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Ashford Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 42.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$163,000

Ashford Plan · Carmel, IN 46032
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · Townhouse · 198 Days on market
55+ age-restricted Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Whether you are working or retired, the Village Cooperative of Westfield is a hassle-free home ownership option for active adults (62+). You simply won't find a better value anywhere in the area with all the amenities. It offers a carefree lifestyle that lets you enjoy more of what you love in a safe and secure community of peers. The homes range in size from approximately 900 sq. ft. to over 1,800 sq. ft. of one-level living space within in a three-story building built over secure underground parking. Standard features of this living community include a community and club areas, hobby shop, reading areas, guest suite, garden plots, while-you're-away services, underground heated parking with a car wash bay-all wrapped up in a fully secure building. The homes are equipped with all appliances including a washer and dryer, in-home storage, walk-in closets and individually controlled HVAC systems. The Village Cooperative is a community of like-minded adults who want to live near other people their age, but not in assisted living or rental housing. It offers maintenance-free living in a vibrant environment with many unique amenities that are suited for both working and retired residents.

Key facts

  • Car wash bay
  • Guest suite
  • Garden plots

Tags

ONE-LEVEL LIVING SPACEGUEST SUITEGARDEN PLOTSUNDERGROUND HEATED PARKINGCAR WASH BAYFULLY SECURE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $163,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $229,265.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $163k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-341 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (3.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.8% in Carmel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in IN, #726 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Carmel Clay Schools (urban): math 68% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #1 of 301 in IN (top 0%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Carmel Middle School (math 46% / reading 61%, grade C+, #32 of 330 statewide, top 10%, 1,064 students, 20% FRL); Carmel High School (math 77% / reading 90%, grade A, #3 of 369 statewide, top 1%, 5,192 students, 13% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 455 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($132k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $143,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.51%
Cash-on-cash
-6.37%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,265
List price
$163,000
Delta
-28.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11750 Glenbrook Ct Unit 103A 0.39mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,072 (+13%) 1mo $238,500 $222 50
11760 Glenbrook Ct #205 0.38mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,072 (+13%) 3mo $210,000 $196 49
12517 Timber Creek Dr Unit 4 0.48mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,070 (+13%) 0mo $265,000 $248 47
12519 Timber Creek Dr #6 0.47mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,070 (+13%) 2mo $200,000 $187 47
12555 Timber Creek Dr Unit 8 0.49mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,071 (+13%) 1mo $218,000 $204 46
12517 Timber Creek Dr #2 0.48mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,070 (+13%) 2mo $255,000 $238 46
12519 Timber Creek Dr Unit 10 0.47mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,070 (+13%) 3mo $217,000 $203 45
12517 Timber Creek Dr Unit 11 0.48mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,070 (+13%) 3mo $272,500 $255 45
12559 Timber Creek Dr #5 0.50mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,071 (+13%) 2mo $234,000 $218 45
947 Wickham Ct #208 0.51mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,072 (+13%) 3mo $254,000 $237 44
946 Lenox Ln #104 0.54mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,072 (+13%) 4mo $238,000 $222 41
12598 Tennyson Ln #101 0.73mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,083 (+14%) 0mo $225,000 $208 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.5%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-53,156
Equity at exit
$34,184
10-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-49,092
Equity at exit
$19,823

Cash invested: $64,194 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.
Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
7 active · 8 under contract
Months of supply
2.0 mo (50%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$230,000 ($215/sqft)
Median days on market
25 d
This list price
14% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+12.5% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 46032

Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
455
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,574 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,202
Tax est. 1.5%
$287 /mo · $3,439/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$-341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,006
Max offer price $179,927
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-183 -5% $-262 +0% $-341 +5% $-420 +10% $-499
Rent -10% $-465 -5% $-403 +0% $-341 +5% $-279 +10% $-217
Rate -1.0pp $-226 -0.5pp $-283 base $-341 +0.5pp $-400 +1.0pp $-461

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,316
Closing costs
$6,878
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 Providence Blvd Carmel, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1014 $1,358 $1.34 9d 31 0.33mi
12415 N Pennsylvania St Carmel, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 939 $1,485 $1.58 9d 19 0.41mi
12484 Breaklines St Carmel, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1026 $1,512 $1.47 9d 17 0.45mi
947 Wickham Ct #206 Carmel, IN 2.0 2.0 1072 $1,650 $1.54 52d 1 0.49mi
760 Walkabout Cir E Carmel, IN 3.0 2.0 735 $1,728 $2.35 9d 24 0.65mi
675 Beacon St Carmel, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1322 $1,595 $1.21 9d 17 0.70mi
1111 W Main St Carmel, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 999 $1,375 $1.38 9d 15 0.73mi
35 Rosewalk Cir Carmel, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 715 $1,381 $1.93 9d 7 0.76mi
833 W Main St Carmel, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1304 $1,685 $1.29 56d 23 0.80mi
833 W Main St #204 Carmel, IN 1.0 1.0 910 $1,685 $1.85 9d 1 0.80mi
833 W Main St #310 Carmel, IN 1.0 1.0 910 $1,735 $1.91 9d 1 0.80mi
833 W Main St Apt 409 Carmel, IN 1.0 1.0 910 $1,785 $1.96 9d 1 0.80mi
833 W Main St #404 Carmel, IN 1.0 1.0 910 $1,785 $1.96 51d 1 0.80mi
833 W Main St Apt 410 Carmel, IN 1.0 1.0 910 $1,785 $1.96 41d 1 0.80mi
770 3rd Ave SW Carmel, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1452 $1,680 $1.16 9d 14 0.83mi
301 American Way N Carmel, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1167 $1,650 $1.41 31d 1 0.87mi
13111 Old Meridian St Carmel, IN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1103 $2,097 $1.90 9d 32 0.87mi
881 3rd Ave SW Carmel, IN 2.0 1.0–2.5 1010 $1,814 $1.80 9d 6 0.91mi
525 End DR Carmel, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 941 $1,638 $1.74 9d 7 0.92mi
400 Industrial Dr Carmel, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1175 $1,915 $1.63 9d 54 0.98mi
880 Monon Green Blvd Carmel, IN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1044 $2,028 $1.94 93d 5 1.00mi
750 Veterans Way Carmel, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1107 $1,634 $1.48 9d 15 1.05mi
750 Veterans Way Carmel, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1144 $1,800 $1.57 24d 1 1.05mi
530 W Main St Carmel, IN 2.0 1.0–1.5 875 $1,412 $1.61 9d 1 1.09mi
591 Monon Blvd Carmel, IN 1.0 1.0 481 $1,884 $3.91 9d 9 1.09mi
1225 Veterans Way Carmel, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 881 $1,574 $1.79 9d 19 1.10mi
720 S Rangeline Rd Carmel, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1090 $1,570 $1.44 25d 1 1.12mi
60 Knoll Ct Carmel, IN 3.0 1.0–1.5 975 $1,406 $1.44 9d 27 1.14mi
13415 Highpointe Blvd Carmel, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 892 $1,451 $1.63 9d 21 1.15mi
408 W Main St #408 Carmel, IN 1.0 1.0 910 $1,785 $1.96 56d 1 1.16mi
111 W Main St Carmel, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1127 $1,449 $1.29 9d 7 1.27mi
231 Lark Dr #3 Carmel, IN 2.0 1.0 925 $1,195 $1.29 33d 1 1.28mi
231 Lark Dr #3 Carmel, IN 2.0 1.0 925 $1,195 $1.29 51d 1 1.28mi
110 W Main St Carmel, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 967 $1,675 $1.73 9d 7 1.29mi
1685 E 116th St Carmel, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 878 $1,852 $2.11 9d 18 1.33mi
11063 Cornell Ave Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 1005 $1,750 $1.74 23d 1 1.35mi
11325 Spring Mill Rd Carmel, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1043 $1,599 $1.53 9d 24 1.42mi
110 Bryn Mawr Ln Unit 110-05 Carmel, IN 1.0 1.0 741 $1,349 $1.82 26d 1 1.45mi
110 Bryn Mawr Ln Unit 221-03 Carmel, IN 2.0 1.5 876 $1,499 $1.71 69d 1 1.45mi
110 Bryn Mawr Ln Unit 221-08 Carmel, IN 2.0 1.5 876 $1,499 $1.71 9d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $163,000 Active 198 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $163,000 Active 197 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $163,000 Active 196 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $163,000 Active 195 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $163,000 Active 194 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $163,000 Active 193 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $163,000 Active 190 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $163,000 Active 189 DOM
  9. 2026-07-30
    days on market $163,000 Active 188 DOM
  10. 2026-07-28
    days on market $163,000 Active 187 DOM
  11. 2026-07-26
    days on market $163,000 Active 185 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $163,000 Active 183 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $163,000 Active 182 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $163,000 Active 181 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $163,000 Active 180 DOM
  16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $163,000 Active 179 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $163,000 Active 177 DOM
  18. 2026-07-18
    days on market $163,000 Active 176 DOM
  19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $163,000 Active 175 DOM
  20. 2026-07-15
    days on market $163,000 Active 174 DOM
  21. 2026-07-14
    days on market $163,000 Active 173 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $163,000 Active 172 DOM
  23. 2026-07-13
    days on market $163,000 Active 171 DOM
  24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $163,000 Active 170 DOM
  25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $163,000 Active 169 DOM
  26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $163,000 Active 168 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $163,000 Active 166 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $163,000 Active 165 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $163,000 Active 164 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $163,000 Active 162 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $163,000 Active 161 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $163,000 Active 160 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $163,000 Active 159 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $163,000 Active 158 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $163,000 Active 157 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $163,000 Active 156 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $163,000 Active 155 DOM
  38. 2026-06-24
    days on market $163,000 Active 153 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $163,000 Active 151 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $163,000 Active 150 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $163,000 Active 147 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $163,000 Active 146 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $163,000 Active 145 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $163,000 Active 144 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $163,000 Active 142 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $163,000 Active 141 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $163,000 Active 138 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $163,000 Active 137 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $163,000 Active 136 DOM
  50. 2026-06-05
    days on market $163,000 Active 133 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,888
− Mortgage interest
−$12,842
− Property taxes
−$3,439
− Insurance
−$1,146
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,511
− Management
−$1,511
− Depreciation
−$6,670
Taxable loss
−$8,232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,976
After-tax cash flow
$-2,116/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,750–$14,250 screening

The Ashford unit is in fair condition with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the interior and exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Updating the kitchen and bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures improve functionality and appeal
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 68/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Carmel Elementary School B+ IN #49/994 Nat'l #4,204/41,679 Middle Carmel Middle School C+ IN #32/330 Nat'l #2,785/14,009 High Carmel High School A IN #3/369 Nat'l #817/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carmel Clay Schools
NCES district ID
1801200
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$102,347
Composite
63.54/100
National rank
#608
State rank
#1 of 301 in IN
A Composite livability gradescore 84/100

Livability — Carmel

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#726

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carmel, IN
County
Hamilton County · 381,938 people
City population
99,910
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
51,515
Household income
$132,085
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,938 people
By 2030
417,496 · +9.3%
By 2040
486,684 · +27.4%
By 2050
549,805 · +44.0%
By 2075
687,078 · +79.9%
By 2100
754,495 · +97.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Asian 10% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.1) · D 46.0% · R 52.1% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
+16.2pp toward D · 2008: -22.2pp · 2024: -6.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+22.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $163,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…