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994 Atlantic Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 66.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

994 Atlantic Ave · Rochester, NY 14609
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,426 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1914 7,074 sqft lot $123/sqft · 35% below area Est $268k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Needs updating. 24 hours to show please. Tenant occupied.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Renovated
  • New kitchen

Tags

RENOVATEDNEW KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESREFINISHED HARDWOODSTILED SHOWER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story home; Resale property; Vinyl siding (see remarks)
  • Construction: Existing structure; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Irregular lot; Road frontage on a main thoroughfare; Lot dimensions approximately 51 x 136

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8; Room types include living room and other; Has full basement
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Other interior features (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $174,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$267,881) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: School 28-Henry Hudson (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,992 of 2,108 statewide, top 95%, 616 students, 93% FRL); East Lower School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #715 of 729 statewide, top 98%, 304 students, 86% FRL); Edison Career And Technology High School (math 44% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,007 of 1,100 statewide, top 93%, 1,233 students, 91% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $175k implies a 337% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $174,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.97%
Cash-on-cash
9.57%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$267,881
List price
$174,900
Delta
-34.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
970 Atlantic Ave 0.04mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,249 (-12%) 2mo $210,000 $168 71
120 Brookfield Rd 0.07mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,568 (+10%) 3mo $340,000 $217 71
115 Allandale Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,248 (-12%) 1mo $248,000 $199 61
110 Arch St 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,417 (-1%) 2mo $200,000 $141 60
139 Carling Rd 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,283 (-10%) 2mo $275,000 $214 59
94 Delray Rd 0.23mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,222 (-14%) 0mo $300,000 $245 58
106 Ohio St 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (+12%) 2mo $218,000 $136 55
230 Farmington Rd 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,369 (-4%) 2mo $250,000 $183 52
25 Wilsonia Rd 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,604 (+12%) 1mo $338,000 $211 50
21 Edmonton Rd 0.74mi 4/1.0 1,300 (-9%) 2mo $300,000 $231 49
48 Arbordale Ave 0.59mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,550 (+9%) 0mo $285,000 $184 47
70 Dalkeith Rd 0.61mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,236 (-13%) 0mo $280,000 $227 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$6,332
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$82,075
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14609

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,905 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,493/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,411
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $489 -5% $440 +0% $390 +5% $341 +10% $291
Rent -10% $240 -5% $315 +0% $390 +5% $466 +10% $541
Rate -1.0pp $479 -0.5pp $435 base $390 +0.5pp $345 +1.0pp $299

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1079 Garson Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1273 $2,100 $1.65 12d 1 0.43mi
Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,450 $1.41 45d 1 0.48mi
108 Bowman St Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 45d 1 0.59mi
176 Merwin Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1750 $2,200 $1.26 45d 1 0.62mi
1600 East Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 944 $2,875 $3.04 4d 1 0.66mi
1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1313 $1,500 $1.14 45d 1 0.72mi
420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1246 $1,300 $1.04 5d 1 0.85mi
195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1413 $1,265 $0.90 5d 1 1.03mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 45d 1 1.13mi
126 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1574 $1,800 $1.14 23d 1 1.13mi
214 Culver Rd Apt 2 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1700 $2,400 $1.41 16d 1 1.15mi
36 Morningside Park Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1446 $2,400 $1.66 5d 1 1.21mi
733 University Ave #3 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,850 $1.32 45d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $174,900 Active 312-char remark
  2. 2024-10-14
    historical
  3. 2024-10-01
    listed $199,900 Active
  4. 2016-12-05
    soldstatus $40,000 Closed Sale or Rented
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Needs updating. 24 hours to show please. Tenant occupied.

  5. 2016-11-08
    status Pending Sale
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Needs updating. 24 hours to show please. Tenant occupied.

  6. 2016-10-18
    price $49,900
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Needs updating. 24 hours to show please. Tenant occupied.

  7. 2016-08-29
    listed $54,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (57 chars)

    Needs updating. 24 hours to show please. Tenant occupied.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,493 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,225 · $185/mo
Expected delta
+$731/yr (+$61/mo · 49.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,860
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$1,493
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,829
− Management
−$1,829
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable income
$1,949
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$468
After-tax cash flow
$4,217/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
40,274
Household income
$64,603
Rent vs Own
36.1% rent · 63.9% own
Severe rent burden
2183.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.57%
Current HPI
328.7053
Rent YoY
▲ 7.89%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+218.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $174,900 UNYREIS
  • 2024-10-14 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2024-10-01 Listed $199,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-12-05 Sold (MLS) $40,000 UNYREIS
  • 2016-11-08 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2016-10-18 Price Changed $49,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-08-29 Listed $54,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,493 · -7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…