45 Twin Oak · Bendersville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$216,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Whether you’re looking for a full-time home, a weekend getaway, or a vacation rental opportunity, this cute and cozy retreat has a lot to offer. Tucked away on 2 private wooded acres, it’s the perfect place to relax, unwind, and enjoy nature. Spend your mornings with coffee or your evenings grilling on the large covered front porch. Inside, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home has been completely renovated and features hardwood floors, an open floor plan, a brick fireplace, newer windows and roof, and a fully equipped kitchen with granite countertops, range, and refrigerator. The home is also fully furnished and move-in ready, making it an easy choice for your next home or getaway. Pleas
Key facts
- 2.02 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Property assessed and tax details available
- HOA & community: Annual HOA fee of $400 covering road maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway with four driveway spaces (total of 4 garage/parking spaces)
- Utilities: Well water; On-site septic; Electric service
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Estimated year built (effective remodel 2013); Structure faces unspecified direction
- Construction: Stick built with vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation with crawl space
- Exterior features: Porch(es); Partly wooded, private and secluded setting; Rural location with sloping terrain and trees; Not in a development
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
- Basement: Basement present with outside entrance; Partial finished area below grade
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level (one full bath total)
- Fireplace: One brick fireplace
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heat; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Open floor plan with combination kitchen/living area; Kitchen island; Kitchenette; Stall shower; Ceiling fan(s); Wood floors; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Electric dryer; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $216k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($19/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (17.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#687 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Upper Adams SD (rural): math 33% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #298 of 539 in PA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $216k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.03%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $117,716
- Equity at exit
- $194,590
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.73×
- Total profit
- $346,528
- Equity at exit
- $419,640
Cash invested: $60,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17304
- Home prices YoY
- 14.1%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,787 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,133
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,853/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $2
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,000
- Closing costs
- $6,480
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-13status $216,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $216,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $216,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $216,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $216,000 Coming Soon 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $216,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $216,000 Coming Soon 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $216,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $216,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $216,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical $216,000
-
2006-07-19soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,853 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,633 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- +$780/yr (+$65/mo · 42.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,443
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,099
- − Property taxes
- −$1,853
- − Insurance
- −$1,080
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,715
- − Management
- −$1,715
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$6,284
- Taxable loss
- −$3,699
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$888
- After-tax cash flow
- $907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Upper Adams SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224300
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,964
- Composite
- 37.16/100
- National rank
- #4482
- State rank
- #298 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bendersville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #687
- US rank
- #6728
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 538
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,039
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,494 people
- By 2030
- 101,890 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 98,417 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 92,014 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 76,128 · -25.7%
- By 2100
- 58,931 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 41.77%
- Current HPI
- 337.3691
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+127.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $216,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,853 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…