7542 Wyndamar Dr · Mancelona, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to add value with this ranch home featuring strong potential and room to build equity. A newer roof provides a solid start, while the walkout lower level offers additional living space with a large family room and plenty of flexibility for future improvements. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, vacation rental, long-term investment, or Airbnb opportunity, this property offers endless possibilities. With some updating and personal touches, this home could truly shine. Being sold as-is, making it an excellent option for investors, renovators, or buyers seeking a property with upside potential.
Key facts
- Large family room
- Newer roof
- Walkout lower level
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Ranch-style single-family residence; Built in 1982
- Construction: Stone and wood siding exterior
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.74-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall furnace; Wood heating
- Interior features: LP tank owned; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.4% in Mancelona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#105 in MI, #2,568 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mancelona Public Schools (rural): math 28% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #310 of 540 in MI (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 101 units permitted in Antrim County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Antrim County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $99k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.90%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $267,040
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -51.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,498
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $17,377
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49659
- Home prices YoY
- -29.7%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,087 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $834/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $285 | -5% $257 | +0% $229 | +5% $201 | +10% $173 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $143 | -5% $186 | +0% $229 | +5% $272 | +10% $314 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $278 | -0.5pp $254 | base $229 | +0.5pp $203 | +1.0pp $177 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21remarks 629-char remark
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $99,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-04-14status Active 464-char remark
-
2026-04-14status Active 464-char remark
-
2026-04-14status Active
-
2026-04-10historical
-
2026-04-09historical 464-char remark
-
2026-04-08$129,900 Active 464-char remark
-
2026-04-07$129,900 Active 464-char remark
-
2026-04-07$129,900 Active
-
2013-11-18soldstatus $62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $834 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,179 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$345/yr (+$29/mo · 41.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,041
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$834
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,043
- − Management
- −$1,043
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,200
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$288
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mancelona Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2622350
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,613
- Composite
- 28.89/100
- National rank
- #6639
- State rank
- #310 of 540 in MI
Livability — Mancelona
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #2568
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakes of the North, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,226
Population outlook (Antrim County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,804 people
- By 2030
- 20,814 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 18,394 · -15.6%
- By 2050
- 15,981 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 11,712 · -46.3%
- By 2100
- 7,651 · -64.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Antrim
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.5% · R 61.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.8 2020: R+23.8 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+10.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.79%
- Current HPI
- 245.5937
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+59.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $99,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-06-18 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-18 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-07 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $834 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…