70 Holly St · Great Falls, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 44.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
RECENTLY REMODELED BATHROOM GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY
Key facts
- 8,058 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 297 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $679 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 7.0% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#244 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Chester 01 (rural): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #59 of 80 in SC (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Great Falls Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #369 of 597 statewide, top 64%, 348 students, 100% FRL); Great Falls High (math 21% / reading 40%, grade F, #189 of 196 statewide, top 97%, 386 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 64% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 269 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Chester County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.71%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $137,761
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -35.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 Holly St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (0%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $61 | 86 |
| 38 Holly St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,224 (+6%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $49 | 68 |
| 36 Holly St | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,288 (+12%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $93 | 62 |
| 10 Wilson Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,130 (-2%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $35 | 60 |
| 99 Locust St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,211 (+5%) | 20mo | $195,000 | $161 | 57 |
| 45 Oak St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,318 (+14%) | 14mo | $185,000 | $140 | 56 |
| 3 Underwood Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,320 (+15%) | 6mo | $181,000 | $137 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $52,050
- Equity at exit
- $37,982
- IRR
- 38.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.10×
- Total profit
- $127,071
- Equity at exit
- $56,997
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 15.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $65,000 ($55/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 244 d
- This list price
- 80% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +116.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 29055
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,551 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $508/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $679
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $730 | -5% $704 | +0% $679 | +5% $654 | +10% $629 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $557 | -5% $618 | +0% $679 | +5% $741 | +10% $802 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $724 | -0.5pp $702 | base $679 | +0.5pp $656 | +1.0pp $633 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- No HOA
Exterior
- Parking
- Driveway
- Utilities
- City waterPublic sewerCable availableElectricity connected
- Home design
- Single-family residence (residential)One level
- Construction
- Site-built constructionAluminum exteriorCrawl space foundationBuilt as a one-story home
- Exterior features
- Dirt and paved road accessPublicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen
- No appliances listed
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- 3 rooms totalNo appliances included
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry area located in the kitchen
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-30days on market $89,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $89,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $89,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $89,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $89,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $89,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $89,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $89,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $89,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $89,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $89,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $89,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $89,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $89,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $89,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $89,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $89,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $89,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $89,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $89,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $89,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $89,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $89,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $89,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $89,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $89,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $89,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $89,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $89,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $89,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $89,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $89,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $89,000 Active 260 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $89,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $89,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $89,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $89,000 Active 255 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $89,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $89,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $89,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $89,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $89,000 Active 250 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $89,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $89,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $89,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $89,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $89,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $89,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $89,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $89,000 Active 240 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $508 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $508 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,613
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$508
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,489
- − Management
- −$1,489
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $7,108
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,706
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This property requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a major roof replacement and exterior siding repair, to improve its condition and value.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $2,000–$8,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the windows.
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the electrical components.
- Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the plumbing.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Significant damage visible in satellite image
- Major exterior siding — Weathered and peeling paint
- Major landscaping — General lack of landscaping and overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Both repair roof — Critical to safety and appearance ↑
- Both repair exterior siding — Improves appearance and structural integrity ↑
- Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chester 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501530
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,041
- Composite
- 23.39/100
- National rank
- #7902
- State rank
- #59 of 80 in SC
Livability — Great Falls
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #20086
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Great Falls, SC
- County
- Chester · 30,121 people
- City population
- 3,858
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,858
- Household income
- $43,631
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2% of renters
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,121 people
- By 2030
- 28,700 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 25,784 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 23,001 · -23.6%
- By 2075
- 17,770 · -41.0%
- By 2100
- 13,584 · -54.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 37% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.2) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -17.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.2 2020: R+10.9 2016: R+4.8 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.59%
- Current HPI
- 247.4479
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-91.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-06 Listed $89,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-04 Coming Soon $89,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $1,000,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $508 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…