8622 Judge Logue Rd · Clayhatchee, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$219,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
If you've been looking for space, privacy, and modern finishes in the Wicksburg area, this one is worth a look. Built in 2025, this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom barndominium sits on a spacious lot just under half an acre and offers a quiet setting with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. The interior features an open layout with a bright living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining space. The kitchen includes granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, generous cabinet storage, and a clean modern design. Luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the home adds durability and low-maintenance living. The primary suite offers plenty of space along with a walk-in closet and a private b
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Open layout
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water available; Sewer available; Septic tank; Cable available; Electric service available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; On waterfront
- Construction: Built with other construction materials
- Exterior features: Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms with walk-in closet(s)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Aluminum window frames; Double-pane windows; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located inside; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-170 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (11.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (22.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#329 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Houston County (rural): math 25% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #38 of 129 in AL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wicksburg Elementary School (606 students, 42% FRL); Wicksburg High School (math 33% / reading 57%, grade D-, #21 of 305 statewide, top 7%, 471 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.33%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $224,062
- List price
- $219,700
- Delta
- 0.42%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8147 Judge Logue Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-2%) | 24mo | $275,000 | $196 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $25,378
- Equity at exit
- $109,153
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $93,994
- Equity at exit
- $176,765
Cash invested: $61,516 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36352
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,706 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,152
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$275 /mo · $3,296/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $-170
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-19 | -5% $-95 | +0% $-170 | +5% $-246 | +10% $-322 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-305 | -5% $-238 | +0% $-170 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-36 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-60 | -0.5pp $-115 | base $-170 | +0.5pp $-227 | +1.0pp $-285 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,925
- Closing costs
- $6,591
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
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2026-06-09statusdays on market $219,700 Pending 20 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $219,700 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $219,700 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $219,700 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $219,700 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $219,700 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $225,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-04-14status Active
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2026-04-06status Pending
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2026-03-11historical Active Under Contract
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2026-01-07price $225,000
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2025-11-10$235,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,473
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,307
- − Property taxes
- −$3,296
- − Insurance
- −$1,098
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,638
- − Management
- −$1,638
- − Depreciation
- −$6,391
- Taxable loss
- −$5,894
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,415
- After-tax cash flow
- $-631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston County
- NCES district ID
- 0101770
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,530
- Composite
- 31.01/100
- National rank
- #6092
- State rank
- #38 of 129 in AL
Livability — Clayhatchee
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #329
- US rank
- #19985
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,762
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,280 people
- By 2030
- 112,668 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 116,149 · +5.3%
- By 2050
- 117,805 · +6.8%
- By 2075
- 118,577 · +7.5%
- By 2100
- 110,940 · +0.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Black 6% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Iranian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.83%
- Current HPI
- 239.5672
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
-6.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Pending — SAMLS
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $219,700 SAMLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $225,000 SAMLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — SAMLS
- 2026-04-06 Pending — SAMLS
- 2026-03-11 Contingent — SAMLS
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $225,000 SAMLS
- 2025-11-10 Listed $235,000 SAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…