3804 Saint Francis St · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$116,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR ALERT CAST BONANZA EXCELLENT CASH FLOW ON DAY ONE * NO DELAYS *NO REHAB *BUY AND HOLD
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Built 1943
- Listed 143 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $116k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $669 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $116k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,842/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1554% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $802 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.72%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,571
- List price
- $116,000
- Delta
- -32.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404 Downing St | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 | 1,428 (-6%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $130 | 76 |
| 3526 Downing St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-2%) | 8mo | $199,000 | $133 | 69 |
| 464 E Ridgeway St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,675 (+10%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $119 | 64 |
| 618 Eagle Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,548 (+1%) | 11mo | $189,000 | $122 | 59 |
| 4018 Redwing Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (+6%) | 10mo | $255,000 | $157 | 58 |
| 4081 Pine Hill Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,713 (+12%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $105 | 57 |
| 417 Dunbar St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,362 (-11%) | 2mo | $174,900 | $128 | 57 |
| 342 Iroquois Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (-15%) | 5mo | $157,500 | $121 | 49 |
| 309 Dunbar St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,381 (-10%) | 8mo | $15,000 | $11 | 49 |
| 534 Warrior Trl | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,748 (+14%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $132 | 42 |
| 547 Broadway Ave | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 | 1,723 (+13%) | 8mo | $279,510 | $162 | 42 |
| 4058 Robin Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-12%) | 8mo | $212,000 | $158 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $23,530
- Equity at exit
- $17,296
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $74,161
- Equity at exit
- $10,030
Cash invested: $32,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39206
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,842 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$608
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,555/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $669
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $735 | -5% $702 | +0% $669 | +5% $636 | +10% $604 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $524 | -5% $596 | +0% $669 | +5% $742 | +10% $815 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $728 | -0.5pp $699 | base $669 | +0.5pp $639 | +1.0pp $609 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,000
- Closing costs
- $3,480
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4091 Pine Hill Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $3,000 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3611 N State St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4056 Redwing Ave Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1678 | $1,850 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4220 Council Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $1,850 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 214 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 220 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1744 | $1,350 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2814 Smith Robinson St Jackson, MS | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1899 | $1,497 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 724 Meadowbrook Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $2,150 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 341 E Northside Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $1,775 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 622 Naples Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2210 | $1,650 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4627 Estelle Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,475 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $1,423 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $116,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $116,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $116,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $116,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $116,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $116,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $116,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $116,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $116,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $116,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $116,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $116,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $116,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $116,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $116,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $116,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-02status Active 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT CAST BONANZA EXCELLENT CASH FLOW ON DAY ONE * NO DELAYS *NO REHAB *BUY AND HOLD
-
2026-04-30historical 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT CAST BONANZA EXCELLENT CASH FLOW ON DAY ONE * NO DELAYS *NO REHAB *BUY AND HOLD
-
2026-01-24$116,000 Active 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT CAST BONANZA EXCELLENT CASH FLOW ON DAY ONE * NO DELAYS *NO REHAB *BUY AND HOLD
-
2024-05-22soldstatus Closed 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Come see this amazing home, located within minutes of Fondren and the hospital district in Jackson. Whether you want to experience the entertainment in the local area or need easy access to the interstate, this home is perfect for you! It features 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, a dining area, family room, and office space or sitting area. This home is situated on a corner lot with a large backyard with a drive gate. It has parking available on the front of the home and in the backyard. Make an appointment to see it today!
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2024-05-20soldstatus
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2024-04-12status Pending 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Come see this amazing home, located within minutes of Fondren and the hospital district in Jackson. Whether you want to experience the entertainment in the local area or need easy access to the interstate, this home is perfect for you! It features 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, a dining area, family room, and office space or sitting area. This home is situated on a corner lot with a large backyard with a drive gate. It has parking available on the front of the home and in the backyard. Make an appointment to see it today!
-
2024-04-08price $125,000 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Come see this amazing home, located within minutes of Fondren and the hospital district in Jackson. Whether you want to experience the entertainment in the local area or need easy access to the interstate, this home is perfect for you! It features 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, a dining area, family room, and office space or sitting area. This home is situated on a corner lot with a large backyard with a drive gate. It has parking available on the front of the home and in the backyard. Make an appointment to see it today!
-
2024-03-23$130,000 Active 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Come see this amazing home, located within minutes of Fondren and the hospital district in Jackson. Whether you want to experience the entertainment in the local area or need easy access to the interstate, this home is perfect for you! It features 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, a dining area, family room, and office space or sitting area. This home is situated on a corner lot with a large backyard with a drive gate. It has parking available on the front of the home and in the backyard. Make an appointment to see it today!
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2023-11-24historical $1,195
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2023-10-29$1,195
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2023-10-17historical $1,195
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2023-09-01$1,195
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2022-02-11soldstatus
-
2009-06-05soldstatus
-
2008-05-22historical
-
2007-06-25$14,500
-
2005-07-19soldstatus
-
1990-12-27soldstatus
-
1988-04-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,555 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,555 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,498
- − Property taxes
- −$1,555
- − Insurance
- −$580
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,769
- − Management
- −$1,769
- − Depreciation
- −$3,375
- Taxable income
- $6,563
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,575
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,455/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,257
- Household income
- $42,686
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.38%
- Current HPI
- 194.5873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.83%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+700.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-01-24 Listed $116,000 MLSU
- 2024-05-22 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2024-05-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-04-12 Pending — MLSU
- 2024-04-08 Price Changed $125,000 MLSU
- 2024-03-23 Listed $130,000 MLSU
- 2023-11-24 Rental Removed $1,195 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-29 Listed for Rent $1,195 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-17 Rental Removed $1,195 APPFOLIO
- 2023-09-01 Listed for Rent $1,195 APPFOLIO
- 2022-02-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-06-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-05-22 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2007-06-25 Listed $14,500 MLSU
- 2005-07-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-12-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-04-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,555 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…