Duplex
2425 10th Ave S · Minneapolis, MN
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$318,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
CASH COW! LG Vacant Duplex. sold AS-IS! RARE 3bd/2ba up/down, bsmt w/addtl 1bd + more. 2 car garage, driveway Occupy one unit, rent other. 1/2 block to Abbott NW Hosptl/Stewart Pk. FIRST FLOOR NEED APPOINTMENT TO VIEW THE UNIT, THE SECOND FLOOR IS VACANT, CAN BE SCHEDULE IN SHOWTIME (LOCKBOX)
Key facts
- Vacant duplex
- 2 car garage
- Stewart pk
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $318k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $327/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $318k).
- Recommended offer: $308k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 103 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,983/mo this rent would consume 114% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2999% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $318k implies a 203% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.81%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $489,307
- List price
- $318,000
- Delta
- -35.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-17,529
- Equity at exit
- $47,415
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $8,329
- Equity at exit
- $27,495
Cash invested: $89,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 34 Tenant-Leaning
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Minneapolis
- 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
ZIP-level market 55404
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 13.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,983 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,668
- Tax from tax record
- −$693 /mo · $8,316/yr
- Insurance
- −$132
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$836
- Net cashflow
- $653
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $833 | -5% $743 | +0% $653 | +5% $563 | +10% $473 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $339 | -5% $496 | +0% $653 | +5% $811 | +10% $968 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $814 | -0.5pp $734 | base $653 | +0.5pp $571 | +1.0pp $487 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $3,982 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,991 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $1,991 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,983 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,500
- Closing costs
- $9,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-05$318,000 Active 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
CASH COW! LG Vacant Duplex. sold AS-IS! RARE 3bd/2ba up/down, bsmt w/addtl 1bd + more. 2 car garage, driveway Occupy one unit, rent other. 1/2 block to Abbott NW Hosptl/Stewart Pk. FIRST FLOOR NEED APPOINTMENT TO VIEW THE UNIT, THE SECOND FLOOR IS VACANT, CAN BE SCHEDULE IN SHOWTIME (LOCKBOX)
-
2014-07-21soldstatus $105,000 Sold 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
CASH COW! LG Vacant Duplex needs rehab, sold AS-IS! RARE 3bd/2ba up/down, bsmt w/addtl 1bd + more. Sep until, 2 car garage, driveway w/addtl prkg. Occupy one unit, rent other. 1/2 block to Abbott NW Hosptl/Stewart Pk. What are you waiting for?
-
2014-07-21soldstatus $105,000
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
CASH COW! LG Vacant Duplex needs rehab, sold AS-IS! RARE 3bd/2ba up/down, bsmt w/addtl 1bd + more. Sep until, 2 car garage, driveway w/addtl prkg. Occupy one unit, rent other. 1/2 block to Abbott NW Hosptl/Stewart Pk. What are you waiting for?
-
2014-07-21soldstatus $105,000
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
CASH COW! LG Vacant Duplex needs rehab, sold AS-IS! RARE 3bd/2ba up/down, bsmt w/addtl 1bd + more. Sep until, 2 car garage, driveway w/addtl prkg. Occupy one unit, rent other. 1/2 block to Abbott NW Hosptl/Stewart Pk. What are you waiting for?
-
2014-06-26status Pending 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
CASH COW! LG Vacant Duplex needs rehab, sold AS-IS! RARE 3bd/2ba up/down, bsmt w/addtl 1bd + more. Sep until, 2 car garage, driveway w/addtl prkg. Occupy one unit, rent other. 1/2 block to Abbott NW Hosptl/Stewart Pk. What are you waiting for?
-
2014-06-05$105,000 Active 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
CASH COW! LG Vacant Duplex needs rehab, sold AS-IS! RARE 3bd/2ba up/down, bsmt w/addtl 1bd + more. Sep until, 2 car garage, driveway w/addtl prkg. Occupy one unit, rent other. 1/2 block to Abbott NW Hosptl/Stewart Pk. What are you waiting for?
-
2014-06-05$105,000
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
CASH COW! LG Vacant Duplex needs rehab, sold AS-IS! RARE 3bd/2ba up/down, bsmt w/addtl 1bd + more. Sep until, 2 car garage, driveway w/addtl prkg. Occupy one unit, rent other. 1/2 block to Abbott NW Hosptl/Stewart Pk. What are you waiting for?
-
2014-06-05$105,000
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
CASH COW! LG Vacant Duplex needs rehab, sold AS-IS! RARE 3bd/2ba up/down, bsmt w/addtl 1bd + more. Sep until, 2 car garage, driveway w/addtl prkg. Occupy one unit, rent other. 1/2 block to Abbott NW Hosptl/Stewart Pk. What are you waiting for?
-
2014-03-24soldstatus $77,700
-
2003-08-04soldstatus $220,000
-
2003-07-01soldstatus $211,000
-
2003-05-20historical
-
2003-04-29$229,900
-
2002-12-23historical
-
2002-09-23$194,500
-
2002-09-17soldstatus $67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,316 · $693/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,316 · $693/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,813
- − Property taxes
- −$8,316
- − Insurance
- −$1,590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,824
- − Management
- −$3,824
- − Depreciation
- −$9,251
- Taxable income
- $3,179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$763
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,078/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minneapolis Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,521
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5067
- State rank
- #217 of 301 in MN
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #2525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 417,555
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,920
- Household income
- $41,940
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2999.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Native American 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, China, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.31%
- Current HPI
- 224.8886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.00%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+374.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-05 Listed $318,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-21 Sold (MLS) $105,000 RASM
- 2014-07-21 Sold (MLS) $105,000 LSAR
- 2014-07-21 Sold (MLS) $105,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-26 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-05 Listed $105,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-05 Listed $105,000 RASM
- 2014-06-05 Listed $105,000 LSAR
- 2014-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $77,700 Public Records
- 2003-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2003-07-01 Sold (MLS) $211,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-05-20 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-29 Listed $229,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-12-23 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-09-23 Listed $194,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $8,316 · +14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…