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727 S Joe Martinez Ln
C+ Composite 64.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

727 S Joe Martinez Ln · Pueblo West, CO 81007
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 144 Days on market
Built 1982 0.25 ac lot Est $160k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NEWLY RENOVATED AND ADORABLE! NEW CARPET, LINOLEUM, PAINT, KITCHEN CABINETS, HOT WATER HEATER AND MUCH MORE! GOOD SIZE LOT.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Off street parking
  • Fenced yard

Tags

COVERED PORCHFENCED YARDOFF STREET PARKINGNEWER GAS STOVENEWER FRIDGEWALK IN SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential mobile home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Above-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Garden; Deck; Irregular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.6% in Pueblo West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#189 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Pueblo County School District 70 (suburban): math 24% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #40 of 86 in CO (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 633 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 269 units permitted in Pueblo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pueblo County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $145k implies a 314% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.48%
Cash-on-cash
11.37%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,936
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
241 E Don Dr 0.36mi 2/1.0 784 (0%) 3mo $160,000 $204 81
281 E Stewart Dr 0.44mi 2/1.0 742 (-5%) 9mo $59,000 $80 63
256 E Byrd Dr 0.54mi 2/2.0 798 (+2%) 8mo $185,000 $232 60
41 E Rolling Hills Dr 0.74mi 2/1.0 728 (-7%) 13mo $100,000 $137 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-3,669
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$10,253
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81007

Home prices YoY
-22.9%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
633
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,577 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $480/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$385

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,090
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $467 -5% $426 +0% $385 +5% $344 +10% $303
Rent -10% $260 -5% $323 +0% $385 +5% $447 +10% $509
Rate -1.0pp $458 -0.5pp $422 base $385 +0.5pp $347 +1.0pp $309

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
655 S Inca Dr Pueblo, CO 3.0 2.0 1008 $2,000 $1.98 14d 1 0.27mi
512 S Aguilar Dr Pueblo West, CO 1.0–2.0 1.5 825 $1,185 $1.44 14d 2 0.44mi
82 W Baldwyn Dr Unit 86 Pueblo West, CO 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 22d 1 0.59mi
82 W Baldwyn Dr #88 Pueblo, CO 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 14d 1 0.59mi
531 S Angus Ave Apt 11 Pueblo West, CO 2.0 1.0 768 $1,359 $1.77 14d 1 0.77mi
531 S Angus Ave Unit 13 Pueblo West, CO 2.0 1.0 768 $1,250 $1.63 14d 1 0.79mi
531 S Angus Ave Apt 2 Pueblo West, CO 2.0 1.0 768 $1,299 $1.69 14d 1 0.79mi
208 W Palmer Lake Dr Pueblo, CO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 22d 1 1.00mi
896 S Harmony Dr Pueblo West, CO 2.0 2.0 771 $1,600 $2.08 14d 1 1.03mi
898 S Harmony Dr Pueblo West, CO 2.0 2.0 771 $1,600 $2.08 14d 1 1.03mi
318 W Coral Dr Pueblo West, CO 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,575 $1.49 22d 1 1.26mi
692 E Hahns Peak Ave Pueblo West, CO 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 14d 1 1.47mi
690 E Hahns Peak Ave Pueblo, CO 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 14d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $145,000 Active 144 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 143 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 142 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 141 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 140 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 138 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 137 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 135 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 134 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 133 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $145,000 Active 129 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 128 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 127 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 126 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 125 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 124 DOM
  18. 2026-05-23
    price $145,000
  19. 2026-05-01
    price $155,000
  20. 2026-04-16
    price $165,000
  21. 2026-03-31
    price $175,000
  22. 2026-03-11
    status Active
  23. 2026-03-06
    historical Active Under Contract
  24. 2026-01-26
    listed $180,000 Active
  25. 2006-10-24
    soldstatus $35,000
  26. 2006-10-23
    soldstatus $34,900 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    NEWLY RENOVATED AND ADORABLE! NEW CARPET, LINOLEUM, PAINT, KITCHEN CABINETS, HOT WATER HEATER AND MUCH MORE! GOOD SIZE LOT.

  27. 2006-09-01
    listed $34,900 123-char remark
    Show marketing remark (123 chars)

    NEWLY RENOVATED AND ADORABLE! NEW CARPET, LINOLEUM, PAINT, KITCHEN CABINETS, HOT WATER HEATER AND MUCH MORE! GOOD SIZE LOT.

  28. 1982-06-08
    soldstatus $6,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$480 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$798 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$318/yr (+$26/mo · 66.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,921
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$480
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,514
− Management
−$1,514
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$2,349
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$564
After-tax cash flow
$4,055/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pueblo County School District 70
NCES district ID
0806150
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,438
Composite
29.93/100
National rank
#6381
State rank
#40 of 86 in CO

Livability — Pueblo West

Score
63/100
State rank
#189
US rank
#15760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime F Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pueblo West, CO
County
Pueblo County · 151,887 people
Metro
Pueblo, CO
Population (ZIP)
35,690
Household income
$96,713
Rent vs Own
12.7% rent · 87.3% own
Severe rent burden
353.0

Population outlook (Pueblo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
173,240 people
By 2030
177,716 · +2.6%
By 2040
185,125 · +6.9%
By 2050
190,642 · +10.0%
By 2075
201,611 · +16.4%
By 2100
196,443 · +13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 11% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Pueblo

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.2% · R 51.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.0pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+13.1 2008: D+15.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.80%
Current HPI
279.191
Rent YoY
▼ -0.10%
Metro
Pueblo, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2201.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $145,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $155,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $165,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $175,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $180,000 PARMLS
  • 2006-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2006-10-23 Sold (MLS) $34,900 PARMLS
  • 2006-09-01 Listed $34,900 PARMLS
  • 1982-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $6,300 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $480 · +89.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…