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1488 Morning Walk Dr 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 32.3
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$340,990

1488 Morning Walk Dr · Ormond Beach, FL 32174
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,498 sqft · Land · 10 Days on market
$115/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The property is located at 1488 Morning Walk Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 340990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

Key facts

  • Open concept
  • Linen closet
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

OPEN CONCEPTLINEN CLOSETWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSMART HOME TECHNOLOGY PACKAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association membership required; Monthly association fee of $115; Community clubhouse, fitness center, and pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Electricity available; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; New construction / Under construction
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Pantry; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $341k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-450 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $276k (19.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $256k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.9% in Ormond Beach — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#55 in FL, #965 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 985 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $255,894 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.66%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.5%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-87,258
Equity at exit
$50,843
10-year hold
IRR
-31.8%
Equity multiple
-0.32×
Total profit
$-126,234
Equity at exit
$29,483

Cash invested: $95,477 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32174

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
985
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,559 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,788
Tax est. 1.5%
$426 /mo · $5,115/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$115
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$537
Net cashflow
$-450

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,128
Max offer price $275,883
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-214 -5% $-332 +0% $-450 +5% $-568 +10% $-686
Rent -10% $-652 -5% $-551 +0% $-450 +5% $-349 +10% $-248
Rate -1.0pp $-278 -0.5pp $-363 base $-450 +0.5pp $-538 +1.0pp $-628

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$85,248
Closing costs
$10,230
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1326 Middle Lake Dr Ormond Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 1846 $2,600 $1.41 24d 1 0.76mi
1028 Kilkenny Ln Ormond Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1501 $2,400 $1.60 3d 1 0.84mi
1427 Carlow Cir Ormond Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1684 $2,059 $1.22 24d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$115 · $1,380/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $340,990 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $340,990 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $340,990 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $340,990 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $340,990 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $340,990 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on marketlisting id $340,990 Active 1 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $340,990 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $340,990 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $340,990 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $340,990 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $340,990 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $340,990 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $340,990 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $340,990 Active 44 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    price $340,990 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    The property is located at 1488 Morning Walk Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 340990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  18. 2026-05-12
    price $342,870 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    The property is located at 1488 Morning Walk Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 340990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  19. 2026-04-16
    listed $340,870 Active 245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (245 chars)

    The property is located at 1488 Morning Walk Drive ORMOND BEACH FL 32174 priced at 340990, the square foot and stories are 1498, 1.The number of bath is 2, halfbath is 0 there are 4 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,707
− Mortgage interest
−$19,101
− Property taxes
−$5,115
− Insurance
−$1,705
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,457
− Management
−$2,457
− HOA
−$1,380
− Depreciation
−$9,920
Taxable loss
−$11,426
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,742
After-tax cash flow
$-2,657/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Volusia
NCES district ID
1201920
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,946
Composite
39.2/100
National rank
#4019
State rank
#47 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ormond Beach

Score
83/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#965

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ormond Beach, FL
County
Volusia County · 556,871 people
City population
69,624
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
54,783
Household income
$71,011
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
1158.0

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
572,749 people
By 2030
598,695 · +4.5%
By 2040
644,880 · +12.6%
By 2050
681,451 · +19.0%
By 2075
759,957 · +32.7%
By 2100
778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -327.97%
Current HPI
271.92
Rent YoY
▲ 1.64%
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $340,990 Daytona MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $340,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $342,870 Zillow
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $340,870 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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