61315 Heritage Blvd #4 · South Lyon, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in condition colonial style townhome is set on one the finest homesites within the desirable Colonial Acres. Loaded with features including spacious primary suite with large closet, large secondary bedroom is great for weekend guests or office space, ceramic baths on every level including the finished basement, nicely updated kitchen with granite counters and stainless appliances, well organized pantry, a 3 season porch overlooking a peaceful stream and protected wooded area. Newer windows. Active 55+ neighborhood includes a clubhouse with fitness facility and pool. Perfect for snow birding. HOA includes maintenance, gas & water utilities, trash pick up and more. Phenomenal value for this location and level of amenities. Walkable to vibrant downtown shopping and senior facility.
Key facts
- Primary suite
- Stainless appliances
- Ceramic baths
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($827/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.8% in South Lyon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#46 in MI, #953 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- South Lyon Community Schools (suburban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #74 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 345 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($132k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $757 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.70%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $115,773
- List price
- $109,500
- Delta
- -5.42%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-12,998
- Equity at exit
- $16,327
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-4,215
- Equity at exit
- $9,468
Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48178
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,729 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$574
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,642/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$540
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $69
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,375
- Closing costs
- $3,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 549 Lakewood Dr South Lyon, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,379 | $1.62 | 1d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 671 E Crest Ln South Lyon, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1589 | $2,250 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 663 Jamie Vis South Lyon, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $2,749 | $1.76 | 1d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 425 Donovan St South Lyon, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1027 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 1d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 113 W Liberty St Unit 1 South Lyon, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,700 | $1.62 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 825 W Lake St South Lyon, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $1,746 | $2.36 | 1d | 7 | 0.80mi |
| 200 Brookwood Dr South Lyon, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,672 | $1.40 | 3d | 3 | 0.98mi |
| 249 Brookwood Dr #2 South Lyon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $540 · $6,480/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashgaspool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-10status $109,500 Pending 122 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,500 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $109,500 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Move in condition colonial style townhome is set on one the finest homesites within the desirable Colonial Acres. Loaded with features including spacious primary suite with large closet, large secondary bedroom is great for weekend guests or office space, ceramic baths on every level including the finished basement, nicely updated kitchen with granite counters and stainless appliances, well organized pantry, a 3 season porch overlooking a peaceful stream and protected wooded area. Newer windows. Active 55+ neighborhood includes a clubhouse with fitness facility and pool. Perfect for snow birding. HOA includes maintenance, gas & water utilities, trash pick up and more. Phenomenal value for this location and level of amenities. Walkable to vibrant downtown shopping and senior facility.
-
2026-05-07price $109,500 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Move in condition colonial style townhome is set on one the finest homesites within the desirable Colonial Acres. Loaded with features including spacious primary suite with large closet, large secondary bedroom is great for weekend guests or office space, ceramic baths on every level including the finished basement, nicely updated kitchen with granite counters and stainless appliances, well organized pantry, a 3 season porch overlooking a peaceful stream and protected wooded area. Newer windows. Active 55+ neighborhood includes a clubhouse with fitness facility and pool. Perfect for snow birding. HOA includes maintenance, gas & water utilities, trash pick up and more. Phenomenal value for this location and level of amenities. Walkable to vibrant downtown shopping and senior facility.
-
2026-04-20price $115,000 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Move in condition colonial style townhome is set on one the finest homesites within the desirable Colonial Acres. Loaded with features including spacious primary suite with large closet, large secondary bedroom is great for weekend guests or office space, ceramic baths on every level including the finished basement, nicely updated kitchen with granite counters and stainless appliances, well organized pantry, a 3 season porch overlooking a peaceful stream and protected wooded area. Newer windows. Active 55+ neighborhood includes a clubhouse with fitness facility and pool. Perfect for snow birding. HOA includes maintenance, gas & water utilities, trash pick up and more. Phenomenal value for this location and level of amenities. Walkable to vibrant downtown shopping and senior facility.
-
2026-04-19price $115,000 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Move in condition colonial style townhome is set on one the finest homesites within the desirable Colonial Acres. Loaded with features including spacious primary suite with large closet, large secondary bedroom is great for weekend guests or office space, ceramic baths on every level including the finished basement, nicely updated kitchen with granite counters and stainless appliances, well organized pantry, a 3 season porch overlooking a peaceful stream and protected wooded area. Newer windows. Active 55+ neighborhood includes a clubhouse with fitness facility and pool. Perfect for snow birding. HOA includes maintenance, gas & water utilities, trash pick up and more. Phenomenal value for this location and level of amenities. Walkable to vibrant downtown shopping and senior facility.
-
2026-02-07$119,000 Active 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Move in condition colonial style townhome is set on one the finest homesites within the desirable Colonial Acres. Loaded with features including spacious primary suite with large closet, large secondary bedroom is great for weekend guests or office space, ceramic baths on every level including the finished basement, nicely updated kitchen with granite counters and stainless appliances, well organized pantry, a 3 season porch overlooking a peaceful stream and protected wooded area. Newer windows. Active 55+ neighborhood includes a clubhouse with fitness facility and pool. Perfect for snow birding. HOA includes maintenance, gas & water utilities, trash pick up and more. Phenomenal value for this location and level of amenities. Walkable to vibrant downtown shopping and senior facility.
-
2026-02-07$119,000 Active 800-char remark
Show marketing remark (800 chars)
Move in condition colonial style townhome is set on one the finest homesites within the desirable Colonial Acres. Loaded with features including spacious primary suite with large closet, large secondary bedroom is great for weekend guests or office space, ceramic baths on every level including the finished basement, nicely updated kitchen with granite counters and stainless appliances, well organized pantry, a 3 season porch overlooking a peaceful stream and protected wooded area. Newer windows. Active 55+ neighborhood includes a clubhouse with fitness facility and pool. Perfect for snow birding. HOA includes maintenance, gas & water utilities, trash pick up and more. Phenomenal value for this location and level of amenities. Walkable to vibrant downtown shopping and senior facility.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,134
- − Property taxes
- −$1,642
- − Insurance
- −$548
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,659
- − Management
- −$1,659
- − HOA
- −$6,480
- − Depreciation
- −$3,185
- Taxable loss
- −$565
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$135
- After-tax cash flow
- $962/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in condition townhome is in good condition with updated kitchens and bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. Minor touch-ups and carpet replacement would further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Rental replace carpet — improves comfort and reduces maintenance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental replace carpet — improves comfort and reduces maintenance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Lyon Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2632250
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,419
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2372
- State rank
- #74 of 540 in MI
Livability — South Lyon
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #953
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Lyon, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 37,789
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,789
- Household income
- $131,558
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 141.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.96%
- Current HPI
- 197.5122
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-8.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $109,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $109,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-07 Listed $119,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-07 Listed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…