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4915 2nd Triplex
C- Composite 52.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.6/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,100,000

4915 2nd · Los Angeles, CA 90043
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,592 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1922 6,500 sqft lot $424/sqft · 49% above area Est $976k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to acquire a charming triplex. Situated on a well-kept street, this property offers strong curb appeal with a fully fenced lot, providing both privacy and security for tenants. The property consists of three units presenting significant upside potential for investors seeking to increase cash flow over time. Each unit benefits from a desirable layout, and the overall condition reflects pride of ownership. Ideal for both seasoned investors and owner-users, this triplex is positioned in a consistently desirable rental area with steady demand. Whether you're looking to reposition the asset or hold for long-term appreciation, this property offers a compelling blend of current stability and future growth potential.

Key facts

  • Desirable layout
  • Strong curb appeal
  • Triplex

Tags

TRIPLEXFULLY FENCED LOTSTRONG CURB APPEALDESIRABLE LAYOUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.10M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $761/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $1.10M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.03M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $11,177/mo this rent would consume 207% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3295% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $308k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.03M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $150k; list at $1.10M implies a 633% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,033,999 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.78%
Cash-on-cash
8.89%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$975,880
List price
$1,100,000
Delta
12.72%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4720 6th Ave 0.25mi 4/2.0 2,400 (-7%) 15mo $555,000 $231 64
1736 W 51st 0.54mi 4/3.5 2,475 (-4%) 1mo $810,000 $327 60
4241 Arlington 0.53mi 4/3.0 2,408 (-7%) 2mo $690,000 $287 58
2806 W 43rd Pl 0.47mi 4/2.0 2,225 (-14%) 21mo $880,000 $396 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-10,314
Equity at exit
$164,014
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$274,825
Equity at exit
$95,108

Cash invested: $308,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Los Angeles
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
LARSO + JCEO 2023; relocation for substantial remodel evictions.

ZIP-level market 90043

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
24.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$11,177 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,769
Tax from tax record
$321 /mo · $3,849/yr
Insurance
$458
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,347
Net cashflow
$2,282

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,288
Max offer price $1,100,000
Occupancy floor 75%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $11,177

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$275,000
Closing costs
$33,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4507 10th Ave Los Angeles, CA 4.0 3.0 2099 $7,000 $3.33 24d 1 0.54mi
5465 9th Ave Los Angeles, CA 4.0 2.0 1824 $9,500 $5.21 43d 1 0.68mi
5136 S Victoria Ave Los Angeles, CA 4.0 3.5 2450 $11,500 $4.69 43d 1 0.72mi
4284 S Hobart Blvd Los Angeles, CA 3.0 1.0 3040 $3,300 $1.09 43d 1 0.83mi
3986 Hepburn Ave Los Angeles, CA 3.0 3.0 2151 $5,250 $2.44 43d 1 0.95mi
4126 S Bronson Ave Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.0 1977 $5,750 $2.91 18d 1 1.03mi
4240 Denker Ave Los Angeles, CA 4.0 3.0 2684 $3,025 $1.13 7d 1 1.03mi
3940 Hubert Ave Los Angeles, CA 3.0 2.5 1900 $3,985 $2.10 24d 1 1.10mi
1337 W 55th St Los Angeles, CA 5.0 3.0 1752 $4,200 $2.40 43d 1 1.27mi
6015 Brynhurst Ave Los Angeles, CA 4.0 2.0 1902 $5,400 $2.84 43d 1 1.27mi
1400 57th St Los Angeles, CA 5.0 5.0 1800 $4,200 $2.33 43d 1 1.28mi
3851 Don Tomaso Dr Los Angeles, CA 3.0 3.0 3369 $5,695 $1.69 3d 1 1.30mi
3846 Don Tomaso Dr Los Angeles, CA 4.0 3.5 2628 $5,499 $2.09 3d 1 1.32mi
5001 S Budlong Ave Los Angeles, CA 5.0 2.5 2010 $5,200 $2.59 7d 1 1.37mi
4151 Don Mariano Dr Los Angeles, CA 4.0 5.0 3666 $10,950 $2.99 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 45 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-04-10
    listed $1,100,000 Active 736-char remark
    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Great opportunity to acquire a charming triplex. Situated on a well-kept street, this property offers strong curb appeal with a fully fenced lot, providing both privacy and security for tenants. The property consists of three units presenting significant upside potential for investors seeking to increase cash flow over time. Each unit benefits from a desirable layout, and the overall condition reflects pride of ownership. Ideal for both seasoned investors and owner-users, this triplex is positioned in a consistently desirable rental area with steady demand. Whether you're looking to reposition the asset or hold for long-term appreciation, this property offers a compelling blend of current stability and future growth potential.

  15. 2010-07-27
    historical Cancelled
  16. 2010-07-13
    soldstatus $150,000 Closed
  17. 2010-06-02
    price $151,000
  18. 2010-04-12
    price $152,000
  19. 2010-03-23
    price $155,000
  20. 2010-01-01
    price $190,000
  21. 2009-12-30
    status Pending
  22. 2009-12-09
    status Active
  23. 2009-11-07
    status Pending
  24. 2009-10-24
    listed $239,900 Active
  25. 2009-09-13
    price Active
  26. 2009-09-13
    status Active
  27. 2009-07-31
    historical
  28. 2009-02-04
    price
  29. 2009-02-03
    listed
  30. 2007-06-22
    historical
  31. 2007-06-13
    soldstatus $560,000
  32. 2007-05-07
    listed $599,000
  33. 2002-12-30
    soldstatus $285,000
  34. 2002-09-17
    listed $285,000
  35. 2002-03-14
    historical
  36. 2001-11-27
    listed $282,000
  37. 2001-02-21
    historical
  38. 2000-06-05
    listed $275,000
  39. 1999-04-12
    soldstatus $175,818
  40. 1999-04-11
    soldstatus $175,400
  41. 1999-02-12
    soldstatus $174,000
  42. 1999-01-25
    historical
  43. 1998-06-29
    listed $189,000
  44. 1998-06-29
    listed $189,000
  45. 1976-05-26
    soldstatus $23,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,849 · $321/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,360 · $697/mo
Expected delta
+$4,511/yr (+$376/mo · 117.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$134,124
− Mortgage interest
−$61,617
− Property taxes
−$3,849
− Insurance
−$5,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$10,730
− Management
−$10,730
− Depreciation
−$32,000
Taxable income
$9,698
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,328
After-tax cash flow
$25,059/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Los Angeles Unified
NCES district ID
0622710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,403
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4875
State rank
#223 of 517 in CA

Livability — Los Angeles

Score
68/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#9237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Los Angeles, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
3,838,149
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
42,377
Household income
$64,792
Rent vs Own
46.1% rent · 53.9% own
Severe rent burden
3295.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 16% White 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
British 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 25% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1382.39%
Current HPI
434.3031
Rent YoY
▲ 5.01%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4682.6% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $1,100,000 CRMLS
  • 2010-07-27 Delisted TheMLS
  • 2010-07-13 Sold (MLS) $150,000 TheMLS
  • 2010-06-02 Price Changed $151,000 TheMLS
  • 2010-04-12 Price Changed $152,000 TheMLS
  • 2010-03-23 Price Changed $155,000 TheMLS
  • 2010-01-01 Price Changed $190,000 TheMLS
  • 2009-12-30 Pending TheMLS
  • 2009-12-09 Relisted TheMLS
  • 2009-11-07 Pending TheMLS
  • 2009-10-24 Listed $239,900 TheMLS
  • 2009-09-13 Relisted TheMLS
  • 2009-09-13 Price Changed TheMLS
  • 2009-07-31 Delisted TheMLS
  • 2009-02-04 Price Changed TheMLS
  • 2009-02-03 Listed TheMLS
  • 2007-06-22 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $560,000 Public Records
  • 2007-05-07 Listed $599,000 CRMLS
  • 2002-12-30 Sold (MLS) $285,000 CRMLS
  • 2002-09-17 Listed $285,000 CRMLS
  • 2002-03-14 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2001-11-27 Listed $282,000 CRMLS
  • 2001-02-21 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2000-06-05 Listed $275,000 CRMLS
  • 1999-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $175,818 Public Records
  • 1999-04-11 Sold (MLS) $175,400 TheMLS
  • 1999-02-12 Sold (MLS) $174,000 CRMLS
  • 1999-01-25 Delisted TheMLS
  • 1998-06-29 Listed $189,000 CRMLS
  • 1998-06-29 Listed $189,000 TheMLS
  • 1976-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,849 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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