CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
137 La Brea Way
B- Composite 68.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,500

137 La Brea Way · Yuba City, CA 95993
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,420 sqft · Manufactured public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1978 3,947 sqft lot Est $132k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home has a fully updated kitchen with all new appliances, new granite countertops, and new cabinets, along with new LVP flooring and fresh paint inside and out. Located in the desirable Del Prado 55+ mobile home park in central Yuba City, this 2‑bed, 2‑bath double‑wide offers 1,420 sq ft of comfortable living. The home also has new dual‑pane windows and a newer Trane central HVAC system for year‑round comfort. Outside, there's a useful tool/storage shed and a partially fenced area that works well for keeping pets contained. Del Prado is a well‑kept senior community close to shopping, medical offices, and restaurants, making everyday errands simple and convenient. This is a clean, nicel

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • New cabinets
  • New appliances

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENNEW APPLIANCESGRANITE COUNTERTOPSNEW CABINETSNEW LVP FLOORINGFRESH PAINT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease amount listed as $750
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Located in a senior community; Land lease not required (park land lease listed separately)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Attached and covered parking; Guest parking available
  • Utilities: Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter; Natural gas connected; 220 volts in laundry; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide) in a park; Mountain Valley Home manufacturer; Updated/remodeled; Built in 1978
  • Construction: Aluminum skirting; Other type roof
  • Exterior features: Fence; Landscaped front and back yards; Carport awning; Porch awning; Storage and workshop structures; Covered patio; Screened-in patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry closet; Stone countertops; Free-standing gas range; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (including master bedroom)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Double sinks; Low-flow showers and toilets; Tub with shower over
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Dual-pane full windows; Covered and screened-in patio; Porch with steps; Deck attached to living room; Storage area
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home; Washer/dryer hookups only; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $134k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 3.6% in Yuba City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#111 in CA, #3,863 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, cost of living F.
  • Yuba City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #263 of 517 in CA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 73 units permitted in Sutter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $930 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sutter County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,482 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
14.16%
Cash-on-cash
28.10%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$132,060
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
151 la Brea 0.02mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+1%) 4mo $119,900 $83 89
41 La Cienega 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+1%) 11mo $153,500 $107 85
156 El Granero Way 0.03mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+1%) 13mo $140,000 $97 80
123 El Verano Way 0.08mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,488 (+5%) 5mo $138,800 $93 79
56 La Mesa 0.10mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,440 (+1%) 14mo $118,500 $82 74
134 El Verano Way 0.05mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,528 (+8%) 8mo $131,000 $86 73
175 El Verano 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (+10%) 3mo $85,000 $54 73
99 La Entrada Way 0.09mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+1%) 19mo $105,000 $73 73
15 La Cienega 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,294 (-9%) 3mo $135,800 $105 72
55 La Mesa Way 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,518 (+7%) 16mo $218,000 $144 70
64 La Mesa 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (+8%) 14mo $65,000 $42 66
22 La Cienega Way 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-13%) 8mo $140,000 $114 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$34,417
Equity at exit
$20,054
10-year hold
IRR
30.3%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$102,446
Equity at exit
$11,629

Cash invested: $37,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95993

Active inventory
176
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,293 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$705
Tax est. 1.5%
$168 /mo · $2,018/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$882

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,177
Max offer price $134,500
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $975 -5% $929 +0% $882 +5% $836 +10% $789
Rent -10% $701 -5% $791 +0% $882 +5% $973 +10% $1,063
Rate -1.0pp $950 -0.5pp $916 base $882 +0.5pp $847 +1.0pp $812

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,625
Closing costs
$4,035
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1694 Shay Way Yuba City, CA 4.0 2.5 1744 $2,400 $1.38 14d 1 0.19mi
1574 Heather Dr Unit 206 Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 1005 $1,650 $1.64 21d 1 0.27mi
1431 Mirada Cir Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1370 $2,400 $1.75 21d 1 0.33mi
1450 Peach Tree Ln Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1850 $2,350 $1.27 44d 1 0.41mi
1171 Kenny Dr Unit 10 Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,375 $1.53 44d 1 0.83mi
1171 Kenny Dr Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.83mi
1199 Casita Dr #1 Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 896 $1,500 $1.67 21d 1 0.84mi
1290 Northgate Dr Unit 81 Yuba City, CA 2.0 2.0 941 $1,500 $1.59 44d 1 0.85mi
1335 Meadowlark Way Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1710 $2,500 $1.46 44d 1 0.87mi
1138 Forestwood Dr Yuba City, CA 2.0 2.0 964 $2,025 $2.10 21d 1 0.92mi
1101 Northgate Dr Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1817 $2,300 $1.27 44d 1 1.08mi
1518 Upland Dr Unit 1518 Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 1084 $1,900 $1.75 44d 1 1.17mi
1722 Clark Ave Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1479 $2,500 $1.69 21d 1 1.19mi
1475 Knights Row Yuba City, CA 4.0 2.0 1171 $2,279 $1.95 21d 1 1.33mi
1590 Alfred Way Unit 2 Yuba City, CA 2.0 1.0 906 $1,400 $1.55 14d 1 1.38mi
1456 Live Oak Blvd Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1522 $2,495 $1.64 21d 1 1.40mi
515 Ohlson St Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1337 $2,300 $1.72 14d 1 1.41mi
1602 Wildflower Cir Unit 1602 Yuba City, CA 3.0 2.0 1451 $2,200 $1.52 14d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $134,500 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,500 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,500 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    status $134,500 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $134,500 Pending 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $134,500 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,500 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,500 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,500 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $134,500 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,500 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,500 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,500 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,500 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $134,500 Active 8 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,517
− Mortgage interest
−$7,534
− Property taxes
−$2,018
− Insurance
−$672
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,201
− Management
−$2,201
− Depreciation
−$3,913
Taxable income
$8,977
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,155
After-tax cash flow
$8,430/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Yuba City Unified
NCES district ID
0643470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$50,923
Composite
31.55/100
National rank
#5956
State rank
#263 of 517 in CA

Livability — Yuba City

Score
75/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#3863

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yuba City, CA
County
Sutter County · 81,625 people
City population
81,625
Metro
Yuba City, CA
Population (ZIP)
39,046
Household income
$93,763
Rent vs Own
31.1% rent · 68.9% own
Severe rent burden
738.0

Population outlook (Sutter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,244 people
By 2030
97,170 · -0.1%
By 2040
96,137 · -1.1%
By 2050
93,604 · -3.7%
By 2075
85,008 · -12.6%
By 2100
71,584 · -26.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 12% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
65% English-only · Other Indo-European 20% Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sutter

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.1% · R 64.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -280.05%
Current HPI
210.9131
Rent YoY
Metro
Yuba City, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $253 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…