-26
    days on market $89,000 Active 263 DOM
  32. 2026-07-24
    days on market $89,000 Active 261 DOM
  33. 2026-07-23
    days on market $89,000 Active 260 DOM
  34. 2026-07-22
    days on market $89,000 Active 259 DOM
  35. 2026-07-21
    days on market $89,000 Active 258 DOM
  36. 2026-07-20
    days on market $89,000 Active 257 DOM
  37. 2026-07-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 255 DOM
  38. 2026-07-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 254 DOM
  39. 2026-07-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 253 DOM
  40. 2026-07-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 252 DOM
  41. 2026-07-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 251 DOM
  42. 2026-07-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 250 DOM
  43. 2026-07-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 249 DOM
  44. 2026-07-11
    days on market $89,000 Active 248 DOM
  45. 2026-07-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 247 DOM
  46. 2026-07-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 246 DOM
  47. 2026-07-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 244 DOM
  48. 2026-07-06
    days on market $89,000 Active 243 DOM
  49. 2026-07-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 242 DOM
  50. 2026-07-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 240 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$508 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$508 · $42/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,613
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$508
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,489
− Management
−$1,489
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$7,108
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,706
After-tax cash flow
$6,445/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $28,800–$51,840 screening

This property requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a major roof replacement and exterior siding repair, to improve its condition and value.

Components & finishes AI

Roof asphalt shingle · good

Deferred maintenance Est. $2,000–$8,000 screening

  • Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
  • Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the windows.
  • Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the electrical components.
  • Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the plumbing.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant damage visible in satellite image
  • Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling paint
  • Major landscaping — General lack of landscaping and overgrown vegetation

Value-add opportunities

  • Both repair roof — Critical to safety and appearance
  • Both repair exterior siding — Improves appearance and structural integrity
  • Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 31/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Great Falls Elementary F SC #369/597 Nat'l #24,950/41,679 High Great Falls High F SC #189/196 Nat'l #10,882/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chester 01
NCES district ID
4501530
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$34,041
Composite
23.39/100
National rank
#7902
State rank
#59 of 80 in SC
D Composite livability gradescore 59/100

Livability — Great Falls

Score
59/100
State rank
#244
US rank
#20086

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Great Falls, SC
County
Chester · 30,121 people
City population
3,858
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
3,858
Household income
$43,631
Rent vs Own
14.9% rent · 85.1% own
Severe rent burden
2% of renters

Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,121 people
By 2030
28,700 · -4.7%
By 2040
25,784 · -14.4%
By 2050
23,001 · -23.6%
By 2075
17,770 · -41.0%
By 2100
13,584 · -54.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 37% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Chester

2024 margin
R (+17.2) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -17.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.2 2020: R+10.9 2016: R+4.8 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-91.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $89,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-04 Coming Soon $89,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1985-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $1,000,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $508 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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