20 Citadel Cir · Brittany Farms-The Highlands, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,949
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This lovingly maintained, original owner, townhome in sought after Highlands community is the definition of turn key. Enter through the new storm door into the foyer with tile floors and you'll notice the newer 6 panel interior doors that have been replaced throughout the home. With a coat closet and powder just off the foyer, the main floor layout is efficient and comfortable. The kitchen features newer appliances, sink. light fixture, flooring and lots of storage space. The windows have been replaced throughout to add to the efficiency of this quant home. The dining is just off the kitchen and offers lots of space for gatherings with your favorite people. Head down a half flight of stairs
Key facts
- $180 HOA
- Parking
- Built 1983
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property manager present
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $180 covering all ground fee, common area maintenance, lawn maintenance and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Two total garage/parking spaces; One assigned space; One driveway space (asphalt); One parking lot space; Driveway, off-street and parking lot parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric power
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Property in very good condition
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 22 x 105; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s) heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Drywall and vaulted ceilings; Partial, unfinished basement with interior access, windows, drainage system and sump pump; space available for finished rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-556/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $342k (2.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $312k (11.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $312k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.9% in Brittany Farms-The Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Central Bucks SD (suburban): math 55% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #37 of 539 in PA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $350k implies a 431% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.57%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $394,240
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 Krista Ct | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,540 (0%) | 3mo | $411,000 | $267 | 88 |
| 106 Remington Ct | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,609 (+4%) | 3mo | $345,000 | $214 | 82 |
| 150 Galway Cir | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,545 (+0%) | 3mo | $395,000 | $256 | 81 |
| 210 Remington Ct | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,609 (+4%) | 6mo | $375,000 | $233 | 79 |
| 85 Queens Cir | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (-6%) | 6mo | $410,000 | $282 | 78 |
| 204 Remington Ct | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-6%) | 0mo | $355,000 | $247 | 76 |
| 49 Fair Isle Cir | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,571 (+2%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $197 | 75 |
| 215 Prince William Way | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,545 (+0%) | 3mo | $450,000 | $291 | 70 |
| 103 Bonnie Lark Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 | 1,590 (+3%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $252 | 68 |
| 110 Palace Ct | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,648 (+7%) | 5mo | $370,000 | $225 | 66 |
| 245 Prince William Way | 0.54mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,540 (0%) | 5mo | $410,000 | $266 | 62 |
| 201 Beacon Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 1,554 (+1%) | 8mo | $440,000 | $283 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-59,558
- Equity at exit
- $52,179
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-55,250
- Equity at exit
- $30,257
Cash invested: $97,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18914
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,116 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$347 /mo · $4,167/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$180
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$654
- Net cashflow
- $-46
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,487
- Closing costs
- $10,498
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4106 Grey Friars Ter Chalfont, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1075 | $1,875 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 108 Pipers Pl Chalfont, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,800 | $1.82 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 409 W Butler Ave Chalfont, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 105 Galway Cir Chalfont, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2020 | $2,695 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 212 Foxhedge Rd Chalfont, PA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2080 | $3,900 | $1.88 | 1d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 312 W Boulder Dr Chalfont, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $3,200 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 229 Wynstone Ct Colmar, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2212 | $3,350 | $1.51 | 1d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $180 · $2,160/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $349,949 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $349,949 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $349,949 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-25historical $349,949
-
1983-06-22soldstatus $65,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,167 · $347/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,848 · $404/mo
- Expected delta
- +$681/yr (+$57/mo · 16.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,603
- − Property taxes
- −$4,167
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,992
- − Management
- −$2,992
- − HOA
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$10,180
- Taxable loss
- −$6,448
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,547
- After-tax cash flow
- $991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Bucks SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205310
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $97,513
- Composite
- 58.05/100
- National rank
- #1032
- State rank
- #37 of 539 in PA
Livability — Brittany Farms-The Highlands
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brittany Farms-The Highlands, PA
- County
- Bucks County · 506,477 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,598
- Household income
- $148,824
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 325.0
Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 630,973 people
- By 2030
- 627,093 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 609,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 584,225 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 539,840 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 483,970 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Asian 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bucks
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -373.34%
- Current HPI
- 286.574
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+431.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Coming Soon $349,949 BRIGHT MLS
- 1983-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $65,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $4,167 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…