301 S Sims St · Royalton, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$61,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Seller! This home could easily be converted to a 3 or 4-bedroom home. Nice corner lot. Come take a look.
Key facts
- 8,460 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1974
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $61k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $61k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#836 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Zeigler-Royalton CUSD 188 (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #524 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $763 of equity ($422 loan paydown + $341 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $44k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.31%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $81,239
- List price
- $61,000
- Delta
- -24.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 S Pecan St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,230 (-13%) | 5mo | $39,900 | $32 | 67 |
| 302 N Main St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,290 (-8%) | 2mo | $126,000 | $98 | 61 |
| 406 S Meadow St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,230 (-13%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $61 | 54 |
| 406 S Meadow St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,230 (-13%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $61 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $27,337
- Equity at exit
- $19,437
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.05×
- Total profit
- $69,149
- Equity at exit
- $24,789
Cash invested: $17,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62983
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,086 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$320
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $976/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $431
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,250
- Closing costs
- $1,830
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $61,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $61,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $61,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $61,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $61,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $61,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $61,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $61,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $61,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $61,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $61,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $61,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $61,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $61,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $61,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $61,000 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Motivated Seller! This home could easily be converted to a 3 or 4-bedroom home. Nice corner lot. Come take a look.
-
2026-03-09$65,000 Active 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Motivated Seller! This home could easily be converted to a 3 or 4-bedroom home. Nice corner lot. Come take a look.
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2020-07-09soldstatus
-
2020-03-31historical
-
2014-06-17soldstatus $44,000
-
2014-06-17soldstatus $44,000
-
2014-04-04$49,800
-
2014-04-04$49,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $976 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,180 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$205/yr (+$17/mo · 21.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,034
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,417
- − Property taxes
- −$976
- − Insurance
- −$305
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,043
- − Management
- −$1,043
- − Depreciation
- −$1,775
- Taxable income
- $4,477
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,074
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,103/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Zeigler-Royalton CUSD 188
- NCES district ID
- 1743800
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,645
- Composite
- 12.55/100
- National rank
- #9621
- State rank
- #524 of 620 in IL
Livability — Royalton
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #836
- US rank
- #16478
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Royalton, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,623
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,954 people
- By 2030
- 36,828 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 34,452 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 31,855 · -16.1%
- By 2075
- 25,171 · -33.7%
- By 2100
- 18,462 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Slovak 5% Romanian 4%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+45.3 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.56%
- Current HPI
- 62.854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+22.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $61,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-09 Listed $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-09 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-31 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-17 Sold (MLS) $44,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-17 Sold (MLS) $44,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-04-04 Listed $49,800 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-04-04 Listed $49,800 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2024): $976 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…