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8622 Judge Logue Rd
D Composite 40.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$219,700

8622 Judge Logue Rd · Clayhatchee, AL 36352
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily · 20 Days on market
Built 2025 0.47 ac lot $153/sqft · at area comps Est $224k · at est. ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you've been looking for space, privacy, and modern finishes in the Wicksburg area, this one is worth a look. Built in 2025, this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom barndominium sits on a spacious lot just under half an acre and offers a quiet setting with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors. The interior features an open layout with a bright living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining space. The kitchen includes granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, generous cabinet storage, and a clean modern design. Luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the home adds durability and low-maintenance living. The primary suite offers plenty of space along with a walk-in closet and a private b

Key facts

  • Spacious lot
  • Open layout
  • Granite countertops

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTOPEN LAYOUTGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGENEROUS CABINET STORAGELUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water available; Sewer available; Septic tank; Cable available; Electric service available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; On waterfront
  • Construction: Built with other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms with walk-in closet(s)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Aluminum window frames; Double-pane windows; Smoke detectors
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located inside; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-170 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (11.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (22.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#329 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Houston County (rural): math 25% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #38 of 129 in AL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Wicksburg Elementary School (606 students, 42% FRL); Wicksburg High School (math 33% / reading 57%, grade D-, #21 of 305 statewide, top 7%, 471 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $170,610 (22.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.33%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$224,062
List price
$219,700
Delta
0.42%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
8 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8147 Judge Logue Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-2%) 24mo $275,000 $196 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$25,378
Equity at exit
$109,153
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$93,994
Equity at exit
$176,765

Cash invested: $61,516 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36352

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,706 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,152
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,296/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$-170

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,922
Max offer price $195,032
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-19 -5% $-95 +0% $-170 +5% $-246 +10% $-322
Rent -10% $-305 -5% $-238 +0% $-170 +5% $-103 +10% $-36
Rate -1.0pp $-60 -0.5pp $-115 base $-170 +0.5pp $-227 +1.0pp $-285

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,925
Closing costs
$6,591
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $219,700 Pending 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,700 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,700 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,700 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,700 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $219,700 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $225,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-04-14
    status Active
  11. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
  12. 2026-03-11
    historical Active Under Contract
  13. 2026-01-07
    price $225,000
  14. 2025-11-10
    listed $235,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,473
− Mortgage interest
−$12,307
− Property taxes
−$3,296
− Insurance
−$1,098
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,638
− Management
−$1,638
− Depreciation
−$6,391
Taxable loss
−$5,894
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,415
After-tax cash flow
$-631/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston County
NCES district ID
0101770
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$40,530
Composite
31.01/100
National rank
#6092
State rank
#38 of 129 in AL

Livability — Clayhatchee

Score
59/100
State rank
#329
US rank
#19985

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,762

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,280 people
By 2030
112,668 · +2.2%
By 2040
116,149 · +5.3%
By 2050
117,805 · +6.8%
By 2075
118,577 · +7.5%
By 2100
110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Black 6% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Iranian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.83%
Current HPI
239.5672
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Pending SAMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $219,700 SAMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $225,000 SAMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted SAMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Pending SAMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Contingent SAMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $225,000 SAMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $235,000 SAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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