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12205 NE Hart St #66
D Composite 43.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$33,900

12205 NE Hart St #66 · Greenville, MI 48838
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,140 sqft · Manufactured · 19 Days on market
Built 1983 1,400 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This cozy 2 bedroom home is located in Lakeside Village, an ages 55 and over manufactured housing community. 55+ Community. Featuring 2 bedrooms/2 baths, new carpet and a three season enclosed porch, you can live 2 minutes away from the shores of Wabasis Lake. Lakeside Village has 1000 foot of frontage on Wabasis Lake, for residents only. Boat sllp rental available. Homesite rent is $500.00/ month.

Key facts

  • 1,400 sq ft lot
  • Built 1983
  • Listed 19 days

Tags

THREE SEASON ENCLOSED PORCHBOAT SLIP RENTAL AVAILABLE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $34k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $34k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 44.8% vs local median 4.2% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#426 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Belding Area School District (town): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #398 of 540 in MI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ellis Elementary School (394 students, 59% FRL); Belding Middle School (math 20% / reading 34%, grade F, #372 of 493 statewide, top 77%, 325 students, 50% FRL); Belding High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #462 of 713 statewide, top 66%, 557 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $234 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $33,391 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.94%
Cap rate
44.79%
Cash-on-cash
137.51%
DSCR
7.12
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.72×
Total profit
$63,806
Equity at exit
$5,055
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.26×
Total profit
$144,866
Equity at exit
$2,931

Cash invested: $9,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48838

Home prices YoY
-30.2%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,673 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$178
Tax est. 1.5%
$42 /mo · $508/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$1,088

Break-even live

Break-even rent $297
Max offer price $33,900
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,111 -5% $1,099 +0% $1,088 +5% $1,076 +10% $1,064
Rent -10% $955 -5% $1,022 +0% $1,088 +5% $1,154 +10% $1,220
Rate -1.0pp $1,105 -0.5pp $1,096 base $1,088 +0.5pp $1,079 +1.0pp $1,070

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,475
Closing costs
$1,017
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2025-12-06
    status Pending 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    This cozy 2 bedroom home is located in Lakeside Village, an ages 55 and over manufactured housing community. 55+ Community. Featuring 2 bedrooms/2 baths, new carpet and a three season enclosed porch, you can live 2 minutes away from the shores of Wabasis Lake. Lakeside Village has 1000 foot of frontage on Wabasis Lake, for residents only. Boat sllp rental available. Homesite rent is $500.00/ month.

  2. 2025-10-11
    status Pending 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    This cozy 2 bedroom home is located in Lakeside Village, an ages 55 and over manufactured housing community. 55+ Community. Featuring 2 bedrooms/2 baths, new carpet and a three season enclosed porch, you can live 2 minutes away from the shores of Wabasis Lake. Lakeside Village has 1000 foot of frontage on Wabasis Lake, for residents only. Boat sllp rental available. Homesite rent is $500.00/ month.

  3. 2025-10-11
    status Pending 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    This cozy 2 bedroom home is located in Lakeside Village, an ages 55 and over manufactured housing community. 55+ Community. Featuring 2 bedrooms/2 baths, new carpet and a three season enclosed porch, you can live 2 minutes away from the shores of Wabasis Lake. Lakeside Village has 1000 foot of frontage on Wabasis Lake, for residents only. Boat sllp rental available. Homesite rent is $500.00/ month.

  4. 2025-10-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    This cozy 2 bedroom home is located in Lakeside Village, an ages 55 and over manufactured housing community. 55+ Community. Featuring 2 bedrooms/2 baths, new carpet and a three season enclosed porch, you can live 2 minutes away from the shores of Wabasis Lake. Lakeside Village has 1000 foot of frontage on Wabasis Lake, for residents only. Boat sllp rental available. Homesite rent is $500.00/ month.

  5. 2025-10-07
    historical 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    This cozy 2 bedroom home is located in Lakeside Village, an ages 55 and over manufactured housing community. 55+ Community. Featuring 2 bedrooms/2 baths, new carpet and a three season enclosed porch, you can live 2 minutes away from the shores of Wabasis Lake. Lakeside Village has 1000 foot of frontage on Wabasis Lake, for residents only. Boat sllp rental available. Homesite rent is $500.00/ month.

  6. 2025-09-22
    listed $33,900 Active 402-char remark
    Show marketing remark (402 chars)

    This cozy 2 bedroom home is located in Lakeside Village, an ages 55 and over manufactured housing community. 55+ Community. Featuring 2 bedrooms/2 baths, new carpet and a three season enclosed porch, you can live 2 minutes away from the shores of Wabasis Lake. Lakeside Village has 1000 foot of frontage on Wabasis Lake, for residents only. Boat sllp rental available. Homesite rent is $500.00/ month.

  7. 2025-09-21
    listed $33,900 Active 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    This cozy 2 bedroom home is located in Lakeside Village, an ages 55 and over manufactured housing community. 55+ Community. Featuring 2 bedrooms/2 baths, new carpet and a three season enclosed porch, you can live 2 minutes away from the shores of Wabasis Lake. Lakeside Village has 1000 foot of frontage on Wabasis Lake, for residents only. Boat sllp rental available. Homesite rent is $500.00/ month.

  8. 2025-09-21
    listed $33,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    This cozy 2 bedroom home is located in Lakeside Village, an ages 55 and over manufactured housing community. 55+ Community. Featuring 2 bedrooms/2 baths, new carpet and a three season enclosed porch, you can live 2 minutes away from the shores of Wabasis Lake. Lakeside Village has 1000 foot of frontage on Wabasis Lake, for residents only. Boat sllp rental available. Homesite rent is $500.00/ month.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,080
− Mortgage interest
−$1,899
− Property taxes
−$508
− Insurance
−$170
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,606
− Management
−$1,606
− Depreciation
−$986
Taxable income
$13,304
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,193
After-tax cash flow
$9,859/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belding Area School District
NCES district ID
2604530
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$46,310
Composite
23.33/100
National rank
#7915
State rank
#398 of 540 in MI

Livability — Greenville

Score
66/100
State rank
#426
US rank
#11581

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Montcalm County · 18,212 people
City population
18,212
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,212
Household income
$70,176
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
365.0

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.31%
Current HPI
249.996
Rent YoY
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-11 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $33,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-21 Listed $33,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-09-21 Listed $33,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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