2009 Leer St · South Bend, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable! Great solid older two-story home. Interior plaster in excellent condition. Same Owners for over 60 years. Main floor formal dining, living room & kitchen. Second story has three bedrooms and ceramic tub-shower bath. Basement has finished (or finish-able) area, plus laundry and ample storage space. Garage is one-car oversized, tall ceiling, storage & workshop area. Additional off-street parking spot. Fenced yard. Newer roof, vinyl windows, furnace and water heater. Central A/C. This is a great opportunity to create your own space; add your energy & pizzazz to a very sound home! Appliances with home: Newer stove, refrigerator, washer, dryer, dehumidifier.
Key facts
- Functional layout
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential, site-built home; 2 stories; Above-grade and below-grade finished living areas
- Construction: Cedar construction; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Chain link fencing
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Full, partially finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 7% / reading 6%, grade F, #964 of 994 statewide, top 97%, 467 students, 86% FRL); Jackson Middle School (math 3% / reading 8%, grade F, #326 of 330 statewide, top 99%, 528 students, 82% FRL); Riley High School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #293 of 369 statewide, top 80%, 992 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $110k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.60%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,154
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -8.45%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1715 Altgeld St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,148 (-0%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $74 | 66 |
| 918 E Bowman St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $62 | 64 |
| 1530 Virginia St | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 | 1,208 (+5%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $108 | 64 |
| 1715 Southeast Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-0%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $130 | 64 |
| 1804 E Calvert St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (-4%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $168 | 62 |
| 1112 E Fox St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+13%) | 2mo | $148,500 | $114 | 62 |
| 2828 Southridge Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,140 (-1%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $189 | 61 |
| 830 Eckman St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,100 (-4%) | 1mo | $79,000 | $72 | 55 |
| 2909 Hilltop Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,124 (-2%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $169 | 55 |
| 1911 S Ironwood Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-3%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $138 | 46 |
| 1937 E Donald St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 3mo | $179,777 | $144 | 42 |
| 713 E Fairview Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,025 (-11%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $195 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $9,326
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $47,877
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46613
- Home prices YoY
- -7.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,478 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,738/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $400
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $463 | -5% $432 | +0% $400 | +5% $369 | +10% $338 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $284 | -5% $342 | +0% $400 | +5% $459 | +10% $517 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $456 | -0.5pp $428 | base $400 | +0.5pp $372 | +1.0pp $343 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1912 Miami St Unit 1912 South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1149 E Indiana Ave South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2114 High St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 909 E Fairview Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 821 E Fairview Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,399 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1126 E Broadway St South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,365 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1729 E Calvert St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 525 E Eckman St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 317 E Indiana Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 237 E Victoria St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 405 E Woodside St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,425 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1106 S 20th St South Bend, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1007 E Chippewa Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,399 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1218 S 26th St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $1,400 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 819 S 24th St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,795 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 754 S 23rd St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,300 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2102 S Scott St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 416 E Chippewa Ave South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,900 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $110,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-06$120,000 Active 696-char remark
-
2019-07-15soldstatus $46,000
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Affordable! Great solid older two-story home. Interior plaster in excellent condition. Same Owners for over 60 years. Main floor formal dining, living room & kitchen. Second story has three bedrooms and ceramic tub-shower bath. Basement has finished (or finish-able) area, plus laundry and ample storage space. Garage is one-car oversized, tall ceiling, storage & workshop area. Additional off-street parking spot. Fenced yard. Newer roof, vinyl windows, furnace and water heater. Central A/C. This is a great opportunity to create your own space; add your energy & pizzazz to a very sound home! Appliances with home: Newer stove, refrigerator, washer, dryer, dehumidifier.
-
2019-04-24$49,900
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Affordable! Great solid older two-story home. Interior plaster in excellent condition. Same Owners for over 60 years. Main floor formal dining, living room & kitchen. Second story has three bedrooms and ceramic tub-shower bath. Basement has finished (or finish-able) area, plus laundry and ample storage space. Garage is one-car oversized, tall ceiling, storage & workshop area. Additional off-street parking spot. Fenced yard. Newer roof, vinyl windows, furnace and water heater. Central A/C. This is a great opportunity to create your own space; add your energy & pizzazz to a very sound home! Appliances with home: Newer stove, refrigerator, washer, dryer, dehumidifier.
-
2018-10-10$53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,738 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,738 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,740
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,738
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,419
- − Management
- −$1,419
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,252
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$781
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Bend Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810290
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,935
- Composite
- 14.21/100
- National rank
- #9452
- State rank
- #284 of 301 in IN
Livability — South Bend
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #365
- US rank
- #13730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bend, IN
- County
- Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
- City population
- 99,767
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,279
- Household income
- $42,537
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 545.0
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 22% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.88%
- Current HPI
- 270.0303
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+107.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $110,000 IRMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $120,000 IRMLS
- 2019-07-15 Sold (MLS) $46,000 IRMLS
- 2019-04-24 Listed $49,900 IRMLS
- 2018-10-10 Listed $53,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+31.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,738 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…