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4017 Arlington Pl
D Composite 44.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

4017 Arlington Pl · Enid, OK 73703
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,353 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 127 Days on market
Built 1996 3,291 sqft lot Est $185k · 11% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

4017 Arlington Pl is a custom-built brick patio home. Step inside to a spacious family room that welcomes you right at the door. The dining area flows into the kitchen, which comes equipped with a stove, dishwasher, and plenty of cabinet, counter, and storage space. The large primary bedroom features a private bathroom and a walk-in closet, while the second bedroom also includes a walk-in closet. The second bathroom offers a tub with a shower, and the trim is finished with vinyl siding for easy maintenance.

Key facts

  • Dining area
  • Spacious family room
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

CUSTOM BUILT BRICK PATIO HOMESPACIOUS FAMILY ROOMDINING AREAKITCHEN EQUIPPED WITH STOVEPLENTY OF CABINET SPACEPLENTY OF COUNTER SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Subdivision: Country Club Patio Homes

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential townhouse (Garden Home/Patio Home); Single-story
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Storm door(s); Wood fencing; North-facing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Water softener
  • Flooring: Concrete; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Window coverings; Smoke detector(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($291/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.0% in Enid — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#212 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Enid (town): math 19% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #168 of 270 in OK (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Garfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Garfield County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,943 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.63%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,361
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4006 Tory Cir 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (-0%) 2mo $179,000 $133 87
4008 Philadelphia Pl 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,356 (+0%) 20mo $170,000 $125 82
4321 Valley Frg 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,332 (-2%) 4mo $172,500 $130 79
4202 Revere Rd 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,273 (-6%) 1mo $174,900 $137 70
2513 Mt Vernon Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,426 (+5%) 6mo $199,000 $140 69
2402 Liberty Ln 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,479 (+9%) 9mo $161,000 $109 68
2714 Constitution Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,435 (+6%) 7mo $202,000 $141 67
1908 N Oakwood 0.41mi 2/2.0 1,255 (-7%) 5mo $148,000 $118 65
2909 Franklin Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,533 (+13%) 9mo $180,000 $117 49
2913 Franklin Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,552 (+15%) 13mo $215,000 $139 42
2508 Sleepy Holw 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,541 (+14%) 13mo $215,000 $140 38
3709 Plantation Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,522 (+12%) 21mo $212,000 $139 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-26,014
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-24,001
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73703

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,349 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,293/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,319
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $118 -5% $71 +0% $24 +5% $-22 +10% $-69
Rent -10% $-82 -5% $-29 +0% $24 +5% $78 +10% $131
Rate -1.0pp $107 -0.5pp $66 base $24 +0.5pp $-18 +1.0pp $-62

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $165,000 Active 127 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 126 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 125 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 124 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 123 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 121 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $165,000 Active 120 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 115 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 109 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 108 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $165,000 Active 107 DOM
  15. 2026-04-06
    price $165,000
  16. 2026-02-12
    listed $170,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,293 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,485 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$192/yr (+$16/mo · 14.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,193
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,293
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,295
− Management
−$1,295
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$2,558
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$614
After-tax cash flow
$905/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Enid
NCES district ID
4010920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,389
Composite
17.59/100
National rank
#9040
State rank
#168 of 270 in OK

Livability — Enid

Score
63/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#15472

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Enid, OK
County
Garfield County · 55,032 people
City population
55,032
Metro
Enid, OK
Population (ZIP)
30,556
Household income
$73,333
Rent vs Own
32.8% rent · 67.2% own
Severe rent burden
702.0

Population outlook (Garfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,026 people
By 2030
72,171 · +4.6%
By 2040
79,366 · +15.0%
By 2050
87,847 · +27.3%
By 2075
112,714 · +63.3%
By 2100
135,682 · +96.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Garfield

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.8) · D 22.2% · R 76.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -51.0pp · 2024: -53.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.8 2020: R+53.7 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.5 2008: R+51.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.61%
Current HPI
187.8197
Rent YoY
▲ 2.42%
Metro
Enid, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $165,000 NWOAR
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $170,000 NWOAR

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,293 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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