402 W 4th St #1 · Kaufman, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bed, 2-bath home offers a functional layout with great natural lighting and a wide backyard that perfect for entetaining, gardening, pets or a range of outdoor uses. Interior spaces provide flexibility for everyday living. The location gives access to Kaufman City Lake, Veterans Memorial Park, and nearby services along State Highway 243. A solid option with features that can support a variety of needs. We look forward to receiving your offer.
Key facts
- Wide backyard
- Kaufman city lake
- Nearby services
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.1% in Kaufman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#478 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Kaufman ISD (town): math 38% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #437 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.72%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,246
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -34.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 E 7th St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,168 (-5%) | 1mo | $139,900 | $120 | 73 |
| 202 E 10th St | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,234 (0%) | 8mo | $234,990 | $190 | 65 |
| 501 Phillips Cir | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,268 (+3%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $177 | 63 |
| 101 N Shannon St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,291 (+5%) | 3mo | $179,900 | $139 | 62 |
| 1802 Feagin St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,332 (+8%) | 6mo | $270,000 | $203 | 60 |
| 1704 Phillips Ln | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,166 (-6%) | 4mo | $179,900 | $154 | 58 |
| 106 W 2nd North St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,255 (+2%) | 3mo | $179,900 | $143 | 58 |
| 203 E Hickory St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+4%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $117 | 57 |
| 605 S Wilson St | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,325 (+7%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $132 | 55 |
| 1005 Phillips Cir | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (+10%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $110 | 54 |
| 800 Phillips Cir | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,327 (+8%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $158 | 54 |
| 300 E 1st | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (-15%) | 8mo | $182,000 | $173 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-7,324
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $9,578
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75142
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,513 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$329 /mo · $3,943/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $188
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 N Jefferson St Kaufman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,299 | $1.32 | 10d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 304 E Hickory St Unit A Kaufman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,550 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2600 Tabor Pkwy Kaufman, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,480 | $1.26 | 1d | 9 | 0.93mi |
| 107 Love St Kaufman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 201 Melody Cir Kaufman, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $1,700 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4100 Vista Ln Kaufman, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,792 | $2.05 | 1d | 16 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-17status $119,900 Pending 134 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 134 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 133 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 132 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 130 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 129 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 125 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 124 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 121 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 120 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 119 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 118 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active Option Contract 117 DOM
-
2026-05-12historical Active Option Contract 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
This 3-bed, 2-bath home offers a functional layout with great natural lighting and a wide backyard that perfect for entetaining, gardening, pets or a range of outdoor uses. Interior spaces provide flexibility for everyday living. The location gives access to Kaufman City Lake, Veterans Memorial Park, and nearby services along State Highway 243. A solid option with features that can support a variety of needs. We look forward to receiving your offer.
-
2026-04-17price $119,900 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
This 3-bed, 2-bath home offers a functional layout with great natural lighting and a wide backyard that perfect for entetaining, gardening, pets or a range of outdoor uses. Interior spaces provide flexibility for everyday living. The location gives access to Kaufman City Lake, Veterans Memorial Park, and nearby services along State Highway 243. A solid option with features that can support a variety of needs. We look forward to receiving your offer.
-
2026-03-19price $129,900 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
This 3-bed, 2-bath home offers a functional layout with great natural lighting and a wide backyard that perfect for entetaining, gardening, pets or a range of outdoor uses. Interior spaces provide flexibility for everyday living. The location gives access to Kaufman City Lake, Veterans Memorial Park, and nearby services along State Highway 243. A solid option with features that can support a variety of needs. We look forward to receiving your offer.
-
2026-02-03$149,900 Active 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
This 3-bed, 2-bath home offers a functional layout with great natural lighting and a wide backyard that perfect for entetaining, gardening, pets or a range of outdoor uses. Interior spaces provide flexibility for everyday living. The location gives access to Kaufman City Lake, Veterans Memorial Park, and nearby services along State Highway 243. A solid option with features that can support a variety of needs. We look forward to receiving your offer.
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2026-01-25historical
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2025-12-23price $149,900
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2025-11-11$159,900 Active
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2023-03-10soldstatus
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2022-06-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,943 · $329/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,943 · $329/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$3,943
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,452
- − Management
- −$1,452
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $505
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$121
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,135/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kaufman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825200
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,081
- Composite
- 33.36/100
- National rank
- #5485
- State rank
- #437 of 826 in TX
Livability — Kaufman
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #478
- US rank
- #9602
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kaufman, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,301
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 39% Two or more races 23% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 30%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.48%
- Current HPI
- 261.3091
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-25.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $119,900 NTREIS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $129,900 NTREIS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $149,900 NTREIS
- 2026-01-25 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $149,900 NTREIS
- 2025-11-11 Listed $159,900 NTREIS
- 2023-03-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-06-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,943 · +20.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…