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5114 Roanoke Blvd
D Composite 43.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

5114 Roanoke Blvd · Jacksonville, FL 32208
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 229 Days on market
Built 1964 9,147 sqft lot Est $149k · at est. ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Price improvement - Now 149,900. Back on market with major updates completed! This solid brick 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home has recently undergone key improvements including electrical repairs, a newly installed water heater, and structural updates to the carport. Situated on a spacious lot, this property offers a great opportunity for homeowners and investors. Portions of the plumbing have already been updated, with a cost-effective path available for completion. Priced to sell and ready for its next owner Solid full-brick home on a 9,317 sq ft lot! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1½-bath offers long-lasting construction plus modern finishes. Features include a new roof, fully updat

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Fresh paint
  • Ceiling fans

Tags

NEW ROOFFULLY UPDATED ELECTRICALFRESH PAINTLAMINATE FLOORINGTILE FLOORINGCEILING FANS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1-space carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable available; Energy-efficient appliances
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Other roof
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing; City street frontage with asphalt road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring; Painted concrete flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; His-and-hers closets; Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($515/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (7.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Grasp Academy (math 18% / reading 14%, grade F, #2,130 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 271 students, 52% FRL); Jean Ribault Middle School (math 28% / reading 24%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 679 students, 78% FRL); Jean Ribault High School (math 22% / reading 25%, grade F, #533 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,385 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 49% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.23%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$148,824
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5114 Roanoke Blvd 0.00mi 3/1.5 936 (0%) 1mo $149,900 $160 97
9504 Flechette Ave 0.19mi 3/1.5 932 (-0%) 6mo $133,500 $143 84
5115 Locksley Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 936 (0%) 2mo $110,000 $118 83
9715 Flechette Ave 0.30mi 3/1.5 988 (+6%) 4mo $144,500 $146 72
9604 Flechette Ave 0.23mi 3/1.5 868 (-7%) 7mo $57,000 $66 69
4637 Williamsburg Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 942 (+1%) 8mo $88,000 $93 64
5015 Portsmouth Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,056 (+13%) 11mo $168,000 $159 61
4656 Colchester Rd 0.40mi 3/1.0 887 (-5%) 12mo $148,000 $167 59
9926 Frankella Rd 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 866 (-8%) 1mo $135,000 $156 56
5822 Trout River Blvd 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (+8%) 2mo $201,000 $199 49
4620 Bristol Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,050 (+12%) 12mo $198,000 $189 47
8917 Devonshire Blvd 0.61mi 3/1.0 851 (-9%) 13mo $148,000 $174 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.8%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-25,607
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-34,424
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32208

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
294
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,394 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,516/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,339
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $128 -5% $85 +0% $43 +5% $0 +10% $-42
Rent -10% $-67 -5% $-12 +0% $43 +5% $98 +10% $153
Rate -1.0pp $118 -0.5pp $81 base $43 +0.5pp $4 +1.0pp $-35

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9436 Gisborne Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 950 $1,440 $1.52 22d 1 0.09mi
4935 Portsmouth Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 894 $1,163 $1.30 12d 1 0.16mi
9561 Norfolk Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 934 $1,350 $1.45 3d 1 0.26mi
9348 Culpeper Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 882 $1,195 $1.35 25d 1 0.33mi
4662 Roanoke Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1104 $1,195 $1.08 15d 1 0.37mi
9206 Greenleaf Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 888 $1,400 $1.58 19d 1 0.38mi
9658 Gibson Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 977 $1,225 $1.25 25d 1 0.83mi
8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1102 $1,650 $1.50 25d 1 0.91mi
8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1102 $1,650 $1.50 19d 1 0.91mi
4655 Ken Knight Dr N Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 646 $600 $0.93 25d 1 1.29mi
4440 Ken Knight Dr N Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 716 $650 $0.91 16d 1 1.38mi
7623 John F Kennedy Dr E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,501 $1.49 25d 1 1.44mi
4543 Moncrief Rd W Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,075 $1.13 9d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    soldstatus $149,900 Closed
  2. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-20
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2026-04-11
    price $149,900
  5. 2026-03-26
    price $154,900
  6. 2026-03-04
    status Active
  7. 2026-02-26
    status Pending
  8. 2026-01-20
    price $159,900
  9. 2026-01-07
    price $164,900
  10. 2025-12-01
    price $175,400
  11. 2025-10-14
    price $199,900
  12. 2025-09-07
    listed $209,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,516 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,516 · $210/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,726
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,516
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,338
− Management
−$1,338
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$1,973
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$474
After-tax cash flow
$988/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,699
Household income
$41,324
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1765.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.56%
Current HPI
217.9706
Rent YoY
▼ -1.36%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $149,900 realMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Contingent realMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $149,900 realMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $154,900 realMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $159,900 realMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $164,900 realMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $175,400 realMLS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $199,900 realMLS
  • 2025-09-07 Listed $209,900 realMLS

Property tax history

+14.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,516 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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