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103 W 3rd St
B+ Composite 75.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$78,000

103 W 3rd St · Barry, TX 75102
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,222 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 165 Days on market
Built 1914 0.47 ac lot $35/sqft · 73% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Alert! 3BR Home on Nearly half Acre with Huge Potential & Bonus Garage! Opportunity knocks! Spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with high ceilings, open concept, and laundry area. Bonus: next-door garage structure ready for remodel or expansion. Don’t miss this prime investment! ¡Atención Inversionistas! Casa de 3 recámaras en casi medio acre con enorme potencial y garaje extra ¡Una oportunidad única! Amplia casa con 3 recámaras, 1 baño, techos altos, concepto abierto y área de lavandería. Incluye garaje estructura al lado lista para remodelar o expandir. ¡No pierdas esta inversión estratégica!

Key facts

  • Laundry area
  • Open concept
  • High ceilings

Tags

LAUNDRY AREAOPEN CONCEPTHIGH CEILINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,129 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Blooming Grove ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #366 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 522 units permitted in Navarro County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
  • Navarro County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
13.30%
Cash-on-cash
25.02%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$285,094
List price
$78,000
Delta
-72.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$35,721
Equity at exit
$32,164
10-year hold
IRR
31.0%
Equity multiple
5.13×
Total profit
$90,096
Equity at exit
$47,416

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75102

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,329 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,832/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$455

Break-even live

Break-even rent $752
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $500 -5% $477 +0% $455 +5% $433 +10% $411
Rent -10% $350 -5% $403 +0% $455 +5% $508 +10% $560
Rate -1.0pp $495 -0.5pp $475 base $455 +0.5pp $435 +1.0pp $415

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $78,000 Active 165 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,000 Active 164 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,000 Active 163 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $78,000 Active 162 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $78,000 Active 160 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $78,000 Active 159 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,000 Active 156 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,000 Active 155 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 154 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $78,000 Active 151 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $78,000 Active 150 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 149 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,000 Active 148 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,000 Active 147 DOM
  15. 2026-01-04
    listed $78,000 Active 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Investor Alert! 3BR Home on Nearly half Acre with Huge Potential & Bonus Garage! Opportunity knocks! Spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with high ceilings, open concept, and laundry area. Bonus: next-door garage structure ready for remodel or expansion. Don’t miss this prime investment! ¡Atención Inversionistas! Casa de 3 recámaras en casi medio acre con enorme potencial y garaje extra ¡Una oportunidad única! Amplia casa con 3 recámaras, 1 baño, techos altos, concepto abierto y área de lavandería. Incluye garaje estructura al lado lista para remodelar o expandir. ¡No pierdas esta inversión estratégica!

  16. 2025-04-11
    soldstatus
  17. 2025-04-09
    soldstatus Closed 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Built in 1914, this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a unique opportunity to own a piece of history. Located in the sought-after Blooming Grove ISD, just 20 minutes from downtown Corsicana, this property is perfect for those looking to restore, update, or make it their own. With its classic charm and endless possibilities, this home is waiting for your vision to bring it back to life. Whether you're looking for a cozy residence, an investment property, or a renovation project, this is a rare find!

  18. 2025-04-04
    status Pending 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Built in 1914, this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a unique opportunity to own a piece of history. Located in the sought-after Blooming Grove ISD, just 20 minutes from downtown Corsicana, this property is perfect for those looking to restore, update, or make it their own. With its classic charm and endless possibilities, this home is waiting for your vision to bring it back to life. Whether you're looking for a cozy residence, an investment property, or a renovation project, this is a rare find!

  19. 2025-03-26
    listed $69,900 Active 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Built in 1914, this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a unique opportunity to own a piece of history. Located in the sought-after Blooming Grove ISD, just 20 minutes from downtown Corsicana, this property is perfect for those looking to restore, update, or make it their own. With its classic charm and endless possibilities, this home is waiting for your vision to bring it back to life. Whether you're looking for a cozy residence, an investment property, or a renovation project, this is a rare find!

  20. 2009-12-08
    soldstatus
  21. 2009-12-04
    soldstatus
  22. 2009-11-16
    historical
  23. 2009-05-19
    listed $20,000
  24. 2008-01-08
    soldstatus
  25. 1988-02-11
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,832 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,832 · $153/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,943
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$1,832
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,275
− Management
−$1,275
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$4,532
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,088
After-tax cash flow
$4,377/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blooming Grove ISD
NCES district ID
4810470
Math proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$48,446
Composite
35.16/100
National rank
#5004
State rank
#366 of 826 in TX

Livability — Barry

Score
59/100
State rank
#1129
US rank
#19949

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Barry, TX
Population (ZIP)
1,722

Population outlook (Navarro County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,397 people
By 2030
48,096 · -0.6%
By 2040
47,394 · -2.1%
By 2050
46,541 · -3.8%
By 2075
44,940 · -7.1%
By 2100
42,288 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 12% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Navarro

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -51.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.8 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+42.4 2008: R+33.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.33%
Current HPI
107.7429
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+290.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-04 Listed $78,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-04-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-04-09 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2025-04-04 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-03-26 Listed $69,900 NTREIS
  • 2009-12-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-12-04 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2009-11-16 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2009-05-19 Listed $20,000 NTREIS
  • 2008-01-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-02-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,832 · +25.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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