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301 S Sims St
B+ Composite 79.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$61,000

301 S Sims St · Royalton, IL 62983
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,409 sqft · SingleFamily · 101 Days on market
Built 1974 8,460 sqft lot $43/sqft · 25% below area Est $81k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Motivated Seller! This home could easily be converted to a 3 or 4-bedroom home. Nice corner lot. Come take a look.

Key facts

  • 8,460 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1974

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $61k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#836 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Zeigler-Royalton CUSD 188 (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #524 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $763 of equity ($422 loan paydown + $341 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $44k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,510 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
14.78%
Cash-on-cash
30.31%
DSCR
2.35
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,239
List price
$61,000
Delta
-24.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
306 S Pecan St 0.16mi 2/1.0 1,230 (-13%) 5mo $39,900 $32 67
302 N Main St 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,290 (-8%) 2mo $126,000 $98 61
406 S Meadow St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,230 (-13%) 15mo $75,000 $61 54
406 S Meadow St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,230 (-13%) 15mo $75,000 $61 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.9%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$27,337
Equity at exit
$19,437
10-year hold
IRR
34.8%
Equity multiple
5.05×
Total profit
$69,149
Equity at exit
$24,789

Cash invested: $17,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62983

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,086 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$320
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $976/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $540
Max offer price $61,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,250
Closing costs
$1,830
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $61,000 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $61,000 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $61,000 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $61,000 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $61,000 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $61,000 Active 95 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $61,000 Active 94 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $61,000 Active 92 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $61,000 Active 91 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $61,000 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $61,000 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $61,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $61,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $61,000 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $61,000 Active 81 DOM
  16. 2026-04-30
    price $61,000 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Motivated Seller! This home could easily be converted to a 3 or 4-bedroom home. Nice corner lot. Come take a look.

  17. 2026-03-09
    listed $65,000 Active 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Motivated Seller! This home could easily be converted to a 3 or 4-bedroom home. Nice corner lot. Come take a look.

  18. 2021-08-06
    historical
  19. 2020-07-09
    soldstatus
  20. 2020-03-31
    historical
  21. 2014-06-17
    soldstatus $44,000
  22. 2014-06-17
    soldstatus $44,000
  23. 2014-04-04
    listed $49,800
  24. 2014-04-04
    listed $49,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$976 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,180 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$205/yr (+$17/mo · 21.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,034
− Mortgage interest
−$3,417
− Property taxes
−$976
− Insurance
−$305
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,043
− Management
−$1,043
− Depreciation
−$1,775
Taxable income
$4,477
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,074
After-tax cash flow
$4,103/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Zeigler-Royalton CUSD 188
NCES district ID
1743800
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$37,645
Composite
12.55/100
National rank
#9621
State rank
#524 of 620 in IL

Livability — Royalton

Score
62/100
State rank
#836
US rank
#16478

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Royalton, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,623

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,954 people
By 2030
36,828 · -3.0%
By 2040
34,452 · -9.2%
By 2050
31,855 · -16.1%
By 2075
25,171 · -33.7%
By 2100
18,462 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Slovak 5% Romanian 4%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-47.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -50.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.6 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+45.3 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.56%
Current HPI
62.854
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $61,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-09 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-06-17 Sold (MLS) $44,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-06-17 Sold (MLS) $44,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-04 Listed $49,800 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-04 Listed $49,800 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $976 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…