14 Scenic Dr Unit O · Croton-on-Hudson, NY 10520

$170,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · Condo · 21 Days on market

Built 1970 ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +6.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Completely renovated 1st floor Co-op in Hudson Woods Estate Complex. Nice open and airy layout with balcony overlooking trees enjoy the quietness and birds chirping, Modern updated Kitchen with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, Beautiful hardwood floors throughout, Plenty of closet space, Immediate assigned outdoor parking at no additional cost, additional storage available at complex, Common laundry, On-site Super. Renting is allowed after 1 year of owner occupancy. Monthly maintenance $815.13 not including star rebate $1,422.35. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,

Key facts

• Contemporary kitchen
• Assigned parking
• Additional storage

Tags

• CONTEMPORARY KITCHEN
• SUNNY PRIVATE TERRACE
• AMPLE STORAGE
• ON-SITE LAUNDRY
• ASSIGNED PARKING
• ADDITIONAL STORAGE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $170k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
• Recommended offer: $167k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 2.6% in Croton-on-Hudson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Hendrick Hudson Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #143 of 590 in NY (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Blue Mountain Middle School (math 47% / reading 70%, grade B, #178 of 729 statewide, top 25%, 489 students, 31% FRL); Hendrick Hudson High School (math 87% / reading 84%, grade A, #358 of 1,100 statewide, top 33%, 727 students, 31% FRL).
• Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $133k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $167,450 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.69% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.74%
• DSCR: 2.23
• GRM: 4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 21.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.89×
• Total profit: $42,571
• Equity at exit: $25,348

10-year hold

• IRR: 29.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.68×
• Total profit: $127,478
• Equity at exit: $14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10520

• Active inventory: 70
• Price-to-rent: 4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,880 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$891
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
• Insurance: −$71
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$605
• Net cashflow: $1,100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487

Max offer price $170,000

Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $42,500
• Closing costs: $5,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
26 Scenic Dr Croton-On-Hudson, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$2,180	$2.91	1d	1	0.29mi
65 Furnace Dock Rd Unit 2F Croton-On-Hudson, NY	2.0	1.0	1044	$2,975	$2.85	1d	1	0.37mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-04-02
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-12
   listed $170,000 Active
3. 2023-02-28
   soldstatus $133,000 Closed 599-char remark

   Show marketing remark (599 chars)

   Completely renovated 1st floor Co-op in Hudson Woods Estate Complex. Nice open and airy layout with balcony overlooking trees enjoy the quietness and birds chirping, Modern updated Kitchen with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, Beautiful hardwood floors throughout, Plenty of closet space, Immediate assigned outdoor parking at no additional cost, additional storage available at complex, Common laundry, On-site Super. Renting is allowed after 1 year of owner occupancy. Monthly maintenance $815.13 not including star rebate $1,422.35. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,

4. 2022-12-29
   status Pending 599-char remark

   Show marketing remark (599 chars)

   Completely renovated 1st floor Co-op in Hudson Woods Estate Complex. Nice open and airy layout with balcony overlooking trees enjoy the quietness and birds chirping, Modern updated Kitchen with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, Beautiful hardwood floors throughout, Plenty of closet space, Immediate assigned outdoor parking at no additional cost, additional storage available at complex, Common laundry, On-site Super. Renting is allowed after 1 year of owner occupancy. Monthly maintenance $815.13 not including star rebate $1,422.35. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,

5. 2022-12-08
   price $164,900 599-char remark

   Show marketing remark (599 chars)

   Completely renovated 1st floor Co-op in Hudson Woods Estate Complex. Nice open and airy layout with balcony overlooking trees enjoy the quietness and birds chirping, Modern updated Kitchen with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, Beautiful hardwood floors throughout, Plenty of closet space, Immediate assigned outdoor parking at no additional cost, additional storage available at complex, Common laundry, On-site Super. Renting is allowed after 1 year of owner occupancy. Monthly maintenance $815.13 not including star rebate $1,422.35. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,

6. 2022-11-10
   listed $179,900 Active 599-char remark

   Show marketing remark (599 chars)

   Completely renovated 1st floor Co-op in Hudson Woods Estate Complex. Nice open and airy layout with balcony overlooking trees enjoy the quietness and birds chirping, Modern updated Kitchen with granite countertops and stainless steel appliances, Beautiful hardwood floors throughout, Plenty of closet space, Immediate assigned outdoor parking at no additional cost, additional storage available at complex, Common laundry, On-site Super. Renting is allowed after 1 year of owner occupancy. Monthly maintenance $815.13 not including star rebate $1,422.35. Additional Information: Amenities:Storage,

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $34,558
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,523
• − Property taxes: −$2,550
• − Insurance: −$850
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,765
• − Management: −$2,765
• − Depreciation: −$4,945
• Taxable income: $11,161
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,679
• After-tax cash flow: $10,524/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hendrick Hudson Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3614190
• Math proficiency: 62% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 72% ▲ 15.00%
• Median HH income: $88,159
• Composite: 60.49/100
• National rank: #846
• State rank: #143 of 590 in NY

Livability — Croton-on-Hudson

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Westchester County · 709,332 people
• City population: 12,368
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 12,368
• Household income: $142,791
• Rent vs Own: 34.2% rent · 65.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 495.0

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,028,035 people
• By 2030: 1,051,636 · +2.3%
• By 2040: 1,098,520 · +6.9%
• By 2050: 1,136,044 · +10.5%
• By 2075: 1,196,925 · +16.4%
• By 2100: 1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 5% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 80% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -589.29%
• Current HPI: 249.6641
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-5.5% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-02 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-12 Listed $170,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-02-28 Sold (MLS) $133,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-12-29 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-12-08 Price Changed $164,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-11-10 Listed $179,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid