377 Dogwood Trl · Tyrone, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$675,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Amazing private estate located on Dogwood trail within 5 minutes of Highway 74 is situated on 6 beautiful acres. The house has approximately 3000 square ft. (please note Tax information is not correct). A wrap around porch extends the entire length of the house and around to the side entry. The foyer leads to a large great room and flows into a large kitchen with an abundance of cabinets. A large sunroom overlooks the picturesque rear yard which includes a private lake filled with bass and bream.. The 20X20 formal dining room can be utilized as a recreation room, media room or additional family living area. The oversized primary suite has a huge walk in closet, separate shower, tub, and 2 vanities. On the other side of the living area you will find two large bedrooms and a full bathroom with double vanities. The basement (exterior entrance) is currently a wood shop area. The exterior features a long winding driveway, gazebo, large garage/workshop, storage building, and carport. Minutes from Peachtree City, restaurants, shopping and Piedmont Hospital. Close to I-85 and a quick drive to the airport and Atlanta.
Key facts
- Wrap around porch
- Formal dining room
- Private lake
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $675k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $675k).
- Recommended offer: $594k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.5% in Tyrone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#13 in GA, #2,017 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($594k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.00%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $572,806
- List price
- $675,000
- Delta
- 17.84%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260 Chimney Springs Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 2,310 (+6%) | 2mo | $550,000 | $238 | 58 |
| 250 E Crestwood Rd E | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,072 (-5%) | 8mo | $400,000 | $193 | 54 |
| 150 Tramore Trce | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 2,269 (+4%) | 8mo | $420,000 | $185 | 52 |
| 147 Kristie Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 2,148 (-1%) | 17mo | $549,000 | $256 | 49 |
| 215 Farr Lake Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,218 (+2%) | 13mo | $430,000 | $194 | 47 |
| 210 Farr Lake Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,237 (+3%) | 12mo | $499,900 | $223 | 45 |
| 290 Farr Lake Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,329 (+7%) | 4mo | $459,900 | $197 | 44 |
| 140 Tramore Trce | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 2,100 (-4%) | 21mo | $454,000 | $216 | 41 |
| 280 Farr Lake Dr | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 2,500 (+15%) | 9mo | $487,000 | $195 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-29,001
- Equity at exit
- $100,645
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $78,559
- Equity at exit
- $58,362
Cash invested: $189,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30290
- Home prices YoY
- -25.8%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,540
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$844 /mo · $10,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$281
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,575
- Net cashflow
- $1,260
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $168,750
- Closing costs
- $20,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Farr Lake Dr Tyrone, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2683 | $7,500 | $2.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $675,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $675,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $675,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $675,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $675,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $675,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $675,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $675,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $675,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $675,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $675,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $675,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $675,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-04-23status Back On Market 1128-char remark
Show marketing remark (1128 chars)
Amazing private estate located on Dogwood trail within 5 minutes of Highway 74 is situated on 6 beautiful acres. The house has approximately 3000 square ft. (please note Tax information is not correct). A wrap around porch extends the entire length of the house and around to the side entry. The foyer leads to a large great room and flows into a large kitchen with an abundance of cabinets. A large sunroom overlooks the picturesque rear yard which includes a private lake filled with bass and bream.. The 20X20 formal dining room can be utilized as a recreation room, media room or additional family living area. The oversized primary suite has a huge walk in closet, separate shower, tub, and 2 vanities. On the other side of the living area you will find two large bedrooms and a full bathroom with double vanities. The basement (exterior entrance) is currently a wood shop area. The exterior features a long winding driveway, gazebo, large garage/workshop, storage building, and carport. Minutes from Peachtree City, restaurants, shopping and Piedmont Hospital. Close to I-85 and a quick drive to the airport and Atlanta.
-
2026-04-20status Under Contract 1128-char remark
Show marketing remark (1128 chars)
Amazing private estate located on Dogwood trail within 5 minutes of Highway 74 is situated on 6 beautiful acres. The house has approximately 3000 square ft. (please note Tax information is not correct). A wrap around porch extends the entire length of the house and around to the side entry. The foyer leads to a large great room and flows into a large kitchen with an abundance of cabinets. A large sunroom overlooks the picturesque rear yard which includes a private lake filled with bass and bream.. The 20X20 formal dining room can be utilized as a recreation room, media room or additional family living area. The oversized primary suite has a huge walk in closet, separate shower, tub, and 2 vanities. On the other side of the living area you will find two large bedrooms and a full bathroom with double vanities. The basement (exterior entrance) is currently a wood shop area. The exterior features a long winding driveway, gazebo, large garage/workshop, storage building, and carport. Minutes from Peachtree City, restaurants, shopping and Piedmont Hospital. Close to I-85 and a quick drive to the airport and Atlanta.
-
2026-01-22$675,000 New 1128-char remark
Show marketing remark (1128 chars)
Amazing private estate located on Dogwood trail within 5 minutes of Highway 74 is situated on 6 beautiful acres. The house has approximately 3000 square ft. (please note Tax information is not correct). A wrap around porch extends the entire length of the house and around to the side entry. The foyer leads to a large great room and flows into a large kitchen with an abundance of cabinets. A large sunroom overlooks the picturesque rear yard which includes a private lake filled with bass and bream.. The 20X20 formal dining room can be utilized as a recreation room, media room or additional family living area. The oversized primary suite has a huge walk in closet, separate shower, tub, and 2 vanities. On the other side of the living area you will find two large bedrooms and a full bathroom with double vanities. The basement (exterior entrance) is currently a wood shop area. The exterior features a long winding driveway, gazebo, large garage/workshop, storage building, and carport. Minutes from Peachtree City, restaurants, shopping and Piedmont Hospital. Close to I-85 and a quick drive to the airport and Atlanta.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $90,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$37,810
- − Property taxes
- −$10,125
- − Insurance
- −$3,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,200
- − Management
- −$7,200
- − Depreciation
- −$19,636
- Taxable income
- $4,653
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,117
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,006/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County
- NCES district ID
- 1302130
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,746
- Composite
- 50.67/100
- National rank
- #1824
- State rank
- #7 of 174 in GA
Livability — Tyrone
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #2017
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 9,083
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,083
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,914 people
- By 2030
- 125,439 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 132,378 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 137,123 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 156,091 · +29.1%
- By 2100
- 163,102 · +34.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 28% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Portuguese 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 51.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +27.5pp toward D · 2008: -30.7pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+30.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.69%
- Current HPI
- 243.293
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-04-20 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $675,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,339 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…