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3119 Norwich Rd
F Composite 21.34
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +5.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

3119 Norwich Rd · Lansing, MI 48911
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 947 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1971 7,405 sqft lot Est $132k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 3119 Norwich, a 3 bedroom 2 full bath ranch on a wonderful tree lined street. This cute house boasts a partially finished basement, a large detached garage, and a fenced in backyard. In addition, the furnace, AC, and range are all newer. Call or text for your private showing today!

Key facts

  • Fenced in backyard
  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTFENCED IN BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-333 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (34.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (31.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $170k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $111,076 (34.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
3.94%
Cash-on-cash
-8.40%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$131,633
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3211 S Deerfield Ave 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (-4%) 4mo $127,000 $139 82
3424 S Catherine St 0.25mi 3/1.0 929 (-2%) 7mo $169,000 $182 79
3330 Avalon St 0.37mi 3/1.0 905 (-4%) 4mo $129,900 $144 72
2816 Greenbelt Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 963 (+2%) 7mo $104,300 $108 64
3526 Berwick Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,028 (+9%) 6mo $109,000 $106 61
2813 Greenbelt Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 894 (-6%) 1mo $120,000 $134 61
2905 S Catherine St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (+12%) 7mo $150,000 $142 59
4110 Richmond St 0.74mi 3/1.0 925 (-2%) 6mo $120,000 $130 57
3115 Risdale Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 973 (+3%) 6mo $50,000 $51 57
3714 Brighton Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 864 (-9%) 2mo $163,000 $189 53
4018 Clayborn Rd 0.72mi 3/1.0 864 (-9%) 5mo $163,000 $189 48
2039 Holly Way 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,081 (+14%) 6mo $135,000 $125 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.2%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-42,488
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-35,889
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48911

Rents YoY
9.9%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,170 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$295 /mo · $3,545/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$-333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,591
Max offer price $111,076
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2711 Dunlap St Lansing, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,350 $1.32 44d 1 0.29mi
2920 Hillcrest St Lansing, MI 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,225 $1.18 43d 1 0.47mi
2815 Mersey Ln Lansing, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1050 $1,325 $1.26 13d 2 0.48mi
2823 Hillcrest St Lansing, MI 3.0 1.0 925 $1,245 $1.35 21d 1 0.52mi
3334 Pleasant Grove Rd Apt 10 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 43d 1 0.54mi
3334 Pleasant Grove Rd Apt 15 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 43d 1 0.54mi
3334 Pleasant Grove Rd Unit 19 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $999 $1.43 13d 1 0.54mi
3606 Pleasant Grove Rd Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 812 $1,100 $1.35 43d 1 0.59mi
4125 Ingham St Lansing, MI 3.0 1.0 933 $1,300 $1.39 43d 1 0.68mi
2612 Fielding Dr Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,095 $1.00 43d 1 0.69mi
2114 Ferrol St Unit 1 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 21d 1 0.70mi
3501 Simken Dr Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 43d 1 0.71mi
2009 W Holmes Rd Unit 11 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $925 $1.16 13d 1 0.74mi
3407 W Mount Hope Ave Lansing, MI 2.0 2.0 1000 $995 $0.99 13d 1 0.74mi
3313 W Mt Hope Ave Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0–2.0 869 $1,296 $1.49 13d 6 0.80mi
4318 Pleasant Grove Rd Lansing, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 722 $1,350 $1.87 13d 1 0.89mi
3530 W Jolly Rd Unit 6 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1049 $1,100 $1.05 21d 1 1.18mi
1815 Potomac Cir Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1002 $1,200 $1.20 13d 1 1.20mi
915 Loa St Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 674 $999 $1.48 43d 1 1.40mi
4030 Hartford Rd Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 640 $1,094 $1.71 13d 42 1.48mi
1001 W Cavanaugh Rd Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $850 $1.10 13d 4 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-16
    status Pending 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    Welcome to 3119 Norwich, a 3 bedroom 2 full bath ranch on a wonderful tree lined street. This cute house boasts a partially finished basement, a large detached garage, and a fenced in backyard. In addition, the furnace, AC, and range are all newer. Call or text for your private showing today!

  2. 2026-04-16
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    Welcome to 3119 Norwich, a 3 bedroom 2 full bath ranch on a wonderful tree lined street. This cute house boasts a partially finished basement, a large detached garage, and a fenced in backyard. In addition, the furnace, AC, and range are all newer. Call or text for your private showing today!

  3. 2026-04-06
    listed $169,900 Active 293-char remark
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    Welcome to 3119 Norwich, a 3 bedroom 2 full bath ranch on a wonderful tree lined street. This cute house boasts a partially finished basement, a large detached garage, and a fenced in backyard. In addition, the furnace, AC, and range are all newer. Call or text for your private showing today!

  4. 2026-04-06
    listed $169,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (293 chars)

    Welcome to 3119 Norwich, a 3 bedroom 2 full bath ranch on a wonderful tree lined street. This cute house boasts a partially finished basement, a large detached garage, and a fenced in backyard. In addition, the furnace, AC, and range are all newer. Call or text for your private showing today!

  5. 2025-09-22
    historical
  6. 2025-08-26
    price $169,900
  7. 2025-08-26
    price $169,900
  8. 2025-07-31
    price $179,900
  9. 2025-07-31
    price $179,900
  10. 2025-07-15
    listed $189,900 Active
  11. 2019-07-09
    soldstatus $109,900
  12. 2019-06-28
    soldstatus $109,900
  13. 2019-06-28
    soldstatus $109,900
  14. 2019-05-01
    listed $109,900
  15. 2019-05-01
    listed $109,900
  16. 2002-11-08
    soldstatus $109,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,545 · $295/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,545 · $295/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,038
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$3,545
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,123
− Management
−$1,123
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$7,062
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,695
After-tax cash flow
$-2,301/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lansing Public School District
NCES district ID
2621150
Math proficiency
14% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,453
Composite
18.76/100
National rank
#14002
State rank
#650 of 760 in MI

Livability — Lansing

Score
79/100
State rank
#94
US rank
#2182

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansing, MI
County
Ingham County · 237,052 people
City population
161,269
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,876
Household income
$56,631
Rent vs Own
45.2% rent · 54.8% own
Severe rent burden
2255.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -179.62%
Current HPI
176.0632
Rent YoY
▲ 9.90%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.9% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Pending Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $169,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2025-09-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $169,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $169,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $179,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $179,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $109,900 Public Records
  • 2019-06-28 Sold (MLS) $109,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2019-06-28 Sold (MLS) $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-05-01 Listed $109,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2019-05-01 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,545 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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