1511 Mydland Rd #182 · Sheridan, WY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$73,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Built in 1974, this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is a 14' x 76' and is situated on a rented lot within a mobile home park. Offers will be contingent upon park approval of the buyer's application. Off-street parking is available for convenience. The sale includes an oven/range, refrigerator, dishwasher, microwave, washer, and dryer. All measurements approximate.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Oven range
- Dishwasher
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $73k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $671 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 2.4% in Sheridan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in WY, #2,337 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, commute F.
- Sheridan County School District #2 (town): math 68% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #1 of 41 in WY (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 509 active listings in the ZIP; 309 units permitted in Sheridan County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $505 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sheridan County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.41%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $26,835
- List price
- $73,000
- Delta
- 172.03%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1511 Mydland Rd #73 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 5mo | $24,900 | $37 | 69 |
| 1511 Mydland Rd | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $52 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $30,946
- Equity at exit
- $10,885
- IRR
- 42.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.02×
- Total profit
- $82,090
- Equity at exit
- $6,312
Cash invested: $20,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82801
- Active inventory
- 509
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,488 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$383
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$91 /mo · $1,095/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $671
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,250
- Closing costs
- $2,190
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $73,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $73,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $73,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $73,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $73,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $73,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $73,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $73,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $73,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $73,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $73,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $73,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $73,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $73,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $73,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $73,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-03-09price $73,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Built in 1974, this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is a 14' x 76' and is situated on a rented lot within a mobile home park. Offers will be contingent upon park approval of the buyer's application. Off-street parking is available for convenience. The sale includes an oven/range, refrigerator, dishwasher, microwave, washer, and dryer. All measurements approximate.
-
2026-01-20$75,000 Active 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Built in 1974, this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home is a 14' x 76' and is situated on a rented lot within a mobile home park. Offers will be contingent upon park approval of the buyer's application. Off-street parking is available for convenience. The sale includes an oven/range, refrigerator, dishwasher, microwave, washer, and dryer. All measurements approximate.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,859
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,089
- − Property taxes
- −$1,095
- − Insurance
- −$365
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,429
- − Management
- −$1,429
- − Depreciation
- −$2,124
- Taxable income
- $7,329
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,759
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This mobile home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Exterior siding — Significant wear and discoloration.
- Moderate Interior paint — Chipped and worn in some areas.
- Moderate Windows — Signs of wear and potential drafts.
- Moderate HVAC system — Appears old and may need replacement or repair.
- Moderate Landscaping — Basic and overgrown, detracting from curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating the exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and value.
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value.
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes the space and increases value.
- Both Flooring replacement — Enhances the overall look and feel of the home.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Significant wear and discoloration. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Interior paint · Chipped and worn in some areas. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Windows · Signs of wear and potential drafts. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| HVAC system · Appears old and may need replacement or repair. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Landscaping · Basic and overgrown, detracting from curb appeal. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $15,000–75,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating the exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes the space and increases value. ↑
- Both Flooring replacement — Enhances the overall look and feel of the home. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sheridan County School District #2
- NCES district ID
- 5605695
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,902
- Composite
- 59.44/100
- National rank
- #923
- State rank
- #1 of 41 in WY
Livability — Sheridan
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #2337
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sheridan, WY
- County
- Sheridan County · 26,310 people
- City population
- 26,310
- Metro
- Sheridan, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,310
- Household income
- $73,213
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 742.0
Population outlook (Sheridan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,048 people
- By 2030
- 32,834 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 33,843 · +5.6%
- By 2050
- 34,744 · +8.4%
- By 2075
- 37,231 · +16.2%
- By 2100
- 37,261 · +16.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sheridan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.1) · D 24.2% · R 74.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -50.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.1 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.82%
- Current HPI
- 190.3135
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sheridan, WY
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-2.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $73,000 SBORWY
- 2026-01-20 Listed $75,000 SBORWY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…