727 S Joe Martinez Ln · Pueblo West, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEWLY RENOVATED AND ADORABLE! NEW CARPET, LINOLEUM, PAINT, KITCHEN CABINETS, HOT WATER HEATER AND MUCH MORE! GOOD SIZE LOT.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Off street parking
- Fenced yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Above-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Garden; Deck; Irregular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.6% in Pueblo West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#189 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Pueblo County School District 70 (suburban): math 24% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #40 of 86 in CO (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 633 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 269 units permitted in Pueblo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pueblo County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $145k implies a 314% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.37%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,936
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241 E Don Dr | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (0%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $204 | 81 |
| 281 E Stewart Dr | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 742 (-5%) | 9mo | $59,000 | $80 | 63 |
| 256 E Byrd Dr | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 798 (+2%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $232 | 60 |
| 41 E Rolling Hills Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-7%) | 13mo | $100,000 | $137 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,669
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $10,253
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81007
- Home prices YoY
- -22.9%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 633
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,577 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $480/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $385
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $467 | -5% $426 | +0% $385 | +5% $344 | +10% $303 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $260 | -5% $323 | +0% $385 | +5% $447 | +10% $509 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $458 | -0.5pp $422 | base $385 | +0.5pp $347 | +1.0pp $309 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655 S Inca Dr Pueblo, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,000 | $1.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 512 S Aguilar Dr Pueblo West, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5 | 825 | $1,185 | $1.44 | 14d | 2 | 0.44mi |
| 82 W Baldwyn Dr Unit 86 Pueblo West, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 82 W Baldwyn Dr #88 Pueblo, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 531 S Angus Ave Apt 11 Pueblo West, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,359 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 531 S Angus Ave Unit 13 Pueblo West, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 531 S Angus Ave Apt 2 Pueblo West, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,299 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 208 W Palmer Lake Dr Pueblo, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 896 S Harmony Dr Pueblo West, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 771 | $1,600 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 898 S Harmony Dr Pueblo West, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 771 | $1,600 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 318 W Coral Dr Pueblo West, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,575 | $1.49 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 692 E Hahns Peak Ave Pueblo West, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 690 E Hahns Peak Ave Pueblo, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $145,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-05-23price $145,000
-
2026-05-01price $155,000
-
2026-04-16price $165,000
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2026-03-31price $175,000
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2026-03-11status Active
-
2026-03-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-26$180,000 Active
-
2006-10-24soldstatus $35,000
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2006-10-23soldstatus $34,900 123-char remark
Show marketing remark (123 chars)
NEWLY RENOVATED AND ADORABLE! NEW CARPET, LINOLEUM, PAINT, KITCHEN CABINETS, HOT WATER HEATER AND MUCH MORE! GOOD SIZE LOT.
-
2006-09-01$34,900 123-char remark
Show marketing remark (123 chars)
NEWLY RENOVATED AND ADORABLE! NEW CARPET, LINOLEUM, PAINT, KITCHEN CABINETS, HOT WATER HEATER AND MUCH MORE! GOOD SIZE LOT.
-
1982-06-08soldstatus $6,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $480 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $798 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$318/yr (+$26/mo · 66.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,921
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$480
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,514
- − Management
- −$1,514
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $2,349
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$564
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pueblo County School District 70
- NCES district ID
- 0806150
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,438
- Composite
- 29.93/100
- National rank
- #6381
- State rank
- #40 of 86 in CO
Livability — Pueblo West
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #189
- US rank
- #15760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pueblo West, CO
- County
- Pueblo County · 151,887 people
- Metro
- Pueblo, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,690
- Household income
- $96,713
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 353.0
Population outlook (Pueblo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 173,240 people
- By 2030
- 177,716 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 185,125 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 190,642 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 201,611 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 196,443 · +13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 11% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Pueblo
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.2% · R 51.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.0pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+13.1 2008: D+15.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.80%
- Current HPI
- 279.191
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.10%
- Metro
- Pueblo, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+2201.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $145,000 PARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $155,000 PARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $165,000 PARMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $175,000 PARMLS
- 2026-03-11 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2026-03-06 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2026-01-26 Listed $180,000 PARMLS
- 2006-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2006-10-23 Sold (MLS) $34,900 PARMLS
- 2006-09-01 Listed $34,900 PARMLS
- 1982-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $6,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $480 · +89.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…