1736 New York · Elkhart, IN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is truly a must see, offering comfortable and accessible living space. It features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, providing ample room for family or guests. Additionally, it includes a handicap ramp, ensuring easy access for everyone. It has a convenient 1-car detached garage with easy access, and a lovely back deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Call today to schecule an appointment to view this home.
Key facts
- Back deck
- Built 2025
- Listed 293 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $784 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.7% vs local median 4.0% in Elkhart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Elkhart Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #271 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 294 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 294 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.97%
- DSCR
- 3.13
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,681
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -60.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2910 Winding Waters Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-11%) | 6mo | $174,000 | $134 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $45,353
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 57.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.84×
- Total profit
- $134,032
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46514
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,604 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $784
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $70,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $70,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $70,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $70,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $70,000 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
This home is truly a must see, offering comfortable and accessible living space. It features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, providing ample room for family or guests. Additionally, it includes a handicap ramp, ensuring easy access for everyone. It has a convenient 1-car detached garage with easy access, and a lovely back deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Call today to schecule an appointment to view this home.
-
2025-08-29$92,500 Active 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
This home is truly a must see, offering comfortable and accessible living space. It features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, providing ample room for family or guests. Additionally, it includes a handicap ramp, ensuring easy access for everyone. It has a convenient 1-car detached garage with easy access, and a lovely back deck, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Call today to schecule an appointment to view this home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,250
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,540
- − Management
- −$1,540
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $8,813
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,115
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This manufactured home has average exterior condition with faded paint and basic landscaping. Painting and landscaping improvements would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Paint — Paint is faded and needs repainting
- Minor Landscaping — Basic landscaping could be improved
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and home value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping would increase curb appeal and home value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Paint is faded and needs repainting | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Basic landscaping could be improved | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and home value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping would increase curb appeal and home value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elkhart Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1803270
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 18.45/100
- National rank
- #8928
- State rank
- #271 of 301 in IN
Livability — Elkhart
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #9852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elkhart, IN
- County
- Elkhart County · 107,928 people
- City population
- 74,260
- Metro
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,389
- Household income
- $65,833
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1061.0
Population outlook (Elkhart County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 213,761 people
- By 2030
- 218,103 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 225,381 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 229,447 · +7.3%
- By 2075
- 232,856 · +8.9%
- By 2100
- 214,088 · +0.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Elkhart
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.1% · R 65.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.5 2008: R+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -246.78%
- Current HPI
- 225.6
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.03%
- Metro
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
-24.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $70,000 Zillow
- 2025-08-29 Listed $92,500 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…