5909 Evergreen · Bootjack, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 48 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 55 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$429,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Swim spa
- 2.45 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $429k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (18.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $350k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.4% in Bootjack — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 48/100 on livability (#1,203 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Mariposa County Unified (rural): math 27% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #282 of 517 in CA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 89 units permitted in Mariposa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mariposa County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.64%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $416,362
- List price
- $429,000
- Delta
- 3.04%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5906 Pine Top Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+4%) | 5mo | $389,500 | $229 | 75 |
| 5615 Silver Strand Fall | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-4%) | 8mo | $384,000 | $245 | 74 |
| 5590 Royal Arches | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,556 (-4%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $209 | 66 |
| 5785 Glacier Pt | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,780 (+9%) | 4mo | $399,950 | $225 | 65 |
| 5686 Nevada Fall | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,718 (+6%) | 23mo | $409,000 | $238 | 54 |
| 3820 Pinecrest Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-12%) | 10mo | $330,000 | $229 | 50 |
| 5585 Meadow Ln | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (-10%) | 19mo | $405,000 | $275 | 44 |
| 5740 Clouds Rst | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,824 (+12%) | 14mo | $385,000 | $211 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-59,249
- Equity at exit
- $63,965
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-38,845
- Equity at exit
- $37,092
Cash invested: $120,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95338
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,250
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,072/yr
- Insurance
- −$179
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$735
- Net cashflow
- $164
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $107,250
- Closing costs
- $12,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6106 Smither Rd Mariposa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $3,500 | $2.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $429,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $429,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $429,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $429,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $429,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $429,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $429,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $429,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $429,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $429,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $429,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $429,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $429,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $429,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $429,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $429,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $429,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $425,000 1082-char remark
Show marketing remark (1082 chars)
Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.
-
2026-03-24price $429,000 1082-char remark
Show marketing remark (1082 chars)
Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.
-
2026-03-24price $429,000 1082-char remark
Show marketing remark (1082 chars)
Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.
-
2026-01-13$450,000 Active 1082-char remark
Show marketing remark (1082 chars)
Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.
-
2026-01-12$450,000 Active 1082-char remark
Show marketing remark (1082 chars)
Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.
-
2025-01-23soldstatus $400,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,072 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,260 · $272/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,189/yr (+$99/mo · 57.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 9 d/yr ≥99°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 48 unhealthy d/yr today · 55 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,031
- − Property taxes
- −$2,072
- − Insurance
- −$2,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,360
- − Management
- −$3,360
- − Depreciation
- −$12,480
- Taxable loss
- −$5,447
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,307
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,274/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mariposa County Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0623940
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,669
- Composite
- 29.75/100
- National rank
- #6438
- State rank
- #282 of 517 in CA
Livability — Bootjack
- Score
- 48/100
- State rank
- #1203
- US rank
- #26092
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,164
Population outlook (Mariposa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,956 people
- By 2030
- 15,078 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 13,413 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 12,232 · -23.3%
- By 2075
- 11,143 · -30.2%
- By 2100
- 10,187 · -36.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 4% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mariposa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.1% · R 59.1% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.4pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+18.1 2016: R+23.2 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+12.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.82%
- Current HPI
- 140.3045
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+6.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $425,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $429,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $429,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2026-01-13 Listed $450,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $450,000 FRESNOMLS
- 2025-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $400,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2024): $2,072 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…