280 Old Cornwallis Rd · Princeton, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.2/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,650
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY
Key facts
- 1.24 acre lot
- County water
- Tenant occupied home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,029; Above-grade finished area 1,029; No below-grade finished area
- Financial info: Annual tax noted (amount provided in listing data)
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Site-built single-story home
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Site built structure; One level
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Property on a 1.24-acre lot; Public maintained road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating present (type: Other); No cooling
- Interior features: Other flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $141k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $141k).
- Recommended offer: $124k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.3% in Princeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#82 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Johnston County Public Schools (rural): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #105 of 178 in NC (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Princeton High (math 36% / reading 40%, grade F, #409 of 535 statewide, top 77%, 1,024 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,783 units permitted in Johnston County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $972 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnston County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.86%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,040
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280 Old Cornwallis Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,029 (-1%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $126 | 93 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-140
- Equity at exit
- $20,971
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $28,933
- Equity at exit
- $12,161
Cash invested: $39,382 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27569
- Home prices YoY
- -8.2%
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$738
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $864/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $356
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $436 | -5% $396 | +0% $356 | +5% $316 | +10% $277 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $234 | -5% $295 | +0% $356 | +5% $418 | +10% $479 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $427 | -0.5pp $392 | base $356 | +0.5pp $320 | +1.0pp $283 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,162
- Closing costs
- $4,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Smith St Princeton, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,550 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending
Show marketing remark (613 chars)
BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY
-
2026-05-07historical Active Under Contract 613-char remark
Show marketing remark (613 chars)
BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY
-
2025-12-23price $140,650 613-char remark
Show marketing remark (613 chars)
BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY
-
2025-12-23price $140,650
Show marketing remark (613 chars)
BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY
-
2025-09-03$145,000 Active
-
2025-08-28$145,000 Active 613-char remark
Show marketing remark (613 chars)
BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $864 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,153 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$289/yr (+$24/mo · 33.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,879
- − Property taxes
- −$864
- − Insurance
- −$703
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,488
- − Management
- −$1,488
- − Depreciation
- −$4,092
- Taxable income
- $2,086
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$501
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,775/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnston County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702370
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,912
- Composite
- 34.99/100
- National rank
- #5052
- State rank
- #105 of 178 in NC
Livability — Princeton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #5811
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,396
Population outlook (Johnston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 222,440 people
- By 2030
- 240,227 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 274,616 · +23.5%
- By 2050
- 304,915 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 369,507 · +66.1%
- By 2100
- 406,280 · +82.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.5) · D 38.7% · R 60.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.2pp toward D · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -21.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.5 2020: R+24.3 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+27.8 2008: R+23.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.10%
- Current HPI
- 213.7616
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-3.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — TMLS
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $140,650 Hive MLS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $140,650 TMLS
- 2025-09-03 Listed $145,000 TMLS
- 2025-08-28 Listed $145,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $864 · +56.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…