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280 Old Cornwallis Rd
C Composite 57.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.2/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,650

280 Old Cornwallis Rd · Princeton, NC 27569
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 246 Days on market
Built 1940 1.24 ac lot Est $131k · 7% over ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY

Key facts

  • 1.24 acre lot
  • County water
  • Tenant occupied home

Tags

1.24 ACRE LOTCOUNTY WATERSEPTIC SYSTEMTENANT OCCUPIED HOMENO HOAMINUTES FROM US-70

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,029; Above-grade finished area 1,029; No below-grade finished area
  • Financial info: Annual tax noted (amount provided in listing data)
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Site-built single-story home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Site built structure; One level
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Property on a 1.24-acre lot; Public maintained road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present (type: Other); No cooling
  • Interior features: Other flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $141k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $141k).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.3% in Princeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#82 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Johnston County Public Schools (rural): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #105 of 178 in NC (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Princeton High (math 36% / reading 40%, grade F, #409 of 535 statewide, top 77%, 1,024 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,783 units permitted in Johnston County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $972 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Johnston County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,772 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.86%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$131,040
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
280 Old Cornwallis Rd 0.00mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,029 (-1%) 0mo $130,000 $126 93

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-140
Equity at exit
$20,971
10-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$28,933
Equity at exit
$12,161

Cash invested: $39,382 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27569

Home prices YoY
-8.2%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$738
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $864/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$356

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,099
Max offer price $140,650
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $436 -5% $396 +0% $356 +5% $316 +10% $277
Rent -10% $234 -5% $295 +0% $356 +5% $418 +10% $479
Rate -1.0pp $427 -0.5pp $392 base $356 +0.5pp $320 +1.0pp $283

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,162
Closing costs
$4,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
106 Smith St Princeton, NC 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,550 $1.20 24d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY

  2. 2026-05-07
    historical Active Under Contract 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY

  3. 2025-12-23
    price $140,650 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY

  4. 2025-12-23
    price $140,650
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY

  5. 2025-09-03
    listed $145,000 Active
  6. 2025-08-28
    listed $145,000 Active 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 1.24-ACRE LOT in the HIGHLY DESIRED PRINCETON SCHOOL DISTRICT! This property offers the perfect blend of country living and convenience, with COUNTY WATER and a SEPTIC SYSTEM already in place. The lot currently has a tenant-occupied home, providing options for immediate income, future building, or investment. Enjoy the privacy of a spacious lot with NO HOA, while being just minutes from US-70 for an easy commute to Goldsboro, Smithfield, or Raleigh. Whether you're looking to build your dream home or invest in a versatile property, this location checks all the boxes. CASH OR CONVENTIONAL LOAN ONLY

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$864 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,153 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$289/yr (+$24/mo · 33.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,600
− Mortgage interest
−$7,879
− Property taxes
−$864
− Insurance
−$703
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$4,092
Taxable income
$2,086
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$501
After-tax cash flow
$3,775/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnston County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3702370
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$50,912
Composite
34.99/100
National rank
#5052
State rank
#105 of 178 in NC

Livability — Princeton

Score
72/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#5811

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,396

Population outlook (Johnston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
222,440 people
By 2030
240,227 · +8.0%
By 2040
274,616 · +23.5%
By 2050
304,915 · +37.1%
By 2075
369,507 · +66.1%
By 2100
406,280 · +82.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnston

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.5) · D 38.7% · R 60.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.2pp toward D · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -21.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.5 2020: R+24.3 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+27.8 2008: R+23.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.10%
Current HPI
213.7616
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Contingent Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $140,650 Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $140,650 TMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $145,000 TMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $145,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $864 · +56.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…