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5909 Evergreen
D- Composite 39.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$429,000

5909 Evergreen · Bootjack, CA 95338
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,629 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 157 Days on market
Built 1987 2.45 ac lot $263/sqft · at area comps Est $416k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.

Key facts

  • Hot tub
  • Swim spa
  • 2.45 acre lot

Tags

SWIM SPAHOT TUBYOSEMITE NATIONAL PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $429k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (18.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $350k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.4% in Bootjack — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 48/100 on livability (#1,203 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Mariposa County Unified (rural): math 27% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #282 of 517 in CA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 89 units permitted in Mariposa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mariposa County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $350,000 (18.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.64%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$416,362
List price
$429,000
Delta
3.04%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5906 Pine Top Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+4%) 5mo $389,500 $229 75
5615 Silver Strand Fall 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-4%) 8mo $384,000 $245 74
5590 Royal Arches 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,556 (-4%) 12mo $325,000 $209 66
5785 Glacier Pt 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,780 (+9%) 4mo $399,950 $225 65
5686 Nevada Fall 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,718 (+6%) 23mo $409,000 $238 54
3820 Pinecrest Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-12%) 10mo $330,000 $229 50
5585 Meadow Ln 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,475 (-10%) 19mo $405,000 $275 44
5740 Clouds Rst 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,824 (+12%) 14mo $385,000 $211 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-59,249
Equity at exit
$63,965
10-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-38,845
Equity at exit
$37,092

Cash invested: $120,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95338

Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,250
Tax from tax record
$173 /mo · $2,072/yr
Insurance
$179
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$735
Net cashflow
$164

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,293
Max offer price $429,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$107,250
Closing costs
$12,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6106 Smither Rd Mariposa, CA 2.0 2.0 1474 $3,500 $2.37 43d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $429,000 Active 157 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $429,000 Active 156 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $429,000 Active 155 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $429,000 Active 154 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $429,000 Active 153 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $429,000 Active 151 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $429,000 Active 150 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $429,000 Active 148 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $429,000 Active 147 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $429,000 Active 146 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $429,000 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $429,000 Active 142 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $429,000 Active 141 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $429,000 Active 140 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $429,000 Active 139 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $429,000 Active 138 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $429,000 Active 137 DOM
  18. 2026-05-07
    price $425,000 1082-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1082 chars)

    Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.

  19. 2026-03-24
    price $429,000 1082-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1082 chars)

    Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.

  20. 2026-03-24
    price $429,000 1082-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1082 chars)

    Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.

  21. 2026-01-13
    listed $450,000 Active 1082-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1082 chars)

    Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.

  22. 2026-01-12
    listed $450,000 Active 1082-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1082 chars)

    Nestled in the serene and picturesque community of Lush Meadows, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a perfect blend of comfort, style and outdoor adventure. With breathtaking views and an ideal location just minutes from the historic town of Mariposa, you'll enjoy small-town charm alongside spectacular natural beauty. Step inside to find newer flooring throughout the main living areas, lending a fresh updated feel. The well-designed floorplan provides spacious living areas, a welcoming kitchen and bedrooms filled with natural light. Outside, the large property features its own swim spa and relaxing hot tub - both included! Perfect for year-round enjoyment, whether you're unwinding under the stars or getting in a daily workout. The location is truly unbeatable - Yosemite National Park sits practically in your backyard, offering endless opportunities for hiking, climbing, sightseeing, and soaking in iconic landscapes. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family home, a vacation retreat or a gateway to outdoor living, this Lush Meadows property has it all.

  23. 2025-01-23
    soldstatus $400,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,072 · $173/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,260 · $272/mo
Expected delta
+$1,189/yr (+$99/mo · 57.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 9 d/yr ≥99°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 48 unhealthy d/yr today · 55 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,000
− Mortgage interest
−$24,031
− Property taxes
−$2,072
− Insurance
−$2,145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,360
− Management
−$3,360
− Depreciation
−$12,480
Taxable loss
−$5,447
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,307
After-tax cash flow
$3,274/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mariposa County Unified
NCES district ID
0623940
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$48,669
Composite
29.75/100
National rank
#6438
State rank
#282 of 517 in CA

Livability — Bootjack

Score
48/100
State rank
#1203
US rank
#26092

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,164

Population outlook (Mariposa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,956 people
By 2030
15,078 · -5.5%
By 2040
13,413 · -15.9%
By 2050
12,232 · -23.3%
By 2075
11,143 · -30.2%
By 2100
10,187 · -36.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Italian 4% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mariposa

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.1% · R 59.1% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.4pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+18.1 2016: R+23.2 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+12.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.82%
Current HPI
140.3045
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $425,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $429,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $429,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $450,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $450,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2025-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $400,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,072 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…