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3540 Williams St
D Composite 41.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0

$174,900

3540 Williams St · Patterson, GA 31557
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,635 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 144 Days on market
Built 1969 0.28 ac lot $107/sqft · at area comps Est $175k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Many updates have been done to this nice brick home!! NEW METAL ROOF! Freshly painted living area with new flooring in the living area through to the kitchen. The living area is large with a wood burning fireplace. A bonus living room just near the kitchen might be great as a movie room or a place for those video games. Nice large kitchen with appliances. Pantry closet. Lots of cabinets. ALL WINDOWS have been replaced. The house is REPLUMBED with the plumbing buried around the outside of the house for ease of access. City water and sewer. Exterior doors have been replaced. Laundry room inside has extra storage area. 3 spacious bedrooms. The primary bedroom has double closets and an ENSUITE BATH. The hall bathroom has been renovated. ELECTRICAL PANEL is brand new. Nice brick carport with a side door entry. Large storage closets under the carport. Private backyard with a screened "man cave". 2 storage buildings and a shed give you plenty of storage. Quiet street and small town charm. This may be just what you have been looking for. Priced to sell.

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Large kitchen
  • Bonus living room

Tags

NEW ROOFFRESHLY PAINTED LIVING AREANEW FLOORINGWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEBONUS LIVING ROOMLARGE KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-198 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (20.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (31.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (31.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#110 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pierce County (rural): math 52% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #15 of 174 in GA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 88 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $175k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,536 (31.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.94%
Cash-on-cash
-4.84%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$175,219
List price
$174,900
Delta
-0.18%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3548 Williams St 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,627 (-0%) 3mo $205,000 $126 95
6034 E Main St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,640 (+0%) 6mo $157,035 $96 72
5525 E Railroad Ave 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,416 (-13%) 4mo $150,000 $106 63
3501 Martin St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,746 (+7%) 20mo $185,000 $106 63
5871 E Main St 0.03mi 3/1.5 1,864 (+14%) 14mo $219,000 $117 62
3268 Peach Ave 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,652 (+1%) 12mo $166,000 $100 60
3548 Dallas St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,463 (-10%) 17mo $265,000 $181 58
5772 Industrial Blvd 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,823 (+12%) 1mo $156,000 $86 58
5847 Industrial Blvd 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,610 (-2%) 10mo $264,000 $164 58
5947 Reese St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,549 (-5%) 5mo $250,000 $161 55
5960 Reese St 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,747 (+7%) 20mo $290,000 $166 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$82,643
Equity at exit
$157,564
10-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
6.17×
Total profit
$253,225
Equity at exit
$339,792

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31557

Home prices YoY
12.8%
Active inventory
27
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,195 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$152 /mo · $1,823/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$-198

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,446
Max offer price $139,983
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-99 -5% $-148 +0% $-198 +5% $-247 +10% $-297
Rent -10% $-292 -5% $-245 +0% $-198 +5% $-150 +10% $-103
Rate -1.0pp $-110 -0.5pp $-153 base $-198 +0.5pp $-243 +1.0pp $-289

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $174,900 Active 144 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,900 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active 139 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $174,900 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $174,900 Active 136 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active 133 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 132 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,900 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,900 Active 130 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $174,900 Active 127 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $174,900 Active 126 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,900 Active 125 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $174,900 Active 124 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $174,900 Active 123 DOM
  17. 2026-04-09
    price $174,900 1073-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1073 chars)

    Many updates have been done to this nice brick home!! NEW METAL ROOF! Freshly painted living area with new flooring in the living area through to the kitchen. The living area is large with a wood burning fireplace. A bonus living room just near the kitchen might be great as a movie room or a place for those video games. Nice large kitchen with appliances. Pantry closet. Lots of cabinets. ALL WINDOWS have been replaced. The house is REPLUMBED with the plumbing buried around the outside of the house for ease of access. City water and sewer. Exterior doors have been replaced. Laundry room inside has extra storage area. 3 spacious bedrooms. The primary bedroom has double closets and an ENSUITE BATH. The hall bathroom has been renovated. ELECTRICAL PANEL is brand new. Nice brick carport with a side door entry. Large storage closets under the carport. Private backyard with a screened "man cave". 2 storage buildings and a shed give you plenty of storage. Quiet street and small town charm. This may be just what you have been looking for. Priced to sell.

  18. 2026-04-09
    status Active 1073-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1073 chars)

    Many updates have been done to this nice brick home!! NEW METAL ROOF! Freshly painted living area with new flooring in the living area through to the kitchen. The living area is large with a wood burning fireplace. A bonus living room just near the kitchen might be great as a movie room or a place for those video games. Nice large kitchen with appliances. Pantry closet. Lots of cabinets. ALL WINDOWS have been replaced. The house is REPLUMBED with the plumbing buried around the outside of the house for ease of access. City water and sewer. Exterior doors have been replaced. Laundry room inside has extra storage area. 3 spacious bedrooms. The primary bedroom has double closets and an ENSUITE BATH. The hall bathroom has been renovated. ELECTRICAL PANEL is brand new. Nice brick carport with a side door entry. Large storage closets under the carport. Private backyard with a screened "man cave". 2 storage buildings and a shed give you plenty of storage. Quiet street and small town charm. This may be just what you have been looking for. Priced to sell.

  19. 2026-04-03
    status Pending 1073-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1073 chars)

    Many updates have been done to this nice brick home!! NEW METAL ROOF! Freshly painted living area with new flooring in the living area through to the kitchen. The living area is large with a wood burning fireplace. A bonus living room just near the kitchen might be great as a movie room or a place for those video games. Nice large kitchen with appliances. Pantry closet. Lots of cabinets. ALL WINDOWS have been replaced. The house is REPLUMBED with the plumbing buried around the outside of the house for ease of access. City water and sewer. Exterior doors have been replaced. Laundry room inside has extra storage area. 3 spacious bedrooms. The primary bedroom has double closets and an ENSUITE BATH. The hall bathroom has been renovated. ELECTRICAL PANEL is brand new. Nice brick carport with a side door entry. Large storage closets under the carport. Private backyard with a screened "man cave". 2 storage buildings and a shed give you plenty of storage. Quiet street and small town charm. This may be just what you have been looking for. Priced to sell.

  20. 2026-02-19
    price $169,900 1073-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1073 chars)

    Many updates have been done to this nice brick home!! NEW METAL ROOF! Freshly painted living area with new flooring in the living area through to the kitchen. The living area is large with a wood burning fireplace. A bonus living room just near the kitchen might be great as a movie room or a place for those video games. Nice large kitchen with appliances. Pantry closet. Lots of cabinets. ALL WINDOWS have been replaced. The house is REPLUMBED with the plumbing buried around the outside of the house for ease of access. City water and sewer. Exterior doors have been replaced. Laundry room inside has extra storage area. 3 spacious bedrooms. The primary bedroom has double closets and an ENSUITE BATH. The hall bathroom has been renovated. ELECTRICAL PANEL is brand new. Nice brick carport with a side door entry. Large storage closets under the carport. Private backyard with a screened "man cave". 2 storage buildings and a shed give you plenty of storage. Quiet street and small town charm. This may be just what you have been looking for. Priced to sell.

  21. 2026-02-09
    status Active 1073-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1073 chars)

    Many updates have been done to this nice brick home!! NEW METAL ROOF! Freshly painted living area with new flooring in the living area through to the kitchen. The living area is large with a wood burning fireplace. A bonus living room just near the kitchen might be great as a movie room or a place for those video games. Nice large kitchen with appliances. Pantry closet. Lots of cabinets. ALL WINDOWS have been replaced. The house is REPLUMBED with the plumbing buried around the outside of the house for ease of access. City water and sewer. Exterior doors have been replaced. Laundry room inside has extra storage area. 3 spacious bedrooms. The primary bedroom has double closets and an ENSUITE BATH. The hall bathroom has been renovated. ELECTRICAL PANEL is brand new. Nice brick carport with a side door entry. Large storage closets under the carport. Private backyard with a screened "man cave". 2 storage buildings and a shed give you plenty of storage. Quiet street and small town charm. This may be just what you have been looking for. Priced to sell.

  22. 2026-02-08
    status Pending 1073-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1073 chars)

    Many updates have been done to this nice brick home!! NEW METAL ROOF! Freshly painted living area with new flooring in the living area through to the kitchen. The living area is large with a wood burning fireplace. A bonus living room just near the kitchen might be great as a movie room or a place for those video games. Nice large kitchen with appliances. Pantry closet. Lots of cabinets. ALL WINDOWS have been replaced. The house is REPLUMBED with the plumbing buried around the outside of the house for ease of access. City water and sewer. Exterior doors have been replaced. Laundry room inside has extra storage area. 3 spacious bedrooms. The primary bedroom has double closets and an ENSUITE BATH. The hall bathroom has been renovated. ELECTRICAL PANEL is brand new. Nice brick carport with a side door entry. Large storage closets under the carport. Private backyard with a screened "man cave". 2 storage buildings and a shed give you plenty of storage. Quiet street and small town charm. This may be just what you have been looking for. Priced to sell.

  23. 2026-01-20
    listed $174,900 Active 1073-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1073 chars)

    Many updates have been done to this nice brick home!! NEW METAL ROOF! Freshly painted living area with new flooring in the living area through to the kitchen. The living area is large with a wood burning fireplace. A bonus living room just near the kitchen might be great as a movie room or a place for those video games. Nice large kitchen with appliances. Pantry closet. Lots of cabinets. ALL WINDOWS have been replaced. The house is REPLUMBED with the plumbing buried around the outside of the house for ease of access. City water and sewer. Exterior doors have been replaced. Laundry room inside has extra storage area. 3 spacious bedrooms. The primary bedroom has double closets and an ENSUITE BATH. The hall bathroom has been renovated. ELECTRICAL PANEL is brand new. Nice brick carport with a side door entry. Large storage closets under the carport. Private backyard with a screened "man cave". 2 storage buildings and a shed give you plenty of storage. Quiet street and small town charm. This may be just what you have been looking for. Priced to sell.

  24. 2024-09-25
    listed $154,900 Active
  25. 2024-03-21
    price $159,900
  26. 2024-03-14
    price $169,900
  27. 2024-02-20
    price $179,900
  28. 2023-12-06
    price $189,900
  29. 2023-09-30
    price $219,900
  30. 2023-08-24
    listed $224,900 Active
  31. 2014-08-25
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,823 · $152/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,823 · $152/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,344
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$1,823
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,148
− Management
−$1,148
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable loss
−$5,533
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,328
After-tax cash flow
$-1,044/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pierce County
NCES district ID
1304140
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$39,523
Composite
43.04/100
National rank
#3097
State rank
#15 of 174 in GA

Livability — Patterson

Score
69/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#8413

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Patterson, GA
Population (ZIP)
3,717

Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,690 people
By 2030
19,886 · +1.0%
By 2040
20,140 · +2.3%
By 2050
20,113 · +2.1%
By 2075
19,166 · -2.7%
By 2100
16,296 · -17.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Hungarian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pierce

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.5) · D 11.2% · R 88.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -62.5pp · 2024: -77.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.5 2020: R+75.1 2016: R+74.0 2012: R+66.4 2008: R+62.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 32.95%
Current HPI
289.3963
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $174,900 GIAR
  • 2026-04-09 Relisted GIAR
  • 2026-04-03 Pending GIAR
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $169,900 GIAR
  • 2026-02-09 Relisted GIAR
  • 2026-02-08 Pending GIAR
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $174,900 GIAR
  • 2024-09-25 Listed $154,900 GIAR
  • 2024-03-21 Price Changed $159,900 SEGAMLS
  • 2024-03-14 Price Changed $169,900 SEGAMLS
  • 2024-02-20 Price Changed $179,900 SEGAMLS
  • 2023-12-06 Price Changed $189,900 SEGAMLS
  • 2023-09-30 Price Changed $219,900 SEGAMLS
  • 2023-08-24 Listed $224,900 SEGAMLS
  • 2014-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,823 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…