6284 E 273rd St · Porum, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7.8 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1992
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Horses allowed; Property includes farm/ranch features on approximately 7.8 acres
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage with workshop
- Security: Storm shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Rural water available; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story manufactured double-wide home; Faces south; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Manufactured construction with steel; Metal roof; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Porch; Dog run; Barn(s); Barbed wire fencing; Storm shelter
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range/Stove; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Aluminum window frames; Electric range connection
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-451/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (4.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (25.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#240 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Porum (rural): math 19% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #172 of 270 in OK (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Muskogee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
- Muskogee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.04%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $47,588
- Equity at exit
- $103,060
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $140,528
- Equity at exit
- $191,950
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74455
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,159 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $911/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $-38
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $50 | -5% $6 | +0% $-38 | +5% $-81 | +10% $-125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-129 | -5% $-83 | +0% $-38 | +5% $8 | +10% $54 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $40 | -0.5pp $2 | base $-38 | +0.5pp $-78 | +1.0pp $-119 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-16$155,000 Active
-
2025-10-30historical
-
2025-09-24price $140,000
-
2025-08-19$155,000 Active
-
2022-08-25soldstatus $120,000
-
2020-05-20historical
-
2019-12-12$78,900
-
2019-12-12historical
-
2019-06-12$78,900
-
2002-08-19soldstatus $84,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,395 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$484/yr (+$40/mo · 53.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,910
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$911
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,113
- − Management
- −$1,113
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$3,193
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$766
- After-tax cash flow
- $315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Porum
- NCES district ID
- 4024840
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,183
- Composite
- 17.25/100
- National rank
- #9092
- State rank
- #172 of 270 in OK
Livability — Porum
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #240
- US rank
- #16214
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,717
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,717
Population outlook (Muskogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,842 people
- By 2030
- 64,969 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 60,920 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 56,978 · -14.8%
- By 2075
- 47,160 · -29.4%
- By 2100
- 35,336 · -47.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Native American 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskogee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.4% · R 68.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.6pp toward R · 2008: -15.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+15.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.57%
- Current HPI
- 288.3386
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+84.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-16 Listed $155,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-30 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-08-19 Listed $155,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2020-05-20 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2019-12-12 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2019-12-12 Listed $78,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2019-06-12 Listed $78,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2002-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $911 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…