Triplex
4915 2nd · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.8/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to acquire a charming triplex. Situated on a well-kept street, this property offers strong curb appeal with a fully fenced lot, providing both privacy and security for tenants. The property consists of three units presenting significant upside potential for investors seeking to increase cash flow over time. Each unit benefits from a desirable layout, and the overall condition reflects pride of ownership. Ideal for both seasoned investors and owner-users, this triplex is positioned in a consistently desirable rental area with steady demand. Whether you're looking to reposition the asset or hold for long-term appreciation, this property offers a compelling blend of current stability and future growth potential.
Key facts
- Desirable layout
- Strong curb appeal
- Triplex
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.10M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $761/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $1.10M).
- Recommended offer: $1.03M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $11,177/mo this rent would consume 207% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3295% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $308k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.03M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $1.10M implies a 633% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.89%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $975,880
- List price
- $1,100,000
- Delta
- 12.72%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4720 6th Ave | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 2,400 (-7%) | 15mo | $555,000 | $231 | 64 |
| 1736 W 51st | 0.54mi | 4/3.5 | 2,475 (-4%) | 1mo | $810,000 | $327 | 60 |
| 4241 Arlington | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 | 2,408 (-7%) | 2mo | $690,000 | $287 | 58 |
| 2806 W 43rd Pl | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 2,225 (-14%) | 21mo | $880,000 | $396 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-10,314
- Equity at exit
- $164,014
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $274,825
- Equity at exit
- $95,108
Cash invested: $308,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 90043
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 24.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,177 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,769
- Tax from tax record
- −$321 /mo · $3,849/yr
- Insurance
- −$458
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,347
- Net cashflow
- $2,282
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 5 | 3 | $11,178 |
| #1 | 5 | 3 | $3,726 |
| #2 | 5 | 3 | $3,726 |
| #3 | 5 | 3 | $3,726 |
| Total (3 units) | $11,177 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $275,000
- Closing costs
- $33,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4507 10th Ave Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2099 | $7,000 | $3.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5465 9th Ave Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $9,500 | $5.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5136 S Victoria Ave Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2450 | $11,500 | $4.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4284 S Hobart Blvd Los Angeles, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3040 | $3,300 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3986 Hepburn Ave Los Angeles, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2151 | $5,250 | $2.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4126 S Bronson Ave Los Angeles, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1977 | $5,750 | $2.91 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4240 Denker Ave Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2684 | $3,025 | $1.13 | 7d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3940 Hubert Ave Los Angeles, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $3,985 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1337 W 55th St Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1752 | $4,200 | $2.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6015 Brynhurst Ave Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1902 | $5,400 | $2.84 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1400 57th St Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1800 | $4,200 | $2.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3851 Don Tomaso Dr Los Angeles, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3369 | $5,695 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3846 Don Tomaso Dr Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2628 | $5,499 | $2.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5001 S Budlong Ave Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2010 | $5,200 | $2.59 | 7d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4151 Don Mariano Dr Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3666 | $10,950 | $2.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,100,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,100,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,100,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,100,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,100,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,100,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,100,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,100,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,100,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,100,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,100,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,100,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,100,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-10$1,100,000 Active 736-char remark
Show marketing remark (736 chars)
Great opportunity to acquire a charming triplex. Situated on a well-kept street, this property offers strong curb appeal with a fully fenced lot, providing both privacy and security for tenants. The property consists of three units presenting significant upside potential for investors seeking to increase cash flow over time. Each unit benefits from a desirable layout, and the overall condition reflects pride of ownership. Ideal for both seasoned investors and owner-users, this triplex is positioned in a consistently desirable rental area with steady demand. Whether you're looking to reposition the asset or hold for long-term appreciation, this property offers a compelling blend of current stability and future growth potential.
-
2010-07-27historical Cancelled
-
2010-07-13soldstatus $150,000 Closed
-
2010-06-02price $151,000
-
2010-04-12price $152,000
-
2010-03-23price $155,000
-
2010-01-01price $190,000
-
2009-12-30status Pending
-
2009-12-09status Active
-
2009-11-07status Pending
-
2009-10-24$239,900 Active
-
2009-09-13price Active
-
2009-09-13status Active
-
2009-07-31historical
-
2009-02-04price
-
2009-02-03
-
2007-06-22historical
-
2007-06-13soldstatus $560,000
-
2007-05-07$599,000
-
2002-12-30soldstatus $285,000
-
2002-09-17$285,000
-
2002-03-14historical
-
2001-11-27$282,000
-
2001-02-21historical
-
2000-06-05$275,000
-
1999-04-12soldstatus $175,818
-
1999-04-11soldstatus $175,400
-
1999-02-12soldstatus $174,000
-
1999-01-25historical
-
1998-06-29$189,000
-
1998-06-29$189,000
-
1976-05-26soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,849 · $321/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,360 · $697/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,511/yr (+$376/mo · 117.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $134,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$61,617
- − Property taxes
- −$3,849
- − Insurance
- −$5,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,730
- − Management
- −$10,730
- − Depreciation
- −$32,000
- Taxable income
- $9,698
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,328
- After-tax cash flow
- $25,059/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Angeles, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,377
- Household income
- $64,792
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3295.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 16% White 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- British 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 25% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1382.39%
- Current HPI
- 434.3031
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.01%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+4682.6% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $1,100,000 CRMLS
- 2010-07-27 Delisted — TheMLS
- 2010-07-13 Sold (MLS) $150,000 TheMLS
- 2010-06-02 Price Changed $151,000 TheMLS
- 2010-04-12 Price Changed $152,000 TheMLS
- 2010-03-23 Price Changed $155,000 TheMLS
- 2010-01-01 Price Changed $190,000 TheMLS
- 2009-12-30 Pending — TheMLS
- 2009-12-09 Relisted — TheMLS
- 2009-11-07 Pending — TheMLS
- 2009-10-24 Listed $239,900 TheMLS
- 2009-09-13 Relisted — TheMLS
- 2009-09-13 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2009-07-31 Delisted — TheMLS
- 2009-02-04 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2009-02-03 Listed — TheMLS
- 2007-06-22 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2007-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $560,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-07 Listed $599,000 CRMLS
- 2002-12-30 Sold (MLS) $285,000 CRMLS
- 2002-09-17 Listed $285,000 CRMLS
- 2002-03-14 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2001-11-27 Listed $282,000 CRMLS
- 2001-02-21 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2000-06-05 Listed $275,000 CRMLS
- 1999-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $175,818 Public Records
- 1999-04-11 Sold (MLS) $175,400 TheMLS
- 1999-02-12 Sold (MLS) $174,000 CRMLS
- 1999-01-25 Delisted — TheMLS
- 1998-06-29 Listed $189,000 CRMLS
- 1998-06-29 Listed $189,000 TheMLS
- 1976-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,849 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…