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2426 Grand Ave
B Composite 71.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

2426 Grand Ave · Granite City, IL 62040
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 780 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 270 Days on market
Built 1920 4,800 sqft lot $102/sqft · 10% below area Est $89k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming Granite City home located in a quiet, established neighborhood with easy access to schools, parks, shopping, and major highways. This property blends comfort, convenience, and value—perfect for a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor. ? Property Highlights: Spacious Layout – Generously sized living area with natural light. Bedrooms & Bathrooms – Comfortable bedrooms with ample closet space. Functional kitchen layout with room for updates or personalization. Outdoor Space – Large yard ideal for gatherings, pets, or gardening. Convenient off-street parking/driveway. Full basement with laundry area and storage. Close to downtown Granite City, restaurants, and local shops. Quick commute to St. Louis and surrounding Metro East communities. Nearby schools, parks, and recreational amenities. Competitive pricing for the area—schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Full basement
  • Off-street parking

Tags

QUIET ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODEASY ACCESS TO SCHOOLSLARGE YARDOFF-STREET PARKINGFULL BASEMENTCLOSE TO DOWNTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 7.0% in Granite City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#623 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Granite City CUSD 9 (suburban): math 9% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #570 of 620 in IL (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 270 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $80k implies a 191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 270 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.81%
Cash-on-cash
26.86%
DSCR
2.19
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$88,685
List price
$79,900
Delta
-9.91%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2305 State St 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 771 (-1%) 5mo $52,900 $69 75
2205 E 24th St 0.25mi 3/1.0 736 (-6%) 5mo $12,000 $16 70
2541 Washington Ave 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 748 (-4%) 5mo $10,000 $13 70
2621 Center St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 780 (0%) 5mo $99,000 $127 61
2471 Center St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 810 (+4%) 3mo $80,000 $99 61
2311 E 25th St 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 896 (+15%) 2mo $99,000 $110 56
2564 Benton St 0.38mi 3/1.0 870 (+12%) 6mo $108,000 $124 54
2306 Benton St 0.37mi 2/1.5 (-1) 888 (+14%) 5mo $107,000 $120 49
2807 Iowa St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 848 (+9%) 2mo $69,500 $82 46
2442 Center St 0.43mi 2/1.5 (-1) 885 (+14%) 8mo $119,900 $135 44
2729 Ralph St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 861 (+10%) 4mo $79,900 $93 43
2800 Ralph St 0.61mi 2/1.5 (-1) 870 (+12%) 7mo $100,000 $115 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$17,277
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$49,456
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62040

Home prices YoY
-21.8%
Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,240 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $318/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$501

Break-even live

Break-even rent $606
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $546 -5% $523 +0% $501 +5% $478 +10% $455
Rent -10% $403 -5% $452 +0% $501 +5% $550 +10% $599
Rate -1.0pp $541 -0.5pp $521 base $501 +0.5pp $480 +1.0pp $459

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2317 Grand Ave Granite City, IL 2.0 1.0 1124 $750 $0.67 8d 1 0.18mi
2450 Cleveland Blvd Apt A Granite City, IL 2.0 1.0 846 $825 $0.98 18d 1 0.27mi
2415 Jerden Ave Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 970 $1,400 $1.44 5d 1 0.39mi
2556 Center St Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 874 $1,500 $1.72 15d 1 0.49mi
2715 Center St Unit B Granite City, IL 2.0 1.0 930 $1,275 $1.37 44d 1 0.72mi
303 Wilson Park Ln Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 8d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 270 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 267 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 266 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 265 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 264 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 262 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 261 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 258 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 257 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 256 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 253 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 252 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 251 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 250 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 249 DOM
  16. 2026-02-27
    status Active 930-char remark
    Show marketing remark (930 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Granite City home located in a quiet, established neighborhood with easy access to schools, parks, shopping, and major highways. This property blends comfort, convenience, and value—perfect for a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor. ? Property Highlights: Spacious Layout – Generously sized living area with natural light. Bedrooms & Bathrooms – Comfortable bedrooms with ample closet space. Functional kitchen layout with room for updates or personalization. Outdoor Space – Large yard ideal for gatherings, pets, or gardening. Convenient off-street parking/driveway. Full basement with laundry area and storage. Close to downtown Granite City, restaurants, and local shops. Quick commute to St. Louis and surrounding Metro East communities. Nearby schools, parks, and recreational amenities. Competitive pricing for the area—schedule your showing today!

  17. 2025-11-08
    price $79,900 930-char remark
    Show marketing remark (930 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Granite City home located in a quiet, established neighborhood with easy access to schools, parks, shopping, and major highways. This property blends comfort, convenience, and value—perfect for a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor. ? Property Highlights: Spacious Layout – Generously sized living area with natural light. Bedrooms & Bathrooms – Comfortable bedrooms with ample closet space. Functional kitchen layout with room for updates or personalization. Outdoor Space – Large yard ideal for gatherings, pets, or gardening. Convenient off-street parking/driveway. Full basement with laundry area and storage. Close to downtown Granite City, restaurants, and local shops. Quick commute to St. Louis and surrounding Metro East communities. Nearby schools, parks, and recreational amenities. Competitive pricing for the area—schedule your showing today!

  18. 2025-09-29
    price $89,900 930-char remark
    Show marketing remark (930 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Granite City home located in a quiet, established neighborhood with easy access to schools, parks, shopping, and major highways. This property blends comfort, convenience, and value—perfect for a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor. ? Property Highlights: Spacious Layout – Generously sized living area with natural light. Bedrooms & Bathrooms – Comfortable bedrooms with ample closet space. Functional kitchen layout with room for updates or personalization. Outdoor Space – Large yard ideal for gatherings, pets, or gardening. Convenient off-street parking/driveway. Full basement with laundry area and storage. Close to downtown Granite City, restaurants, and local shops. Quick commute to St. Louis and surrounding Metro East communities. Nearby schools, parks, and recreational amenities. Competitive pricing for the area—schedule your showing today!

  19. 2025-08-28
    listed $99,000 Active 930-char remark
    Show marketing remark (930 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Granite City home located in a quiet, established neighborhood with easy access to schools, parks, shopping, and major highways. This property blends comfort, convenience, and value—perfect for a first-time buyer, downsizer, or investor. ? Property Highlights: Spacious Layout – Generously sized living area with natural light. Bedrooms & Bathrooms – Comfortable bedrooms with ample closet space. Functional kitchen layout with room for updates or personalization. Outdoor Space – Large yard ideal for gatherings, pets, or gardening. Convenient off-street parking/driveway. Full basement with laundry area and storage. Close to downtown Granite City, restaurants, and local shops. Quick commute to St. Louis and surrounding Metro East communities. Nearby schools, parks, and recreational amenities. Competitive pricing for the area—schedule your showing today!

  20. 2018-06-11
    price $20,000
  21. 2004-03-05
    soldstatus $27,500
  22. 2000-06-14
    soldstatus $59,000
  23. 1991-12-06
    soldstatus $31,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$318 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,066 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$748/yr (+$62/mo · 235.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,878
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$318
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,190
− Management
−$1,190
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$4,980
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,195
After-tax cash flow
$4,813/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Granite City CUSD 9
NCES district ID
1717280
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,082
Composite
9.15/100
National rank
#9864
State rank
#570 of 620 in IL

Livability — Granite City

Score
65/100
State rank
#623
US rank
#12751

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Granite City, IL
County
Madison County · 189,064 people
City population
40,404
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,404
Household income
$60,031
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
923.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.88%
Current HPI
204.4612
Rent YoY
▲ 1.67%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+157.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-27 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $99,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-11 Price Changed $20,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
  • 2000-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 1991-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-14.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $318 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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