Duplex
1323 E 222nd St · New York, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.4/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$815,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Unlock over 2,800 square feet+ of pure potential in the heart of Wakefield. This brick, semi-attached two-family residence is the ultimate canvas, perfectly suited for a high-yield investment or a custom multi-generational home ready to customize. Generous 3-bedroom over 3-bedroom configuration on 2nd & 3rd floors, first floor, you'll find a completely open and versatile space with access to backyard. Driveway and side yard for private parking. Bring your vision and turn this powerhouse into your own. Cash Only.
Key facts
- Backyard access
- Open versatile space
- Private parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Two-space carport; Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public trash collection; Water connected
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Non-waterfront property
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
- Flooring: Brick flooring
- Bathrooms: Five full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Open kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $815k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $94/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $691k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $691k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,909/mo this rent would consume 109% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 3706% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($791k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.99%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $915,000
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1338 E 224th St #3 | 0.07mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 2,968 (-1%) | 14mo | $815,000 | $275 | 70 |
| 1119 E 224th St | 0.39mi | 7/5.0 (-1) | 3,000 (0%) | 17mo | $850,000 | $283 | 63 |
| 3512 Grace Ave | 0.20mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 3,150 (+5%) | 9mo | $960,000 | $305 | 62 |
| 3941 Laconia Ave | 0.44mi | 7/5.0 (-1) | 3,387 (+13%) | 2mo | $1,180,000 | $348 | 51 |
| 3016 Bouck Ave | 0.73mi | 9/5.0 (+1) | 3,100 (+3%) | 20mo | $1,222,222 | $394 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-110,794
- Equity at exit
- $121,519
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-41,983
- Equity at exit
- $70,466
Cash invested: $228,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10469
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 19.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,909 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,274
- Tax from tax record
- −$656 /mo · $7,870/yr
- Insurance
- −$340
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,451
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $650 | -5% $419 | +0% $189 | +5% $-42 | +10% $-273 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-357 | -5% $-84 | +0% $189 | +5% $462 | +10% $735 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $599 | -0.5pp $396 | base $189 | +0.5pp $-22 | +1.0pp $-237 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.5 | $6,908 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.5 | $3,454 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.5 | $3,454 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,909 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $203,750
- Closing costs
- $24,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $815,000 Pending 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $815,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $815,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $815,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $815,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-06$815,000 Active 523-char remark
Show marketing remark (523 chars)
Unlock over 2,800 square feet+ of pure potential in the heart of Wakefield. This brick, semi-attached two-family residence is the ultimate canvas, perfectly suited for a high-yield investment or a custom multi-generational home ready to customize. Generous 3-bedroom over 3-bedroom configuration on 2nd & 3rd floors, first floor, you'll find a completely open and versatile space with access to backyard. Driveway and side yard for private parking. Bring your vision and turn this powerhouse into your own. Cash Only.
-
2026-05-05$815,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,870 · $656/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,822 · $902/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,952/yr (+$246/mo · 37.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $82,908
- − Mortgage interest
- −$45,653
- − Property taxes
- −$7,870
- − Insurance
- −$4,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,633
- − Management
- −$6,633
- − Depreciation
- −$23,709
- Taxable loss
- −$11,664
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,799
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,064/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 68,521
- Household income
- $76,020
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3706.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 27% White 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 9%
- Foreign-born
- 37% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -524.76%
- Current HPI
- 321.9213
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.33%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $815,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2026-05-05 Listed $815,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $7,870 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…