1725 Dukes Ave · Missoula, MT
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 26 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this opportunity to purchase a Katoonah Lodges home, this home is located on an inside lot that borders the common area. Located off of Mullan Road with easy access to North Reserve Street. Katoonah Lodges is a 55+ community. This 1,736 sq. ft home (1998 Fleetwood 28'x62') has been recently painted inside and out and is immaculate! This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with a huge wrap around deck has a great layout with generously sized bedrooms and large closets. The spacious living room has a gas fireplace for those chilly winter nights and a dining room off the living room and kitchen make great options for entertaining. The kitchen is large with lots of cabinets, center island and a gas range. Please see attached floorplan, the plan shows a soaking tub in the primary bathroom but there is no soaking tub. Starting September 1, 2024 lot rent will increase; lot rent includes garbage, water, sewer and maintenance of common areas. It is the responsibility of the buyers and their agents to verify all info regarding this property. Info is provided by outside sources and deemed reliable but it is not guaranteed by listing agent or listing office. Contact Tammy Cunningham, 406-544-9021 or your Real Estate Professional.
Key facts
- Gas fireplace
- Interior lot
- Wraparound deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Tax amount reported
- Financial info: Land is leased
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer (other); Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: One level; Residential property
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Has a view; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: High speed internet; Fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 1.7% in Missoula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#17 in MT, #2,351 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Missoula H S (urban): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #53 of 116 in MT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 773 units permitted in Missoula County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Missoula County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.04%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $614,544
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2130 Horsetail Ln | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,663 (-4%) | 4mo | $775,000 | $466 | 76 |
| 5415 Filly Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,838 (+6%) | 2mo | $639,000 | $348 | 68 |
| 2438 Chuck Wagon Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,696 (-2%) | 8mo | $599,900 | $354 | 66 |
| 5763 Horn Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (-3%) | 6mo | $599,000 | $354 | 63 |
| 5103 Filly Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,656 (-5%) | 3mo | $595,000 | $359 | 62 |
| 5784 Horn Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,653 (-5%) | 4mo | $569,500 | $345 | 59 |
| 5803 Horn Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,787 (+3%) | 8mo | $599,990 | $336 | 57 |
| 5811 Horn Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,787 (+3%) | 8mo | $574,990 | $322 | 57 |
| 2420 Belt Buckle Way | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,948 (+12%) | 2mo | $719,900 | $370 | 56 |
| 5295 Remington Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,860 (+7%) | 1mo | $589,900 | $317 | 52 |
| 5843 Horn Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,621 (-7%) | 6mo | $569,990 | $352 | 52 |
| 5425 Remington Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,911 (+10%) | 8mo | $697,000 | $365 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $6,588
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $49,566
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59808
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,506 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$526
- Net cashflow
- $611
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2175 Sagebrush Rd Missoula, MT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1055 | $3,116 | $2.95 | 43d | 128 | 1.25mi |
| 4000 Mullan Rd Missoula, MT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1041 | $2,995 | $2.88 | 43d | 8 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $190,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $190,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $190,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $190,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $190,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$190,000 Active
-
2024-11-26soldstatus Closed 1249-char remark
Show marketing remark (1249 chars)
Don't miss this opportunity to purchase a Katoonah Lodges home, this home is located on an inside lot that borders the common area. Located off of Mullan Road with easy access to North Reserve Street. Katoonah Lodges is a 55+ community. This 1,736 sq. ft home (1998 Fleetwood 28'x62') has been recently painted inside and out and is immaculate! This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with a huge wrap around deck has a great layout with generously sized bedrooms and large closets. The spacious living room has a gas fireplace for those chilly winter nights and a dining room off the living room and kitchen make great options for entertaining. The kitchen is large with lots of cabinets, center island and a gas range. Please see attached floorplan, the plan shows a soaking tub in the primary bathroom but there is no soaking tub. Starting September 1, 2024 lot rent will increase; lot rent includes garbage, water, sewer and maintenance of common areas. It is the responsibility of the buyers and their agents to verify all info regarding this property. Info is provided by outside sources and deemed reliable but it is not guaranteed by listing agent or listing office. Contact Tammy Cunningham, 406-544-9021 or your Real Estate Professional.
-
2024-11-11historical Active Under Contract 1249-char remark
Show marketing remark (1249 chars)
Don't miss this opportunity to purchase a Katoonah Lodges home, this home is located on an inside lot that borders the common area. Located off of Mullan Road with easy access to North Reserve Street. Katoonah Lodges is a 55+ community. This 1,736 sq. ft home (1998 Fleetwood 28'x62') has been recently painted inside and out and is immaculate! This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with a huge wrap around deck has a great layout with generously sized bedrooms and large closets. The spacious living room has a gas fireplace for those chilly winter nights and a dining room off the living room and kitchen make great options for entertaining. The kitchen is large with lots of cabinets, center island and a gas range. Please see attached floorplan, the plan shows a soaking tub in the primary bathroom but there is no soaking tub. Starting September 1, 2024 lot rent will increase; lot rent includes garbage, water, sewer and maintenance of common areas. It is the responsibility of the buyers and their agents to verify all info regarding this property. Info is provided by outside sources and deemed reliable but it is not guaranteed by listing agent or listing office. Contact Tammy Cunningham, 406-544-9021 or your Real Estate Professional.
-
2024-10-09price $199,900 1249-char remark
Show marketing remark (1249 chars)
Don't miss this opportunity to purchase a Katoonah Lodges home, this home is located on an inside lot that borders the common area. Located off of Mullan Road with easy access to North Reserve Street. Katoonah Lodges is a 55+ community. This 1,736 sq. ft home (1998 Fleetwood 28'x62') has been recently painted inside and out and is immaculate! This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with a huge wrap around deck has a great layout with generously sized bedrooms and large closets. The spacious living room has a gas fireplace for those chilly winter nights and a dining room off the living room and kitchen make great options for entertaining. The kitchen is large with lots of cabinets, center island and a gas range. Please see attached floorplan, the plan shows a soaking tub in the primary bathroom but there is no soaking tub. Starting September 1, 2024 lot rent will increase; lot rent includes garbage, water, sewer and maintenance of common areas. It is the responsibility of the buyers and their agents to verify all info regarding this property. Info is provided by outside sources and deemed reliable but it is not guaranteed by listing agent or listing office. Contact Tammy Cunningham, 406-544-9021 or your Real Estate Professional.
-
2024-09-11price $204,900 1249-char remark
Show marketing remark (1249 chars)
Don't miss this opportunity to purchase a Katoonah Lodges home, this home is located on an inside lot that borders the common area. Located off of Mullan Road with easy access to North Reserve Street. Katoonah Lodges is a 55+ community. This 1,736 sq. ft home (1998 Fleetwood 28'x62') has been recently painted inside and out and is immaculate! This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with a huge wrap around deck has a great layout with generously sized bedrooms and large closets. The spacious living room has a gas fireplace for those chilly winter nights and a dining room off the living room and kitchen make great options for entertaining. The kitchen is large with lots of cabinets, center island and a gas range. Please see attached floorplan, the plan shows a soaking tub in the primary bathroom but there is no soaking tub. Starting September 1, 2024 lot rent will increase; lot rent includes garbage, water, sewer and maintenance of common areas. It is the responsibility of the buyers and their agents to verify all info regarding this property. Info is provided by outside sources and deemed reliable but it is not guaranteed by listing agent or listing office. Contact Tammy Cunningham, 406-544-9021 or your Real Estate Professional.
-
2024-07-22$234,900 Active 1249-char remark
Show marketing remark (1249 chars)
Don't miss this opportunity to purchase a Katoonah Lodges home, this home is located on an inside lot that borders the common area. Located off of Mullan Road with easy access to North Reserve Street. Katoonah Lodges is a 55+ community. This 1,736 sq. ft home (1998 Fleetwood 28'x62') has been recently painted inside and out and is immaculate! This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home with a huge wrap around deck has a great layout with generously sized bedrooms and large closets. The spacious living room has a gas fireplace for those chilly winter nights and a dining room off the living room and kitchen make great options for entertaining. The kitchen is large with lots of cabinets, center island and a gas range. Please see attached floorplan, the plan shows a soaking tub in the primary bathroom but there is no soaking tub. Starting September 1, 2024 lot rent will increase; lot rent includes garbage, water, sewer and maintenance of common areas. It is the responsibility of the buyers and their agents to verify all info regarding this property. Info is provided by outside sources and deemed reliable but it is not guaranteed by listing agent or listing office. Contact Tammy Cunningham, 406-544-9021 or your Real Estate Professional.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 26 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,074
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,850
- − Insurance
- −$1,616
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,406
- − Management
- −$2,406
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $4,625
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,110
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,225/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This home requires moderate repairs to its exterior and interior, but has a good roof and systems. Painting the exterior and interior would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Severe weathering and peeling
- Major interior walls — Significant peeling paint
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both paint interior — Improves living space and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Severe weathering and peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Significant peeling paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both paint interior — Improves living space and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Missoula H S
- NCES district ID
- 3018540
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,814
- Composite
- 34.87/100
- National rank
- #5087
- State rank
- #53 of 116 in MT
Livability — Missoula
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #2351
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Missoula County · 100,878 people
- City population
- 100,878
- Metro
- Missoula, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,574
- Household income
- $80,239
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1022.0
Population outlook (Missoula County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,248 people
- By 2030
- 133,571 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 144,833 · +13.8%
- By 2050
- 156,753 · +23.2%
- By 2075
- 189,373 · +48.8%
- By 2100
- 217,637 · +71.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Missoula
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.4) · D 59.0% · R 37.5% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.3pp toward R · 2008: 26.7pp · 2024: 21.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.4 2020: D+23.6 2016: D+15.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+26.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -165.87%
- Current HPI
- 269.9288
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Metro
- Missoula, MT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-19.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $190,000 MRMLS
- 2024-11-26 Sold (MLS) — MRMLS
- 2024-11-11 Contingent — MRMLS
- 2024-10-09 Price Changed $199,900 MRMLS
- 2024-09-11 Price Changed $204,900 MRMLS
- 2024-07-22 Listed $234,900 MRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…