101 West St · Liberty, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.81%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this cozy 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom home nestled on a quiet residential street in the historic city of Liberty. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and with easy access to Hwy 146 and US-90, this property offers a peaceful setting with quick connections to all that Liberty has to offer. Inside, you’ll find a well-laid-out living space featuring a functional kitchen with a gas stove, an inviting living area, and a full bathroom with updated fixtures. Natural light flows throughout, complementing the neutral tones and easy-care flooring. Enjoy the spacious front and back yards—perfect for entertaining, gardening, or relaxing under mature shade trees. Located
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Easy access to us-90
- Gas stove
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1974
- Construction: Stucco construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Lot includes other/unclassified features
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning (gas)
- Interior features: Gas range; Vinyl flooring; One total room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.6% in Liberty — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#489 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Liberty ISD (town): math 34% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #464 of 826 in TX (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Middle (math 28% / reading 44%, grade F, #805 of 1,662 statewide, top 50%, 557 students, 68% FRL); Liberty H S (math 57% / reading 47%, grade D+, #447 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 707 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 1,321 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Liberty County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.73%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $17,524
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $52,480
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77575
- Home prices YoY
- -26.6%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,186 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $453
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $501 | -5% $477 | +0% $453 | +5% $429 | +10% $405 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $359 | -5% $406 | +0% $453 | +5% $500 | +10% $547 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $488 | -0.5pp $471 | base $453 | +0.5pp $435 | +1.0pp $416 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-25$70,000 Active
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2025-10-18$80,000 Active
-
2025-09-30historical
-
2025-06-15price $80,000
-
2025-05-09$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 81% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,229
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,138
- − Management
- −$1,138
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $4,595
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,103
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,333/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This single-family home requires moderate renovations, including painting, flooring, and minor ceiling repairs, to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Ceiling — Visible discoloration
- Minor Flooring — Worn pattern
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Flooring — New flooring improves durability and appearance
- Both Ceiling — Repainting or repairing the ceiling addresses a minor issue and improves the home's appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Ceiling · Visible discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Flooring · Worn pattern | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Flooring — New flooring improves durability and appearance ↑
- Both Ceiling — Repainting or repairing the ceiling addresses a minor issue and improves the home's appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Liberty ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4827450
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,931
- Composite
- 32.11/100
- National rank
- #5803
- State rank
- #464 of 826 in TX
Livability — Liberty
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #489
- US rank
- #9688
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Liberty, TX
- City population
- 16,617
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,617
Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 87,956 people
- By 2030
- 92,161 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 100,784 · +14.6%
- By 2050
- 109,471 · +24.5%
- By 2075
- 133,470 · +51.7%
- By 2100
- 147,372 · +67.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 12% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Liberty
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 19.0% · R 80.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.7 2016: R+58.0 2012: R+53.3 2008: R+43.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.17%
- Current HPI
- 204.9372
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-22.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $70,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-10-18 Listed $80,000 HARMLS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-06-15 Price Changed $80,000 HARMLS
- 2025-05-09 Listed $90,000 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…