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20 Citadel Cir
D+ Composite 46.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,949

20 Citadel Cir · Brittany Farms-The Highlands, PA 18914
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,540 sqft · Townhouse public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1983 2,310 sqft lot Est $394k · 11% under $180/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This lovingly maintained, original owner, townhome in sought after Highlands community is the definition of turn key. Enter through the new storm door into the foyer with tile floors and you'll notice the newer 6 panel interior doors that have been replaced throughout the home. With a coat closet and powder just off the foyer, the main floor layout is efficient and comfortable. The kitchen features newer appliances, sink. light fixture, flooring and lots of storage space. The windows have been replaced throughout to add to the efficiency of this quant home. The dining is just off the kitchen and offers lots of space for gatherings with your favorite people. Head down a half flight of stairs

Key facts

  • $180 HOA
  • Parking
  • Built 1983

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property manager present
  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $180 covering all ground fee, common area maintenance, lawn maintenance and trash

Exterior

  • Parking: Two total garage/parking spaces; One assigned space; One driveway space (asphalt); One parking lot space; Driveway, off-street and parking lot parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric power
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Property in very good condition
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 22 x 105; No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s) heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Drywall and vaulted ceilings; Partial, unfinished basement with interior access, windows, drainage system and sump pump; space available for finished rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-556/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $342k (2.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $312k (11.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $312k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.9% in Brittany Farms-The Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Central Bucks SD (suburban): math 55% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #37 of 539 in PA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $350k implies a 431% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $311,627 (11.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.57%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$394,240
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
128 Krista Ct 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,540 (0%) 3mo $411,000 $267 88
106 Remington Ct 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,609 (+4%) 3mo $345,000 $214 82
150 Galway Cir 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,545 (+0%) 3mo $395,000 $256 81
210 Remington Ct 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,609 (+4%) 6mo $375,000 $233 79
85 Queens Cir 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,452 (-6%) 6mo $410,000 $282 78
204 Remington Ct 0.12mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-6%) 0mo $355,000 $247 76
49 Fair Isle Cir 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,571 (+2%) 2mo $310,000 $197 75
215 Prince William Way 0.48mi 3/2.5 1,545 (+0%) 3mo $450,000 $291 70
103 Bonnie Lark Ct 0.40mi 3/2.5 1,590 (+3%) 4mo $400,000 $252 68
110 Palace Ct 0.28mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,648 (+7%) 5mo $370,000 $225 66
245 Prince William Way 0.54mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,540 (0%) 5mo $410,000 $266 62
201 Beacon Ct 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,554 (+1%) 8mo $440,000 $283 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-59,558
Equity at exit
$52,179
10-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-55,250
Equity at exit
$30,257

Cash invested: $97,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18914

Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,116 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$347 /mo · $4,167/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$180
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$654
Net cashflow
$-46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,175
Max offer price $341,757
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,487
Closing costs
$10,498
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4106 Grey Friars Ter Chalfont, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1075 $1,875 $1.74 24d 1 0.30mi
108 Pipers Pl Chalfont, PA 3.0 2.5 1540 $2,800 $1.82 4d 1 0.32mi
409 W Butler Ave Chalfont, PA 2.0 2.0 1297 $2,600 $2.00 1d 1 0.33mi
105 Galway Cir Chalfont, PA 3.0 2.5 2020 $2,695 $1.33 43d 1 0.42mi
212 Foxhedge Rd Chalfont, PA 4.0 3.0 2080 $3,900 $1.88 1d 1 0.45mi
312 W Boulder Dr Chalfont, PA 3.0 2.5 2150 $3,200 $1.49 2d 1 0.84mi
229 Wynstone Ct Colmar, PA 3.0 2.5 2212 $3,350 $1.51 1d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$180 · $2,160/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $349,949 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $349,949 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $349,949 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-25
    historical $349,949
  5. 1983-06-22
    soldstatus $65,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,167 · $347/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,848 · $404/mo
Expected delta
+$681/yr (+$57/mo · 16.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,395
− Mortgage interest
−$19,603
− Property taxes
−$4,167
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,992
− Management
−$2,992
− HOA
−$2,160
− Depreciation
−$10,180
Taxable loss
−$6,448
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,547
After-tax cash flow
$991/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Bucks SD
NCES district ID
4205310
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$97,513
Composite
58.05/100
National rank
#1032
State rank
#37 of 539 in PA

Livability — Brittany Farms-The Highlands

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Brittany Farms-The Highlands, PA
County
Bucks County · 506,477 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
21,598
Household income
$148,824
Rent vs Own
13.9% rent · 86.1% own
Severe rent burden
325.0

Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
630,973 people
By 2030
627,093 · -0.6%
By 2040
609,680 · -3.4%
By 2050
584,225 · -7.4%
By 2075
539,840 · -14.4%
By 2100
483,970 · -23.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Asian 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bucks

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -373.34%
Current HPI
286.574
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+431.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Coming Soon $349,949 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1983-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $65,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,167 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…